Manpower Employment Outlook Survey

Media Release
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
Embargo till 00:01 GMT, 10 March 2015
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
Italian forecast remains relatively stable amid
some signs of improvement for the April-June time frame
Net Employment Outlook stands at -6%
The second quarter 2015 barometer reveals:
- The Hiring prospects remain relatively stable when compared with the previous quarter and are
unchanged year-over-year. Once the data is adjusted to allow for seasonal variation, The Outlook
stands at -6%.
- Employers in eight of 10 industry sectors and three of four regions forecast a decline in staffing
levels during 2Q 2015.
- The strongest sector Outlook of +10% is reported in the Agriculture, Hunting, Forestry & Fishing
sector, improving by 12 and 23 percentage points from 1Q 2015 and 2Q 2014, respectively.
- Regionally, North East employers report the most positive of the four Outlooks, standing at 0% for
the coming quarter. Hiring intentions remain relatively stable quarter-over-quarter and improve by 2
percentage points year-over-year.
- Large-size employers anticipate some job gains in 2Q 2015 but Micro-size firms forecast a
decline in staffing levels. Employers expect limited hiring activity in the Small- and Medium- size
categories.
Milan, March 10th 2015 - ManpowerGroup Italy released today its quarterly Manpower
Employment Outlook Survey, drawing attention to results that signal a weak hiring climate for job
seekers in the next three months as Italian employers continue to expect a sluggish hiring pace for
the April-June time frame.
despite the forecast remaining weak.
While 6% of employers forecast an increase in staffing levels, 10% anticipate a decrease and 83%
expect no change. Once seasonal variations are removed from the data, the Net Employment
Outlook remains a weak -6%.
The strongest sector Outlook of +10% is reported in the Agriculture, Hunting, Forestry & Fishing
sector, improving by 12 and 23 percentage points from 1Q 2015 and 2Q 2014, respectively.
Media Release
Regionally, North East employers report the most positive of the four Outlooks, standing at 0% for
the coming quarter. Hiring intentions remain relatively stable quarter-over-quarter and improve by 2
percentage points year-over-year.
“We see the first efforts of Italy to break through on the labour market. There are some aspects
that could have a positive impact– Stefano Scabbio, President Mediterranean
ManpowerGroup says – The Jobs Act, for example, will help hires and it is expected to benefit
young people. Italy’s labour market could benefit from the flexibility the policy is expected to give
employers.”
Sector comparisons
Year-over-year, there are some signs of growing employer confidence with employers in six of the
10 industry sectors reporting stronger hiring plans. A sharp improvement of 23 percentage points is
reported in the Agriculture, Hunting, Forestry & Fishing sector while the Mining & Quarrying sector
Outlook is 18 percentage points stronger.
Manufacturing sector employers report an improvement of 10 percentage points and the Outlook
for the Electricity, Gas & Water sector increases by 9 percentage points. Meanwhile, employers in
four sectors report weaker hiring intentions, most notably in the Construction sector and the Public
& Social sector, where Outlooks decline by 18 and 12 percentage points, respectively.
Regional comparisons
Employers in three of the four regions expect payrolls to decline during 2Q 2015. The weakest Net
Employment Outlooks of -9% are reported in both Middle Italy and the North West, while the
Outlook for the South/Islands stands at -6%. Meanwhile, North East employers anticipate flat hiring
activity with an Outlook of 0%.
When compared with 2Q 2014, the Outlook for the South/Islands is 7 percentage points stronger
and employers in the North East report an improvement of 2 percentage points. However, hiring
plans weaken by 6 and 3 percentage points in Middle Italy and the North West, respectively.
Organization-Size comparisons
Employers in the Large organization (with 250 or more employees) expect payrolls to grow in 2Q
2015, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +5%.
Small employers (10-49 employees), report cautious hiring plans with an Outlook of +1% and the
Outlook of 0% for Medium-size (50-249 employees) firms reflects flat hiring intentions. However,
Micro-size employers (less than 10 employees) report a weak Outlook of -9%.
Year-over-year, hiring prospects improve in three of the four organization-size categories. The
Outlook for Medium-size firms is 8 percentage points stronger, while increases of 7 percentage
Media Release
points are reported by Large- and Small-size employers. However, the Micro-size business
Outlook declines by 4 percentage points.
Serena Scarpello
Media & Ceo Reputation Expert
ManpowerGroup Italy
Via Rossini 6/8 - 20122 Milan
[email protected]
About ManpowerGroup
ManpowerGroup™ (NYSE: MAN) has been the world's workforce expert, creating innovative workforce solutions, for
more than 65 years. As workforce experts, we connect more than 600,000 men and women to meaningful work across a
wide range of skills and industries every day. Through our ManpowerGroup family of brands — Manpower®, Experis™,
Right Management ® and ManpowerGroup™ Solutions— we help more than 400,000 clients in 80 countries and
territories address their critical talent needs, providing comprehensive solutions to resource, manage and develop talent.
In 2014, ManpowerGroup was named one of the World's Most Ethical Companies for the fourth consecutive year and
one of Fortune's Most Admired Companies, confirming our position as the most trusted and admired brand in the
industry. See how ManpowerGroup makes powering the world of work humanly possible: www.manpowergroup.com.
ManpowerGroup Italia
Presente in Italia dal 1994, la realtà nazionale di ManpowerGroup - multinazionale leader mondiale nelle innovative
workforce solutions - realizza e offre soluzioni strategiche per la gestione delle risorse umane: ricerca, selezione e
valutazione di personale per tutte le posizioni professionali; somministrazione di lavoro a tempo determinato;
pianificazione e realizzazione di progetti di formazione; consulenza per l’organizzazione aziendale; career management;
servizi di outsourcing; consulenza HR.Unendo efficacemente la sua profonda conoscenza del potenziale umano e delle
esigenze dei propri clienti, ManpowerGroup crea valore per imprese e individui affiancandoli nel raggiungimento dei
propri obiettivi di business e di carriera. Attraverso una rete di oltre 250 uffici su tutto il territorio nazionale, impiega 1.500
persone e offre inoltre soluzioni mirate per i settori Information Technology, Finance, Engineering, Sales&Marketing.
Per il quarto anno consecutivo ManpowerGroup è stata inclusa nella classifica "World’s Most Ethical Companies" (2014)
elaborata da Ethisphere, organizzazione internazionale specializzata nella creazione, nello sviluppo e nella condivisione
di best practice a livello di etica aziendale, governance, misure anti-corruzione e sostenibilità. ManpowerGroup è inoltre,
da maggio 2014, Official HR Premium Partner di EXPO Milano 2015.
La proposta di soluzioni di ManpowerGroup in Italia viene offerta attraverso ManpowerGroup™ Solutions, Manpower®,
Experis™, FuturSkill e Right Management®.
Per maggiori informazioni: www.manpowergroup.it