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howto email jesse mccartney
Science in Society ISSUE 27 Autumn 2005 £3.50 What will we eat when water and oil run out? Sustainable World Coming Dream Farm - Biogas Bonanza for Third World Development War on World Food Rights - No to GMOs & Agriculture Without Farmers Debunking Nuclear Power Myths - Taking to the Wind Safe Gene Therapy at Last - Guinea Pig Kids in AIDS Drug Trials In this issue Biogas Bonanza page 29 Is Nuclear Energy the Answer? page 12 SOS: Save Our Seeds page 45 Contents From the Editor GM-Free Molecular Pharming - the New Battlefront over GM Crops Molecular Pharming by Chloroplast Transformation GM Pharmaceuticals from Common Green Alga Cover-up over GM DNA in Milk Bt10 Detection Method Unacceptable Energy Energy Strategies in Global Warming: Is Nuclear Energy the Answer? Taking to the Wind Deconstructing the Nuclear Power Myths 3 4 5 6 8 10 12 16 18 Science under the Spotlight What Science, What Europe? 21 Letters to the Editor 23 Sustainable World Bug Power Dream Farms Biogas Bonanza for Third World Development Agriculture without Farmers Sustainable Food Systems for Sustainable Development Sustainable World Coming Technology Watch Safe Gene Therapy at last? 24 26 29 30 33 36 Editor & Art Director:: Mae-Wan Ho Assistant Editor: Rhea Gala Production Editor: Julian Haffegee Production Assistant: Andrew Watton Publishing Consultant & Contributor: Sam Burcher 40 Associate Editors: Joe Cummins, Peter Saunders, Claire Robinson and Peter Bunyard 41 42 Other Contributors to this Issue: Dr. Isabelle Stengers, and Prof. Pietro Perrino HIV/AIDS US Foster Children Used in AIDS Drugs Tests Guinea Pig Kids in AIDS Drugs Trials NIH-Sponsored AIDS Drugs Tests on Mothers and Babies 44 Against Corporate Serfdom Save our Seeds Italy's Genebank at Risk 45 47 Rethinking Agriculture Organic Cotton Beats Bt Cotton Published by The Institute of Science in Society PO Box 32097 London NW1 OXR www.i-sis.org.uk ISSN 1477-3430 49 Enquiries, subscriptions and book orders contact: Sam Burcher [email protected] tel: 44 20 8452 2729 ISIS Director: Mae-Wan Ho [email protected] tel: 44 20 7272 5636 Subscribe now! Name: Please enclose cheque or money order payable to: Subscription Rates (4 issues) Address: The Institute of Science in Society £16 UK PO Box 32097 $32 (USD) overseas London NW1 OXR Country: I would also like to donate £ _____to ISIS Email: Or subscribe online at www.i-sis.org.uk/subscribe SCIENCE IN SOCIETY 27, AUTUMN 2005 tel: 44 20 8452 2729 Email: [email protected] 3 Health, Human Rights, and GM crops In 1978, the governments of the world gathered under the aegis of the World Health Organisation to sign the Alma Ata Declaration promising "Health for All by 2000". But this promise was never taken seriously, and was sidelined in subsequent health policy discussions. In December 2000, 1 453 delegates from 75 countries, representing people's movements and other non-government organizations across the globe, came together in Savar, Bangladesh for the world's first People's Health Assembly, to reiterate the pledge of "Health for All", declaring health as a basic human right, including the environmental, social and economic conditions that guarantee health. The Assembly documented the adverse impacts of the structural adjustment programmes (SAPs) on people's health, and roundly condemned the international financial institutions - the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund and the World Trade Organisation - for pushing SAPs, the governments for imposing the policies on their people, and the big transnational corporations for putting profit before people. SAPs are supposed to help poor indebted nations restore their balance of payments, reduce inflation and create the conditions for "sustainable growth". Typical measures include devaluation of local currencies, spending cuts in the public sector, privatisation of public services, elimination of subsidies and trade liberalization (removal of all barriers to trade, finance and procurement). In practice, SAPs deprive poor people of basic healthcare, education and other essential services, and leave poor countries wide open to economic exploitation, especially through transnational corporations - based in rich countries in the North operating in the South - that have scant regard for human health or the environment. As a result, peoples' health worsens while the environment is destroyed at an ever-accelerating rate, and the poor countries sink deeper into poverty and indebtedness. The People's Health Assembly met for the second time this July in Cuenca, Ecuador, when "Health for All" seems even more remote than in 2000. Nevertheless, thirteen hundred delegates from 80 countries came to reaffirm the Alma Ata vision amid deteriorating conditions of health for most of the world's people, which are blamed unequivocally on "neo-liberal policies that transfer wealth from the South to the North, from the poor to the rich, and from the public to private sector." The delegates were unanimous in opposing the signing of the Free Trade Agreements imposed by the United States government and the international financial institutions that can only further worsen people's health prospects. Invited to speak on genetically modified organisms (GMOs), I explained to the Assembly why GM food and feed are proving unsafe, because genetic modification goes against the grain of the new science of genetics. I also exposed all the lies and half-truths told by certain scientists that genetic modification is perfectly safe and very precise; and makes environmentally friendly GM crops that improve yield, reduce pesticide use, improve nutrition and so on. Among the most important conditions for health is people's right to food and adequate nutrition. The People's Charter for Health calls on governments to implement agricultural policies attuned to people's needs, and not to the demands of the market, in order to guarantee food security and equitable access to food. GM crops guarantee neither food security nor equitable access to food, quite the opposite. In fact, GM crops usurp people's right to food by imposing licence fees on patented seeds and by preventing farmers from saving and exchanging seeds, a practice going back for thousands of years. GM crops are industrial monocultures, only worse. They are more genetically uniform than conventional monocultures, and hence more prone to disease. They are more dependent on external inputs, particularly pesticides; and according to the latest reports by farmers across the world, GM crops require more water and are less tolerant of drought. Delegates were right to fear that the Free Trade Agreements will mean forced imports of GM seeds and GM food and feed into Latin America, especially as "food aid". The US' agricultural exports are worth more than US$ 50 billion each year, and rejection of GM food and feed across the world is hurting exports. War on world food rights fought over GM crops From the Editor A war on food rights is being fought over GM crops with big agribusiness - supported by the US and US-friendly governments (including the Blair administration) - against the rest of the world; and it is taking place at all levels from the international arena to local communities. The US government has sued the European Union (EU) at the World Trade Organization (WTO) for restricting import of GMOs, and wants the WTO to override the Cartagena Protocol on Biosafety - which gives countries the right to regulate and reject GMOs - in order to force GMOs on the world in the name of free trade. The European Commission responded to the WTO complaint by urging European countries to lift their national bans on GMOs. But EU member states stood firm with a clear majority vote in June in favour of keeping the existing national bans. The US administration is pushing GMOs both officially and through unofficial channels. In July, the Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh announced a "second generation of India-US collaboration in agriculture". This, after Monsanto's Bt cotton has proven to fail, as reported by both independent and Indian government scientists. Monsanto's Indian subsidiary, Monsanto-Mahyco has shamelessly hyped the GM-cotton seeds, even enlisting a Bollywood star and dancing girls to go on promotional tours in Punjabi villages. GM crops are also aggressively promoted in Africa. Earlier in July, a team of "international food scientists" was reported complaining that, "regulatory hurdles are preventing African farmers from reaping the benefits of genetically modified foods", but nonetheless the African farmers "have been adopting this technology rapidly". The team's spokesperson, Joel Cohen of the International Food Policy Research Institute, was formerly with USAID, and worked with Monsanto to fund Florence Wambugu to head Monsanto's GM sweet potato project in Kenya, generating fantastic PR for GM crops, although the project turned out to be a total flop at a cost of millions. Florence Wambugu is regularly featured and quoted in top scientific journals including Nature as a scientist speaking on behalf of Africa and in favour of GM crops, despite having been exposed by fellow African scientists on many occasions. Meanwhile, the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation has awarded US$ 3.3 million to the Monsanto-backed Donald Danforth Plant Science Centre in Ohio, USA, to genetically engineer cassava; and $16.9 million to Wambugu's African consortium to genetically engineer sorghum for African farmers, also at a US company, Pioneer Hi-Bred, a subsidiary of DuPont based in Des Moines, Iowa. Within the US, repressive bills have been passed in at least 10 states to block local communities and regions declaring themselves GM-Free, and are clearly targeted at the grassroots uprising against GM crops that has been gaining momentum over the past year. A Sustainable World is possible Dr. Tewolde Berhan Gebre Egziabher, Minister for the Environment, Ethiopia, supported the first public action against commercial GMOs in Germany with the following statement: "Badly informed governments and corrupt members of governments everywhere in the world are the main obstacle to an objective discussion of the true problems of world food supplies. The merciless forces of the free market, which in the wake of globalisation is taking on a cynical, inhuman character, deprive the poorest of the poor of any basis for making a living." Alan Simpson, Member of UK Parliament, similarly declared at our Sustainable World International Conference in London that, "irreverence, heresy, and the breaking of rules are necessary to raise awareness in the face of deepening water, energy and food insecurity." Adopting GM crops when oil and water are both rapidly depleting under global warming, and when industrial monoculture is showing all the signs of collapse is a crime against humanity and our planet; especially when we have all the knowledge at our disposal to build a truly sustainable and equitable world. All SiS issues and articles can be accessed at http://www.i-sis.org.uk/isisnews.php www.i-sis.org.uk 4 GM-Free Molecular Pharming the New Battlefront over GM Crops The biggest battle for democracy in the 'heartland of democracy' is being fought over GM crops and it has shifted to molecular pharming Dr. Mae-Wan Ho US Department of Agriculture caves in to pharm crops binding iron required for bacterial growth. It has been implicated in asthma with fatal consequences. Lysozyme breaks down the cell wall material of bacteria, but may contribute to emphysema. But by far the greater danger is that the transgenic proteins are only approximations of the natural protein both in DNA sequence, amino-acid sequence and patterns of glycosylation (carbohydrate chains added to the proteins), all of which may make transgenic proteins allergenic. Or the transgenic proteins may trigger diseases connected with the inability of human cells to break them down properly. As these proteins both target bacteria, there is a large question mark over the safety of these proteins for beneficial bacteria in our gut, which are now known to promote healthy development in numerous ways from cradle to grave. In addition, we know nothing concerning the effects of these proteins on beneficial bacteria and other organisms in the soil, on insects, amphibians, birds and mammals that interact with the pharm rice in the fields. Another aspect virtually ignored in all risk assessment is the hazard from horizontal transfer of the transgenes to viral and bacterial pathogens that are everywhere in our environment. The battlefront over GM crops in the United States and Europe has shifted to molecular pharming, the use of GM crops to produce pharmaceuticals. California-based company Ventria Bioscience has been at the forefront of pharm crop development, and has planted 75 acres of genetically engineered rice near Plymouth in eastern North Carolina. Ventria made applications to grow GM rice producing human lactoferrin and lysozyme, normally produced in human milk, saliva and tears, in California, Missouri and North Carolina, stirring up a storm of opposition. Ventria was driven out of California last year, and forced out of southeast Missouri earlier this year by a last minute uprising of rice farmers who feared contamination of their crops and damage to a $100 million industry that depends heavily on exports. The USDA was under pressure to turn down Ventria's request and others like it. The Grocery Manufacturers of America, representing $500 billion in annual sales, says that the government lacks a way to prevent pharmaceutical proteins from contaminating food. Advocacy groups presented Agriculture Secretary Mike Johanns with 30 000 signatures asking for a ban on the use of food crops to produce pharmaceuticals. Northwest Missouri State University President Dean Hubbard insists, however, that his institution is going ahead with a $40 million agricultural pharmaceutical centre that would house Ventria and other companies. On 30 June, the USDA approved Ventria's application to grow its GM rice on 270 acres in North Carolina, despite opposition from scientists working at the state and federally-operated Rice Quarantine Nursery at the Tidewater Research Station, just over half a mile from the Ventria test site. USDA also cleared the way for Ventria to grow its pharm rice on 200 acres in the middle of Missouri's chief rice-growing region, even though Ventria has already withdrawn its permit applications for that site. Anheuser-Busch, the nation's largest brewer, had indicated it would refuse to buy any rice from southeastern Missouri's hundreds of growers if the Ventria pharm rice was planted there. But USDA dismissed the concerns as "non-scientific" and beyond its legal purview. Health and environmental hazards ignored As numerous critics have pointed out, it is virtually impossible to prevent contamination of our food crops either by cross-pollination or seed spills during transport. The safety of these and other transgenic proteins for human beings is highly questionable. Prof. Joe Cummins has reviewed and submitted evidence on the potential hazards of lactoferrin and lysozyme. Lactoferrin participates in the regulation of immune functions and controls pathogens by SCIENCE IN SOCIETY 27, AUTUMN 2005 Move to pre-empt local regulation The North Carolina legislature is considering "preemption" bills intended to block local regulation of crop plants, including biotech crops. The bills, House Bill 671 and Senate Bill 631, were sponsored by the biotech industry and are part of a nationwide industry effort to preempt local governments from regulating any crops, including GM crops. Similar bills have become law in at least 10 other states in the US this year, and are clearly targeted at the grassroots uprising against GM crops that has been gaining momentum over the past year (Science in Society 2004, 22 From the Editor, http://www.i-sis.org.uk/isisnews.php). Patents on molecular pharming A total of 369 patents are currently listed under "Protein products for future global good" on MolecularFarming.com, an industry website that claims to have received its information from the "FAAR Biotechnology Group Inc., which provides industry, government, universities and legal counsel with expert advice, consultation and evaluation of biotechnology research, business opportunities and intellectual property matters." The patents date from 1990 onwards, and include methods for producing antibodies, vaccines, proteins, flavourings, biodegradable plastics; methods for metabolic interventions that change the nutrition and composition of seeds; recovery methods for the proteins produced, for viral systems and viral vectors used in plants; and methods for molecular farming by chloroSiS plast transformation. The advantages are also its greatest hazards; no environmental releases should be considered Dr. Mae-Wan Ho and Professor Joe Cummins Chloroplast transformation for transgene containment Chloroplasts are a class of plastids - organelles in plant cells - apparently derived from a cyanobacteria (blue-green bacteria) ancestor that once lived symbiotically inside the plant cell. Chloroplasts contain chlorophyll and are found in the shoots and leaves of green plants, while colourless plastids are found in the roots and other coloured plastids are found in fruit. The number of plastids in each cell is variable, and each plastid contains multiple copies of its own genome, typically 50 to 100. Many plastid genomes have been sequenced. They resemble bacterial genomes in many respects; though features normally found in muticellular organisms, such as interrupted genes and RNA editing are also present. The chloroplast genome codes for the transcription and translation machinery of the chloroplast plus numerous structural proteins. But the vast majority of the chloroplast proteins are encoded in the plant nucleus and imported into the chloroplast after synthesis. Stable transformation of the chloroplast putting foreign genes into the chloroplast genome - was first achieved in the single cell green alga Chlamydomonas reinhardtii in 1988, soon to be followed by tobacco plant, and more recently, Arabidopsis thaliana. Several biotech companies, including Monsanto, RhonePoulenc, Novartis, American Cyanamid, Calgene, Pioneer Hi-Bred have initiated major programmes on chloroplast transformation since the late 1990s. Chloroplast transformation has been touted at least as far back as 1998 as a means of "containing" transgenes; that is, preventing them from transferring to non-GM crops or wild relatives through pollen, and hence preventing the creation of transgenic herbicide tolerant weeds. The theory is that chloroplasts are inherited exclusively through the female line. Joe Cummins has exposed the fallacy of this claim. He pointed out that tobacco pollen does transfer chloroplast transgenes under selection with a herbicide-like drug tentoxin. It is well known that chloroplasts are mainly inherited through pollen in conifers, and major crops such as alfalfa inherit chloroplasts from both pollen and egg. There is also occasional biparental inheritance of chloroplast genes in rice, and cultivars of peas vary in the presence of chloroplast DNA in pollen. These cases, he emphasized, are just a few examples from a large literature showing that chloroplasts are inherited through pollen, pollen and egg, or selectively influenced by stress to transmit chloroplast genes through pollen where maternal transmission is usual. Surprisingly, C.S. Prakash, later to become 5 Molecular Pharming by Chloroplast Transformation a major protagonist for GM crops, co-authored a letter with C. Neal Stewart, Jr., agreeing with Cummins, which was published on the same page of the journal Nature Biotechnology. They also pointed out that pollen spreading to GM crops from weeds could create herbicide tolerant weeds, as in the case of GM canola, which showed increased cross-pollination by weedy relatives compared to the reciprocal cross. They added, "Overstating the biosafety of cp [chloroplast]-transgenic crops with regard to gene flow could lead to policy mistakes and ecological problems. We would hope that assumptions of biosafety regarding gene flow using any system will be empirically tested and not treated as brute fact. Second, we hope that monitoring for transgene-introgressed weeds will become the norm for potentially problematic crops such as canola." We couldn't agree more. But that advice has fallen on deaf ears, including those of the subsequently transformed CS Prakash. Other benefits of chloroplast transformation Peter J. Nixon of Imperial College, London gene. According to Nixon, this transformation procedure applied to tobacco, Arabidopsis or oil seed rape, generates plants in which all the chloroplast genomes are uniformly transformed (a condition referred to as homoplasmic), despite the fact that tobacco leaf cells may contain 100 chloroplasts, each containing 100 copies of the chloroplast genome. Another advantage of chloroplast transformation is that foreign genes can be overexpressed, due to the high gene copy number, up to 100 000 compared with single-copy nuclear genes. And there does not seem to be gene-silencing and other instability that plague nuclear transformation. The gene product is retained inside the chloroplasts or can in principle be targeted to a specific compartment in the chloroplast. Benefits over-stated However, a somewhat less rosy picture on chloroplast transformation was painted by Pal Maliga of Waksman Institute, Rutgers University, New Jersey in the United States, commenting on the successful plastid transfor- mental release of such transplastomic plants, although techniques for removing the antibiotic resistance marker gene, once it has served its useful purpose, are being developed. Nevertheless, Maliga ended on an optimistic note: "the capacity to express foreign proteins at a high level in a consumable fruit should open new opportunities for engineering the next generation of medicinal products that are more palatable to the consumer." Molecular pharming by chloroplast transformation entails unique risks There are currently 37 patents for molecular pharming by chloroplast transformation listed. The first commercial exploitation of chloroplast transformation for molecular pharming is likely to be in Chlamydomonas reinhardtii ("GM pharmaceuticals in common green alga"). Chloroplast transformation to produce GM pharmaceuticals entails specific risks that are associated with its advantages. 1. The high level of transgene expression that can be achieved increases the hazards of environmental contamination and inadvertent exposure of human subjects, domestic livestock a large literature showing that chloroplasts are inherited through pollen, pollen and egg, or selectively influenced by stress to transmit chloroplast genes through pollen where maternal transmission is usual University, in a paper published by UK's Department for Environment, Food & Rural Affairs (DEFRA) in February 2001, again recommended fallaciously, chloroplast transformation as a means of containing transgenes; but also mentioned other advantages. Chloroplast transformation involves homologous recombination. This not only minimises the insertion of unnecessary DNA that accompanies transformation of the nuclear genome, but also allows precise targeting of inserted genes, thereby also avoiding the uncontrollable, unpredictable rearrangements and deletions of transgene DNA as well as host genome DNA at the site of insertion that characterises nuclear transformation. In practice, the inserted transgene has short DNA sequence tails added at each end; the tails are homologous to sequences on the chloroplast target gene, which thus initiate homologous recombination. Once the transgene is inserted into the chloroplast chromosome, the target gene is disrupted. The disruption of the target gene is expected to alter the growth and metabolism of the plant. Leaf discs are bombarded with plasmid constructs containing a selectable antibiotic resistance marker physically linked to the gene of interest, flanked by DNA for inserting into the correct site of the chloroplast genome. The antibiotic resistance marker most frequently used is the aadA gene encoding resistance for spectinomycin and streptomycin, driven by the promoter of the chloroplast encoded 16S rRNA mation in tomato, in which notable levels of transgene protein accumulated in the tomato fruit, indicating that it may be a useful system for producing edible vaccines. Until then, plastid transformation had only been successful in tobacco plants in that fertile plants are obtained that transmitted the transgene to the next generation. Although transplastomic potatoes, Arabidopsis and rice have been obtained, these plants have not yet been shown to transmit transgenes to the next generation. One major difficulty is in getting homoplasmic plants plants in which all the chloroplasts are uniformly transformed - for that takes a long process of selection. The process in Arabidopsis for example, yields 100 times fewer lines per transformed sample than tobacco. Another problem is to get a high level of protein expression, even though the gene copy number is high. In chloroplasts, post-transcriptional processes determine the level of proteins expressed, depending on translational signals. High protein accumulation of transgene product in the tomato fruit is good news for those interested in the protein, but bad news for those planning to produce the transplastomic crop successfully. Because the protein levels required for selection is greater than 10 percent of total soluble protein in rice, it may constitute a significant metabolic burden on the plants. Furthermore, the high level of expression of antibiotic resistance marker gene would greatly exacerbate public concern over the environ- and wild life. 2. The high copy number of transgenes increases the hazards of horizontal gene transfer to bacteria and viruses, with the potential of creating dangerous pathogens and spreading antibiotic resistance marker genes. It is now known that DNA persists in all environments, and transformation by direct uptake of DNA is a major route of horizontal gene transfer among bacteria. 3. The close similarities (homologies) between plastid and bacterial genomes is expected to greatly increase the frequency of horizontal gene transfer, up to a billion-fold. Furthermore, the horizontal transfer of nonhomologous DNA occurs at relatively high frequencies when a homologous DNA 'anchor sequence' is present, which can be as short as 99bp. 4. There are at least 87 species of naturally transformable bacteria in the soil. 5. The disruption of the target gene in transformation results in changes in the growth and metabolism of the plant that may pose risks to health and the environment. There can be no environmental releases of chloroplast transformed crops or algae producing GM pharmaceuticals. They must be firmly confined in contained use where every precaution is taken to prevent environmental releases not only of the living transgenic organism or SiS cells, but also of transgenic DNA. www.i-sis.org.uk 6 GM Pharmaceuticals from Common Green Alga Amid widespread protests against using crop plants to produce genetically modified pharmaceuticals, companies are turning to the single-cell green alga Chlamydomonas touted as a "safe" alternative; but not when it is to be grown in large-scale outdoor bioreactors Prof. Joe Cummins and Dr. Mae-Wan Ho Large-scale production of GM algae producing human proteins United States, and all government agencies, the Food and Drug Administration (FDA), the US Department of The Hawaii Department of Agriculture received an applica- Agriculture (USDA) and Environment Protection Agency tion from Mera Pharmaceuticals, originally filed 1 November (EPA) had waived oversight of the trial. The native Hawaii 2004, for a permit to begin large-scale production of a algal systems have not been well documented; nor has the genetically modified (GM) alga, Chlamydomonas reinhardtii, ecology of Chlamydomonas itself. Apart from some last producing a human immunoglobulin-A protein against a vari- minute attempt to conduct basic environmental experiments ant of the herpes simplex virus. On 17 April 2005, Mera of the survival of GM algae, there are no peer-review studPharmaceuticals revised their application to include seven ies, or studies of any kind to back up Mera Pharmaceutical's additional GM strains expressing a range of human antibod- claim of "no harm to the environment or human health." Written and oral testimony by the public was overies, interleukins and nerve growth factors (see Box). The case for the first GM strain was heard on 25 May 2005, and whelmingly opposed to the project. The board also ignored the Plant Quarantine Office at Honolulu did not grant the testimony and reports by a number of local algae experts from the University of Hawaii, Manoa, the State Biologist permit. The application for the seven other GM strains had been and Maui County District Health Officer. Other scientists scheduled for 7 October 2005, but was brought forward to providing testimony include R. Malcolm Brown Jr., the 29 June. On that occasion, the state Board of Agriculture Johnson and Johnson Centennial Chair in Plant Cell Biology gave its approval. Mera Pharmaceuticals will begin the at the University of Texas at Austin; Marti Crouch, Doug process of importing the microalgae from The Scripps Sherman from Friends of the Earth, and Joe Cummins and Institute, La Jolla, California, even as opponents are seek- Mae-Wan Ho from ISIS. Malcolm Brown's message to the board was, "Hawaii is ing to block the permit, which was approved on a six-to-two vote after nearly three hours of testimony and an hour of dis- still the supreme ecosystem on earth to understand the dynamics of evolution and natural selection. Let's not forevcussion. er lose this opportunity Single cell green algae because a few commercial are serving as green cell facoperations thoughtlessly Anything from 500 to 26 000 litres of culture tories for producing pharmatried to construct mass ceuticals, and have been are housed in transparent "Outdoor scaleup of genetically moditouted as a safe alternative Photobioreactors" prone to weather, storm and fied organisms in Hawaii." to producing them in crop other damage, resulting in immediate massive Nancy Redfeather said, plants, because they can be contamination of the marine environment "It was indeed a sad day for contained in the laboratory. the native algae of Hawaii Unfortunately, Mera's proisland." posed large-scale cultivation is not contained. Anything from 500 to 26 000 litres of culture are housed in transparent "Outdoor Photobioreactors", which are cooled with cold seawater with added chlorine. The exposed facilities are prone to weather, storm and other damage, resulting in immediate massive contamination of the marine environment. In addition, the use of chlorinated seawater for cooling will be expected to impact on marine life. Neither of these concerns appears to have been addressed. Henry Curtis, executive director of Life of the Island, told the Board that the non-profit organization will file for a contested case hearing. The GM algae will be imported into Kona on the island of Hawaii to be grown in the outdoor bioreactor system at Keahole Point at the National Energy Laboratory Hawaii Authority's aquaculture park. As Nancy Redfeather, Director of Hawaii Genetic Engineering Action Network (Hawaii GEAN ) points out, this type of "field trial" of a biopharmaceutical algae has never been attempted before in the SCIENCE IN SOCIETY 27, AUTUMN 2005 The Chlamydomonas reinhardtii transformation Chlamydomonas reinhardtii is a preferred organism for molecular pharming by chloroplast transformation because its nuclear and chloroplast genomes have both been sequenced, and it has a long history of laboratory culture. In addition, it has a single chloroplast, which makes it easy to produce a uniformly transformed culture. One technical drawback with the alga is codon bias related to the high GC content of the algal DNA, To achieve significant production, the code of human and many other genes must be altered to fit the bias of the algal cell, For that reason the human pharmaceutical products are produced from synthetic approximations of the human gene. The synthetic human DNA in the alga, and all the more so, the expressed transgene, should not be deemed equivalent to the human gene and gene product until they have been tested for untoward effects on humans and other organisms in the environment. It is already known that the proteins are not subject to posttranslational modifications as they would be in human cells, Chlaydomonas reinhardtii, Joint Genome Institute 7 GM Chlamydomonas strains to be imported into large-scale culture facility in Hawaii 1. Strain Hsv8, producing a full-length human immunoglobulin-A against a variant of the herpes simplex virus 2. Strain aFceR 1r-1, producing a protein targeting the Fc portion of the IgE molecule, thereby limiting the interaction between circulating IgE molecules and receptors on mast cells, which in turn limits the release of histamines and reduces inflammation. 3. Strain aTNFr-1, producing IgG1 anti-tumour necrosis factor antibody. 4. Strain a TNr-1, producing IgG1 anti-microbial antibody. 5. Strain aCRr-1, producing IgG1d anti-cell proliferation antibody. 6. Strain aBSSsr-1, producing anti-cancer cell specific antibody. 7. Strain aIL 10r-1, producing various interleukins (including interleukin 10, interleukin 13, interleukin 5 and interleukin 3) 8. Strain aARTr-1, producing neurotrophic factors to stimulate the growth of new nerve tissue. and hence likely to be treated as 'foreign' by the human between the chloroplast and bacterial genomes. immune system. Large quantities of transgenic proteins are produced Mayfield and Franklin described construction of trans- from multiple copies of transgenes present; in the case of genic Chlamydomonas reinhardtii whose chloroplasts had Chlamydomonas, about 50 to 100 per cell. Strains 2-6 (see been modified to express human antibodies. The human Box) produce antibodies that bind to immunologically active genes were extensively adjusted for codon bias. Either the proteins that could lead to anaphylaxis (severe life-threatenrbcl (ribulose-1,5-bisphosphate carboxylase of the chloro- ing allergic reaction) following repeated exposure. Strain 7 plast) promoter or the atpA (alpha-subunit of the chloroplast produce interleukins, potent regulators of immune functions ATP synthase of the chloroplast) promoter were used to active in minute quantities. Pulmonary exposure to interdrive the antibody gene, with the rbcL transcription termina- leukin 13, for example, causes inflammation, mucus hypertor following the human gene. A 16S ribosomal subunit with secretion, physiologic abnormalities associated with asthresistance to the antibiotic accompanied the human gene ma, while interleukin 10 is a powerful immune suppressant. transformation. Using this system, IgA antibodies directed Strain 8 produces unspecified neurotrophic factors to stimuagainst herpes simplex virus late growth of nerve tissue, were produced, as well as again, potent molecules single chain antibodies Horizontal transfer of the GM Chlamydomonas active at very low concentraagainst the herpes virus. transgenes are likely to occur in all environments, tions, whose effects, espeThe numerous codon alterparticularly in the soil, where Chlamydomonas is cially at high concentrations ations to optimize production are completely unknown. commonly found, but also in the marine environof recombinant protein in the An additional hazard ment and in the gastrointestinal tract of all animals alga have been described. from the gene products is Code optimization need not that they are in all cases not change the amino acid the same as the human prosequence of the protein produced from the recombinant tein, because of the changes in making the synthetic gene gene, but Mera's petition contained no proof that the protein copies, and because there is no post-translational processproduced from the synthetic gene was identical to the origi- ing. They may hence be treated as immunologically 'foreign' nal human gene, nor the fact that the transgenes were syn- by the human immune system, resulting in dangerous comthetic approximations to the human genes. plications. Although not prominently stated, the GM strains probaHorizontal transfer of the GM Chlamydomonas transbly all contained in addition a kanamycin resistance marker genes are likely to occur in all environments, particularly in gene, which is necessary to select for the transformed cells. the soil, where Chlamydomonas is commonly found, but also in the marine environment and in the gastrointestinal Risks from the GM alga tract of all animals. Horizontal transfer of transgenes can The claim that the risk from contact with the recombinant occur both from the accidental release of genetically modiproducts was negligible even in the worst case is ground- fied Chlamydomonas reinhardtii itself, or from the intentionless, because no experiments were reported to support that al release of transgenic DNA in the large amounts of transconclusion. genic wastes that are likely to be discharged from the largeAs pointed out already ("Molecular pharming by chloro- scale culture facilities into the environment. plast transformation", this series), producing pharmaceutiAs already mentioned, horizontal transfer and recombicals in chloroplasts entails specific risks due to the large nation of transgenes could create new bacteria and viruses quantities of transgenic proteins produced and the hazards that cause diseases and spread antibiotic resistance markof horizontal gene transfer to bacteria, due to homologies er genes to the pathogens. SiS www.i-sis.org.uk 8 Cover-up over GM DNA in milk Syngenta's GM maize linked to dead cows linked to GM DNA in milk and scientist involved in what appears to be a major cover-up on behalf of big dairy producer. Dr. Mae-Wan Ho Campaign against GM animal feed Greenpeace Germany began campaigning against GM animal feed in March 2005. Their main target is Mueller, one of Germany's biggest dairy producers and also number one in Britain in yogurt sales. Greenpeace exposed Mueller's use of GM soya to feed their dairy cows, which Mueller does not deny. But the company tried to stop Greenpeace's campaign, and especially the use of the term "GEmilk" through the law court. The company claims it is scientifically demon- Transfer of genetically modified DNA from animal feed to milk cannot be ruled out, and is a cause for concern, was eventually signed by Dr. Mae-Wan Ho, Dr. Arpad Pusztai, Dr. Susan Bardocz, Prof. Joe Cummins and Prof. Peter Saunders on behalf of the Independent Science Panel (www.indsp.org). On 5 July 2005, the court of Cologne decided in favour of Greenpeace, refusing to grant Mueller an injunction. The court stated that as Mueller is using genetically modified "The report of the ISP was vital to support our arguments!" says Greenpeace activist Ulricke Brendel. Unfortunately, that's not the end of the matter. Mueller has filed a new case against Greenpeace, going for the highest court in Germany to prevent Greenpeace from using the term "GEmilk", and also asking for 500 000 in damage compensation. "For the next 3 to 5 years, that is as long as it might take, we will keep arguing the case," Ulricke added. So what's the current status of the GM DNA is unlike natur al DNA in many respe cts. It conta ins new comb inatio ns of genet ic mater ial that have never existe d in billion s of years of evolut ion, includ ing genes seque nces that are compl etely synth esized in the labora tory, differi ng signif icantl y from their natur al count erpart s. GM DNA is design ed with recom binati on seque nces in order to break and insert into genom es; it also conta ins other chang es to overc ome genet ic differ ences betwe en specie s. GM DNA insert ing into genom es cause s mutational and other genom e rearra ngem ents includ ing cancer. In additi on, GM DNA contains a high propo rtion of viral and bacte rial DNA, know n to cause a range of immu ne reactions in huma n. strated that no GM DNA could transfer into the milk, and produced a statement signed by six German scientists with the title, No transfer of genetically modified components from animal feed to milk. Greenpeace contacted me for help in producing a counterstatement. The counter-statement, SCIENCE IN SOCIETY 27, AUTUMN 2005 plants for animal feed, the products are connected with genetic engineering and therefore the term GE-milk is perfectly justified. Mueller claimed that GM-DNA fragments are not present in milk, but Greenpeace countered by saying it was not yet scientifically decided. evidence? Is there or is there not GMDNA in milk? Unpublished evidence kept under lock and key There are several published studies on the transfer of genetically modified (GM) DNA from animal feed to milk, all 9 of them methodologically flawed; nevertheless they indicate that it is possible for DNA from GM feed to transfer to milk. And this is confirmed in an unpublished study from the Weihenstephen Institute of Physiology and the Technical University of Munich. Astonishingly, the lead author of the unpublished study from Weihenstephen Institute, which found positive evidence of GM DNA in milk Prof. Ralf Einspanier - is also the lead author of the statement on behalf of the company Mueller, claiming there is no transfer of genetically modified components from animal feed to milk. Furthermore, that unpublished study was done on milk collected from dairy cows on a farm in Hesse Germany where, between 2000 and 2001, 12 cows died after eating Syngenta's GM maize Bt 176 ("Cow ate GM maize and died", SiS 21). No proper autopsies were carried out, while this crucial study dated 20 October 2000 remained under lock and key for more than three years before it was leaked to Greenpeace. A handful of studies The first study in the laboratories of Einspanier, Jahreis and Flachowsky detected "faint signals" of the abundant plant chloroplast DNA in milk, but not the GM DNA. However, the limit of detection, i.e., the sensitivity of the detection method, was not reported. This would involve spiking the milk with increasing amounts of DNA from the GM feed until a positive signal is obtained. A second study in another laboratory failed to find any GM DNA in milk. But the limit of detection was 30 ng GM soya DNA added to the milk, which is equivalent to 16 200 copies of the GM soya genome, or the same number of copies of the GM DNA insert, assuming there is a single insert in the genome. This is unacceptably high compared to the standard limit of detection of 10 copies or less; and it indicates that the method used was far from sensitive enough. A follow-up investigation did detect plant chloroplast DNA, but not the GM DNA in milk. Chloroplast DNA outnumbers GM DNA by up to 50 000 copies to 1. The limit of detection in this study was still too high; it required 2 700 copies of the GM soya genome and 602 copies of the GM maize genome in 330 microlitres (about three drops) of milk. Another limitation of all these studies was that the animals were given GM feed for only several weeks. The fourth published study established the limit of detection as between 5 and 10 genomic copies of the GM DNA, but not by adding the GM plant DNA to milk, which is necessary, as inhibitors of the detection reaction are often present. Nevertheless these researchers found plant chloroplast DNA in high proportions, possibly all, of the milk samples from dairy cows: 86 percent positives while the rest were 'indeterminate'. They claim to have found "no statistically significant" presence of GM DNA in milk. No information on the length of the feeding trial(s) was given in this study. Positive evidence indicating the presence of GM DNA in milk was contained in the unpublished report from Weihenstephen Institute referred to earlier. Two milk samples were analysed, and GM DNA was detected in both. A wider range of probes were used for different genes coding for: Ubiquitin and zein (about 20 and 40 copies respectively in the maize genome); EPSPS, single copy gene specific for GM soya; rubisco gene in chloroplast genome (about 10 000 to 50 000 copies); and Bt (CrylA), single copy gene specific for GM maize The first milk sample was probed for ubiquitin, rubisco and Bt; the second sample was probed for all five gene-sequences. The milk was separated by centrifugation into the cell fraction at the bottom, fat at the top and solution in between. The first sample showed that ubiquitin DNA was present in all the cell and fat fractions, but not in solution. The chloroplast rubisco DNA could be detected in all cell and fat fractions. The Bt DNA was detected in all the fractions that were positive for chloroplast DNA, with a rather similar pattern. The summary stated, "It was not difficult to prove the existence of general plant DNA (chloroplasts) in this milk. In addition, positive signals for the presence of Bt-maize fragments were obtained. This data indicates the presence of small quantities of Btmaize gene fragments in the tank milk." (emphasis added) However, the authors made the unjustified assumptions that the Btmaize gene fragments came from other sources than the animals producing the milk and that they have no biological significance, "The presence of Bt-maize material in the milk supplied is not necessary due to endogenous factors (i.e., via the animal itself). Thus, the presence of many different kinds of feed in the tank milk is likely and almost inevitable in spite of stringent hygienic conditions. The PCR analysis will also detect dust or aerosols from neighbouring feeding areas. On the basis of the biological knowledge available to us, the presence of the very small quantity of Btmaize DNA identified has only analytical but no biological relevance whatsoever." In the second sample, not only was the Bt gene fragment from GM maize detected in milk, the EPSPS gene fragment from GM soya - contained in the animal feed - was also detected. The summary stated, "In this milk, it was possible to identify sporadic traces of general plant DNA (chloroplasts) as well as zein and EPSPS gene fragments. As well as this, slightly positive signals indicating the presence of Bt-maize fragments were also contained. This data indicates minor contamination with Bt-maize gene fragments in the tank milk." Again, this "contamination" was deemed to have "no biological relevance whatsoever." GM DNA in milk is a cause for concern The presence of GM DNA in milk is a cause for concern, regardless of whether it originated in the animal producing the milk, or by contamination from "dust or aerosols" containing GM feed, which according to the authors of the unpublished report "is likely and almost inevitable in spite of stringent hygienic conditions." GM DNA is unlike natural DNA in many respects. It contains new combinations of genetic material that have never existed in billions of years of evolution, including gene sequences that are completely synthesized in the laboratory, differing significantly from their natural counterparts. GM DNA is designed with recombination sequences in order to break and insert into genomes; it also contains other changes to overcome genetic differences between species. GM DNA inserting into genomes causes mutational and other genome rearrangements including cancer. In addition, GM DNA contains a high proportion of viral and bacterial DNA, known to cause a range of immune reactions in human. Another source of hazard from GM DNA comes from the gene products encoded, which have never been part of our food chain. For example, one study found that two-thirds of all the transgenes have similarities to known allergens and should be regarded as potential allergens until proven otherwise ("Are transgenic proteins allerSiS genic?" SiS25) www.i-sis.org.uk 10 Bt10 Detection Method Unacceptable Concerted move to reassure the European public Swiss biotech firm Syngenta had accidentally sold illegal GM maize Bt10 in the US for the past four years, resulting in about 133 million kilograms of the maize making its way into food and feed. The news broke on 22 March 2005 in the science journal Nature ("Syngenta's GM maize scandals", SiS 26), although Syngenta had entered into talks with the US government since December 2004. Under pressure from public protests across the world, the US government fined Syngenta a derisory US$375 000 (euro 270 000) for the mishap. And on 18 April, the European Commission imposed an emergency measure to ban certain GM maize imports from the US unless they were accompanied by an original analytical report issued by an accredited laboratory demonstrating that the product does not contain Bt10 ("Europe acts swiftly to keep out unapproved GM maize", SiS26). Scarcely a week later, the EU authorities announced that Syngenta had presented a detection test for Bt10, which was already validated by the EU authorities. The validation report from the Joint Research Centre, also Europe's Community Reference Laboratory (CRL) for GM Food and Feed, said it carried out an in-house validation of the event-specific detection method "proposed by GeneScan on Bt10 maize developed by Syngenta Crop Protection AG." Syngenta provided the DNA samples (genomic DNA extracted from the Bt10 maize line and from a control maize line), and GeneScan provided the event-specific detection method based on a qualitative polymerase chain reaction (PCR) assay. Monopoly on detection method declared So who, or what is GeneScan? GeneScan advertises itself on its website as "the world market leader in the field of molecular biological testing for Genetically Modified Organisms (GMOs) in food, feed and agricultural raw materials." The GeneScan website has a link to a page on Syngenta's website, which advertises the "European Union Bt10 Detection Method" as a "validated detection methodology that has been thoroughly tested for accuracy, reliability and sensitivity" using authentic samples to ensure actual targeted material is detected reliably when present. The method is designed, it says, to exclude "false positives" in the hands of "highly qualified scientific personnel with specific experience with the protocol", working under "exemplary laboratory practice and standard operation procedures (SOPS) from an …accredited lab", with "provisions for retesting false positives". The same Syngenta page advises us that GeneScan is "the only private service laboratory that fulfils the elements listed above for Bt10 testing", and the fact that the EU Joint Research Centre has certified the GeneScan method on April 22, 2005 as "the only EU official method for Bt10 detection." Following that, yet again, the admonition to guard against "false positives" is repeated. In contrast, there's not a word said about false negatives, which as every molecular geneticist knows, is also a problem with the PCR detection method, particularly if the GM insert is unstable, and prone to deletions and rearrangements, as revealed in recent analyses by European government laboratories ("Transgenic lines proven unstable", SiS20; "Unstable transgenic lines illegal", SiS21). This three-way mutual reinforcement between Europe's Joint Research Centre (the European Commission's official laboratory), Syngenta and GeneScan seems just a bit too cosy to be reassuring. What's more, they have jointly declared a monopoly on the detection method, ruling out all others that could give "false positives". It is a case of the poacher turned gamekeeper with the help of the governor. SCIENCE IN SOCIETY 27, AUTUMN 2005 The validation report issued by the Joint Research Centre (JRC) goes on to state, "The results of the JRC validation demonstrated that the method reliably detects an amplification product specific for Bt10 maize, and therefore allows discriminating event Bt10 from other GM-events in maize lines. The sensitivity of the method is below 0.1%…. "The method is therefore considered by the CRL as fit for the purpose of Bt10 detection and it is the only one accepted to certify the presence of Bt10 in maize commodities in accordance with the Commission Decision 1005/317/EC). (emphasis added) When is a positive false? In fact, the method amplifies and detects a small 130base pair fragment of Bt10 DNA, said to be specific for Bt10. It is not stated which gene fragment from Bt10 is being amplified. A strict protocol is laid out in detail. The Bt10 and wild type (non-GM) DNA supplied by Syngenta were analysed along with other reference and non-reference material contained in the JRC's Community Reference Laboratory. The 130 bp band was indeed specifically amplified only in Bt10. But unfortunately, bigger bands were amplified and detected in other GM maize lines, and even in the wild-type maize DNA supplied by Syngenta. Strangely enough, these higher molecular weight bands were absent from the Bt10 DNA from Syngenta. The origins of the "unspecific amplicons" (amplified DNA) were not investigated further, but effectively dismissed with the remark, "This suggests that the method can be further optimised." Consequently, only the 130bp amplicon is regarded as a definite positive. The conclusion of the validation report states that the method is "fit for its intended purpose", with the qualification, "However, at this stage of testing, the method produces a higher molecular-weight multi-band pattern in GM and non-GM maize which requires additional efforts in its optimisation." Still further qualifications are contained in a later report on the detection method: "The analyst shall be aware that other validation experiments indicated that the method might perform less reliably at annealing temperatures higher than specified in the protocol. Moreover, in some incidents unspecific amplification was observed with PCR profiles that used higher numbers of cycles than specified in the protocol. Time constraints did not permit to rectify these concerns…" As mentioned earlier, fragmentation or rearrangements of the GM insert can change the size of the amplicon, or otherwise fail to give the specific amplicon. Consequently, unless fragmentation or rearrangement of the Bt10 GM insert can be ruled out, it is not legitimate to conclude that amplicons of other sizes are "false positives". Further data, further confusion Syngenta's reports sent to the US Environment Protection Agency earlier this year have been leaked to ISIS. The first report dated 28 January 2005 is intended to present the DNA sequence of Bt10 compared with Bt11, the GM maize line that Bt10 had contaminated by accident. The Bt10 insert was mapped to chromosome 1 of the maize genome, while Bt11 insert had been mapped to chromosome 8. This alone will indicate that Bt10 is completely different from Bt11. In addition, there were three nucleotide changes in Bt10 compared with Bt11: two in an unspecified sequence contained within the Bt10 insert (unspecified sequence 1 in Figure 1 below), and one located in the nos terminator associated with the crylAb gene. No nucleotide changes were identified in any of the coding sequences and promoters within the Bt10 insert. However, the map of the Bt10 insert presented can only be partial, as it did not include the ampicillin antibiotic resistance marker gene, unless that marker gene has inserted elsewhere in the genome. The map pre- The last straw by Andy Watton The detection method for Syngenta's illegal GM maize is flawed; there must be a full disclosure of information and access to reference material for retrospective risk assessment and risk management Dr. Mae-Wan Ho and Prof. Joe Cummins This three-way mutual reinforcement between Europe's Joint Research Centre (the European Commission's official laboratory), Syngenta and GeneScan seems just a bit too cosy to be reassuring. What's more, they have jointly declared a monopoly on the detection method, ruling out all others that could give "false positives". It is a case of the poacher turned gamekeeper with the help of the governor. sented also contained at least three unspecified, unknown sequences (Fig. 1). Unspecified sequence 1 (>1000 bp)-p35S (516pb)-IVS6 maize adh1S (477bp)-crylAb(syn) (1848bp)-tnos (267bp)-Unspecified sequence 2 (~400bp)-p35S(422bp)-IVS2 maize adh1S (180bp)-pat (522bp)-tnos (259 bp)-unspecified sequence 3 (~160bp) Figure 1. Map of Bt11 from Syngenta's report to US EPA The second report from Syngenta to the EPA is of a study comparing the transgenic proteins expressed in Bt10 compared with those in Bt11. The proteins were extracted from leaves of the plants, and subjected to western blot analyses, a technique dependent on staining the protein bands with specific antibodies after separating them by migration in an electric field through a gel matrix. This report claims that the analyses "revealed similar dominant immunoreactive bands" in both Bt11 and Bt10 corresponding to the predicted Cry1Ab protein (for insect resistance) and phosphinothricin acetyltransferase (PAT) (for tolerance to the herbicide glufosinate ammonium) of about 69 000 and 22 000 daltons respectively. However, the photographs of the western blots contained in the report tell a different story. Bt11 showed a series of bands at 46 000, 63 000 and 52 000 daltons (in order of strength of staining) as well as the dominant 69 000 daltons band, whereas Bt 10 only had the 63 000 daltons fragment as well as the main predicted band. The PAT protein bands in Bt10 and Bt 11 were also different from each other and from the purified standard, with many high molecular weight bands reacting to the antibody. Neither report contains information on the breeding history of the GM maize lines analysed, such as the number of generations since the transformation event; nor data from appropriate reference material. These are sure signs of sloppy science. Full disclosure of molecular data and access to reference material required The detection method for Bt10 is flawed by the admission of the European authorities. The identity of the 130 bp amplicon, supposed to be specific for Bt10, is not made explicit. The molecular data supplied to the US EPA are incomplete. It is impossible to judge if the detection method is adequate in the absence of full molecular data including those from reference material proving that Bt10 had remained genetically stable since it was first unintentionally released. Bt11 had already been exposed to be unstable, and to be contaminated with another Syngenta maize Bt176, implicated in the death of dairy cows in Hesse Germany ("Cows ate GM maize and died", SiS 21). Syngenta has admitted that Bt10, as distinct from Bt11, contains an ampicillin resistance marker gene, which, according to an Opinion issued by the Scientific Panel on Genetically Modified Organisms of the European Food Safety Authority in 2004, "should not be present in GM plants to be placed on the market". No official information has been forthcoming regarding the ampicillin resistance marker gene in Bt10, nor any attempt to ascertain whether the marker gene has contaminated other maize varieties, GM or otherwise. As Bt10 has already entered the market and the human food chain, it must go through retrospectively the risk assessment process that would have been applied to a GM product approved for market. This is also essential for effective post-release risk management. At the very least, Syngenta must be required to provide the following: • Reference plant material from successive generations of the Bt10 transformation event plus the non-GM maize variety from which Bt10 was derived • Full genetic map and base sequence of the Bt10 insert(s) including the ampicillin resistance marker gene and the host genome sequences flanking the insert(s) • Genome location of the Bt10 insert(s) •Profiles of expressed RNAs and proteins in the Bt10 reference material, compared to those in Bt11 and the non-GM variety or varieties from which the GM maize lines were derived • Molecular genetic data of at least five generations after the Bt10 transformation event, to document genetic stability • Any other information available on Bt 10 Furthermore, regulatory authorities on both sides of the Atlantic must make public all information on Bt10 that they have received from Syngenta or other sources. Our demands have yet to be met. Please circulate this report widely and send it to your elected repreSiS sentatives. www.i-sis.org.uk Energy Energy Strategies in Global Warming: Is Nuclear Energy the Answer? Nuclear energy makes economic nonsense and ecological disaster and provides great opportunities for terrorists Peter Bunyard Global warming is The government sell-off in now and set to 1996 of what was to get much worse become the UK's largest H u m a n - i n d u c e d electricity producer might global warming is have seemed a give-away already upon us. at the time, but in 2002, on The trends in fossil account of having to com- fuel use and the pete for electricity sales release of greenagainst other non-nuclear house gases from generators, British Energy all human activities, including agriculfound its losses piling up ture, indicate that with every unit of electricworldwide we will ity sold. In less than a be hard pushed to year, and in the biggest achieve the 60 to write-off of capital in the 80 per cent reducUK, the company's market tion in greenhouse value plummeted to little gases necessary to more than £100 million stabilise greenhouse gas levels in the atmosphere at 550 parts per million (ppm) before the century is out. That's the upper limit before climate change events become extreme and devastating, according to climatologists. The carbon dioxide level is currently close to 380 ppm in the atmosphere, more than 30 per cent up on the pre-industrial SCIENCE IN SOCIETY 27, AUTUMN 2005 level of 280 ppm. Even at 400 parts per million, which will be reached within 10 years at the current rate of increase of 2 ppm per year, average global temperatures will rise by 2 deg.C. In its scientific review, Climate Change 2001, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) predicts that business-as-usual (BAU) activities across the planet could lead to an average temperature rise of as much as 5.8 deg. C within the century. But such predictions, disturbing as they are, do not take into account the impact of global warming on terrestrial vegetation, including the world's tropical rainforests. Peter Cox and his colleagues at the Hadley Centre of UK Met Office have elaborated climate models that incorporate a dynamic carbon cycle. They predict that, within half a century, the BAU scenario will cause soils and vegetation to switch abruptly from a sink for atmospheric carbon to a source. That would mean not only the loss of the current capacity to withhold and remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, but in addition, the release of carbon from soils and vegetation that has accumulated over the past 150 years. The net result could be a doubling of current concentrations of greenhouse gases within a matter of years. Adding in the fossil fuel emissions could take the levels of carbon dioxide to four times preindustrial levels, i.e 1 000 ppm. The positive feedback from the loss of terrestrial carbon further heats up the earth's surface, and the average surface terrestrial temperature could rise by as much as 9 deg. C instead of the predicted 5.8 deg. C; temperatures this high have not been experienced for more than 40 million years. The soil/vegetation feedback on global warming is not the only one; we face other powerful positive feedbacks, including the change in albedo (the fraction of solar energy reflected back into space) as ice vanishes from the Arctic Circle and from parts of Antarctica where grass is establishing itself for the first time in millions of years. In addition, the potential release of methane from the oceans overlying the vast sediments of the Amazon Fan, or in the permafrost regions of the Northern Hemisphere, could lead to the large changes in climate that were responsible for the mass extinctions of the Permian more than two hundred million years ago. 13 Global warming 2 by Mae-Wan Ho Box 1 How nuclear power is generated Uranium-235, which comprises on average just 0.7 percent of natural uranium, is a fissile (capable of atomic fission) isotope that splits into more or less two radioactive halves when struck by a neutron. The bulk of natural uranium is made up of uranium-238, which, in contrast to the rarer isotope, does not split on being struck by a neutron but tends to absorb a neutron and, through a process of radioactive transformation (with the emission of an electron), jump up to the next element - plutonium. Plutonium is also fissile, and can be 'bred' from uranium fuel when a reactor is up and running. A reactor, as distinct from the uncontrolled fission that makes an atomic bomb, needs the process of fission to be kept at a steady operating level. That is achieved through inserting or withdrawing control rods made of a material that will absorb neutrons and so prevent them from causing a runaway chain reaction (see Fig. 1). With the exception of fast breeder reactors, which use plutonium to 'enrich' the fuel, the majority of reactor systems use a 'moderator' such as graphite or heavy water to slow down the neutrons so that they will be more effective in bringing about a chain reaction. The moderator therefore allows the use of uranium with a relatively low content of uranium-235. The majority of reactors in use today will use uranium fuel that has been enriched to around 4 percent. It has emerged that the Greenland ice sheet is less stable than previously thought. Its rapid melting would raise sea levels by several metres. Moreover, the Gulf Stream is diminishing in strength because of the influx of fresh water into the Arctic Circle. In short, the climate system as we know it is poised on the edge of a profound transition. Once past a point of no return, terrestrial organisms including human beings will have little or no time to adjust and their future on this planet could well be jeopardized. The UK position The UK government, spearheaded by the Prime Minister Tony Blair, has declared its intention to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from Britain by as much as 20 per cent of the baseline year of 1990 by the end of the First Commitment Period of the Kyoto Protocol. That 20 per cent will incorporate carbon trading, allowing industry to purchase carbon credits from elsewhere to offset its emissions, including reforestation projects in developing countries. It will also take on board 'clean development mechanism' projects (CDMs) in developing countries, whereby a donor industrialized country can share the equivalent of greenhouse gas emissions foregone through investing in a 'cleaner' project than would have been deployed had the additional investment and technical expertise not been available. Despite a host of different projects, Figure 1. Controlled chain reaction in a nuclear plant as opposed to divergent chain reaction that makes an atom bomb. including wind-farms, it is becoming clear that the UK will have difficulty achieving that target. Energy demands in the UK are rising and emission cuts are stagnating. Indeed, over the past 40 years, the mean rate of energy demand has been increasing at 0.5 percent a year, mostly provided through burning fossil fuels. Moreover, recent figures supplied by the Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) show that carbon dioxide emissions from the UK, rather than falling as planned, are rising rapidly, by 2.2 per cent in 2003 and 1.5 per cent in 2004. And that is despite the UK's commitment to a legally binding 12.5 percent cut in greenhouse gas emissions compared to 1990, let alone the 20 per cent called for. Currently, the UK's emissions are no more than 4 per cent below 1990 levels. The reality is that recent energy demand in the UK is growing at almost double the rate of the past half century; the DTI is predicting that the current per annum increase of 0.9 per cent will continue at least until 2010. Energy demand is up in all sectors of the UK economy, in transport, electricity and space-heating. Blair's government is now reviewing a number of options for reducing emissions, including wind power and the renewables; investment in tidal, wave and solar systems; a new nuclear power programme; subsidies for energy efficient household appliances; new building regulations that will incorporate energy efficient designs; carbon taxes including a rise in fuel duties; and a reduction in the prices of alternative fuels such as bio-diesel. The International Energy Agency (IEA) projects that as much as 1400 Mixed oxide fuel, GW (gigawatts = 109 watts) of coal- containing up to 5 per fired plants will be cent plutonium, is ideal in operation by material for terrorists, 2030 in the world, being no more than mildly a considerable radioactive compared with proportion in India spent reactor fuel, and in a and China. At a form from which the meeting of the plutonium can be easily IEA and World extracted. Coal Institute in Beijing (23 April, 2004), Wu Yin, Deputy Director-General of Energy Department, National Development & Reform Commission, China, stated that in 20 years time, China anticipated that coal would feature as the main fuel for a significantly enlarged electricity supply system. Vijay Sethu, Executive Director, Project & Structured Finance, Asia, ANZ Investment Bank, Singapore, confirmed that a similar situation would prevail for India. Both countries would also resort to nuclear power. During their lifetimes the coal-fired plants of China and India could emit some 500 Gt (gigatonnes) of carbon dioxide, equal to half of anthropogenic (humansource) emissions in the last 250 years. www.i-sis.org.uk 14 Forecasts of energy requirements In their 22nd report on Environmental Pollution of 2000, the Royal Commission set out four different scenarios for the UK to reduce its On Sunday 12 June, 2005, greenhouse gas the BBC reported that a emissions by mid leak of highly radioactive century. How such waste containing enough reductions were to uranium and plutonium to be achieved was make several atomic markedly different weapons had gone in each case; howunnoticed for more than 8 ever, all four scemonths. narios anticipated that fossil fuels would continue to be used for transport, perhaps through fuel cells, but with the hydrogen originating from fossil fuels. Scenario 1 is based on the notion that the UK would have a BAU economy, but with final energy demand kept down to 1998 levels. A 57 percent reduction in greenhouse gas emissions would be obtained through the deployment of at least 52 GW of nuclear power - four times today's capacity - or as suggested, through using fossil fuel for electricity generation in which the carbon dioxide is recovered and buried in oil wells. Electricity would also be derived from renewable energy sources, including 200 offshore wind farms, each with 100 large turbines, as well as wave and tidal machines. The Severn Estuary barrage would be up and running and photovoltaic solar panels installed on the roofs of buildings. In recent years, efficient solar water heating systems have been developed that, even in the UK climate, make an effective contribution in reducing fossil fuel energy demands. Box 2 The nuclear fuel cycle The nuclear fuel cycle begins with the mining of uranium, followed by extracting it from the ore. The uranium is enriched by centrifuging gaseous uranium hexafluoride, so that the heavier uranium-238 leaves behind an increasing concentration of uranium-235, the fissile material. The enriched uranium is then manufactured into ceramic fuel and encased in 'cladding', usually of zirconium alloy or stainless steel, as used in Britain's Advanced Gas Reactors (graphite moderator and carbon dioxide gas for transporting heat to a steam generator). Spent fuel from the power plant is highly radioactive and must be handled remotely. Initially, it is placed in cooling ponds to allow short-lived radioactive isotopes to decay. Then, there are two options: one to dispose of the intact, radioactive fuel, with its cladding, in long term repositories, where continual cooling can be provided; two to reprocess the fuel so as to extract any unused uranium as well as plutonium. Reprocessing leads to the production of various waste streams of virulently radioactive material. Various attempts have been made to vitrify (turning to glass) high level radioactive waste, so that it can be deposited as a glass block. The UK still has to decide how and where to dispose of that waste. Meanwhile, the extracted plutonium can be made into fresh fuel, such as Mixed Oxide Fuel, which also contains uranium. Reactors need to be adapted to take MOX fuel because its fission characteristics are different from using enriched uranium fuel. Essentially, fossil fuels underpin the use of nuclear power, especially in the mining, extraction and manufacture of uranium fuel. To date fossil fuels have provided the energy and materials for the construction of nuclear installations, quite aside from providing electricity to maintain safety systems. Figure 2. The nuclear fuel cycle including fossil fuels used in extracting uranium, constructing the nuclear plant, turning the power generated into electricity and decommissioning and reprocessing to get rid of hazardous nuclear wastes. SCIENCE IN SOCIETY 27, AUTUMN 2005 Scenarios 2 and 3 involve a reduction in energy use of more than a third while Scenario 4 requires an energy reduction of nearly one half compared to energy demands in 1998. Through reductions in transport, in electricity and in low- and high-grade heat, Scenarios 2 and 4 avoid the use both of nuclear power and fossil fuel stations with carbon dioxide recovery. Their demands for renewable energy resources are also reduced compared to Scenario 1. Meanwhile, Scenario 3 makes up for a reduced use of renewable energy sources by resorting to nuclear power although far less, at 19 GW, than the requirement for 56 GW in Scenario 1. On the assumption that people and businesses are not going to pay silly prices for their energy, the Royal Commission has suggested a cut-off price of 7p/kWh for renewable energy supply, thereby imposing limits on the quantity of energy from such sources that could be available by 2025. What can the nuclear industry do for us? The nuclear industry has always seen itself as the saviour of industrialised society. The slogan of the 1960s, especially in the United States, was that nuclear power would deliver unlimited energy cheaply and safely, and that it would step into the breech when fossil fuel supplies became scarce. At the time, no one was thinking of the problem of greenhouse gases. In its 1981 report on nuclear costs, the Committee for the Study of Nuclear Economics showed that a station such as Sizewell B would cost some £2 billion more (1980's money) over its lifetime than a comparable-sized conventional thermal power station such as Drax B in Yorkshire, which would put nuclear power beyond the reach of privatization. In 1996, for £1.5 billion, the newly created British Energy acquired seven Advanced Gas Reactor (AGR) stations and the country's only commercial Pressurized Water Reactor (PWR). The actual cost of construction had amounted to over £50 billion, of which more than £3 billion had recently been spent on the Sizewell B PWR, newly commissioned in the mid 1990s. The government sell-off in 1996 of what was to become the UK's largest electricity producer might have seemed a giveaway at the time, but in 2002, on account of having to compete for electricity sales against other non-nuclear generators, British Energy found its losses piling up with every unit of electricity sold. In less than a year, and in the biggest write-off of capital in the UK, the company's market 15 value plummeted to little more than £100 million. Basically, British Energy could not go on trading and had to call on the government to salvage it. Despite complaints of favouritism from non-nuclear companies, the government agreed a loan of £410 million to British Energy, and a month later, upped it to £650 million. Meanwhile, as Energy Minister Brian Wilson reiterated in parliament on 27 January 2002, the government would provide the £200 million required to go into the fund for decommissioning. Dale Vince, the managing director of Ecotricity, regards such support for the nuclear industry as economic nonsense. He said in an interview published in The Guardian, "If we were given £410 million instead of British Energy, we could have built enough onshore wind energy to power 10 per cent of the country's electricity needs." Unfortunately, you cannot just shut down nuclear stations and walk away. You have to keep the safety systems, including core-cooling, up and running for as long as the fuel is in the core (see Box 1). And then, when the spent fuel is extracted, you have to make multi-billion dollar decisions what to do with it (see Box 2). Do you send it to loss-making British Nuclear Fuels (BNF) for reprocessing, with all that entails in terms of discharges of radioactive waste into the Irish Sea and the atmosphere? That being the case, do you continue sanctioning the production of Mixed Oxide Fuel (MOX), which makes economic nonsense, as well as a dubious saving on uranium and is a security nightmare (see below)? Or do you reduce costs by storing the spent fuel intact? As to the use of MOX, many critics within and outside the industry have repeatedly pointed out that the gains are far outweighed by economic and environmental problems. In France, reprocessing spent fuel to extract plutonium for MOX fuel manufacture will save no more than 5 to 8 per cent on the need for fresh uranium. Meanwhile, as experience in both France and Britain has shown, reprocessing spent reactor fuel leads to a hundredfold or more increase in the volume of radioactive wastes. In the end, all the materials used, including tools, equipment and even the buildings become radioactive and have to be treated as a radioactive hazard. It is also highly questionable whether the use of MOX fuel will actually reduce the amount of plutonium that has been generated after half a century of operating reactors, both military and civil. Worldwide, more than 1 500 tonnes of plutonium have been generated, of which some 250 tonnes have been extracted for making bombs and another 250 tonnes extracted as a result of reprocessing the spent fuel from 'civilian' reactors. Apart from its military-grade plutonium - plutonium relatively pure in the 239 isotope - Britain now has some 50 tonnes of lower quality reactor-grade plutonium contaminated with other, less readilyfissionable isotopes such as 241. Because of the continued reprocessing of spent reactor fuel in commercial reprocessing plants in Britain, France, Russia and Japan, the world will have some 550 tonnes of separated civil plutonium by the year 2010, enough to produce 110 000 nuclear weapons. Mixed oxide fuel ideal for terrorists Mixed oxide fuel, containing up to 5 per cent plutonium, is ideal material for terrorists, being no more than mildly radioactive compared with spent reactor fuel, and in a form from which the plutonium can be easily extracted. Just one MOX fuel assembly contains some 25 kilograms of plutonium, enough for two weapons. A reactor, modified to take the plutonium-enriched fuel for up to 30 per cent of the reactor core, has some 48 MOX fuel assemblies. Currently, 23 light water (ordinary water) reactors - 5 in Germany, 3 in Switzerland, 13 in France and 2 in Belgium - have been converted to use MOX fuel. Five countries, Britain, Belgium, France, Japan and Russia, are manufacturing the fuel. With BNFL's new MOX plant up and running, supply will exceed demand by a factor of two, at least until 2015. BNFL claims that the use of MOX fuel will help burn up stocks of plutonium, including those from dismantled weapons. But the very operation of civilian reactors, with their load of the plutonium-generating uranium isotope, the 238 isotope, makes it inevitable that more plutonium is generated than is consumed. A 0.9GW pressurized water reactor which has been modified to take MOX fuel will burn a little less than one tonne of plutonium every ten years, whereas plutonium production will be about 1.17 tonnes, hence about 120 kilograms more. Global warming and nuclear power The new myth is that nuclear power is the only source of energy that can replace fossil fuels in the quantities required to fuel industrial society, whether in the developed or developing world, while eliminating the emissions of greenhouse gases. Economies of scale demand that nuclear power stations are large, at least one GW (electrical) in size. Their sudden shutdown can put a considerable strain on the overall electricity supply system. And if their shutdown is the result of a generic problem, that will have major consequences, including the necessity of bringing on stream a large tranche of spare capacity. Furthermore, that capacity is likely to be fossil-fuel based and relatively inefficient. As reported recently in New Scientist, the UK's advanced gas-cooled reactors (AGRs) are showing signs of unexpected deterioration in the graphite blocks. These blocks serve the double function of moderating the nuclear fission process and of providing structural channels for nuclear fuel and control rods. The potential failure of the graphite compromises safety and in all likelihood the UK's 14 AGRs, currently supplying nearly one-fifth of the UK's electricity, will have to be shutdown prematurely, rather than lasting through to 2020 and beyond. Bringing reserve capacity to replace the AGRs will inevitably lead to a surge in greenhouse gas emissions. But that's not the only problem the UK nuclear industry faces. Devastating leak On Sunday 12 June, 2005, the BBC reported that a leak of highly radioactive waste containing enough uranium and plutonium to make several atomic weapons had gone unnoticed for more than 8 months. It appears that a pipe in British Nuclear Fuels' thermal oxide reprocessing plant at Sellafield in Cumbria had fractured as long ago as last August, spewing nitric acid with its deadly load of radionuclides onto the floor. The leak, containing as much as 20 tonnes of uranium and 160kg of plutonium, was discovered only in April of this year. British Nuclear Fuels has justified the use of the reprocessing plant as being essential for the production of mixed oxide fuel from the spent fuel taken from the UK's Advanced Gas Reactors. As a result of the leak, the nuclear inspectorate has ordered British Nuclear Fuels to shut down THORP, the thermal oxide reprocessing plant. Just how the spilt waste can be removed remains to be seen, but once again the accident reinforces concerns that the nuclear industry, quite aside from its poor economic showing, can never be made safe enough. In addition, the Environment Agency inspectors told BNF that it had to improve the way it discharged low level radioactive waste into the Irish Sea, now probably one of the most contaminated waters in the world. Some commentators estimate it will take considerably more than a century to clean up the radioactive waste that the industry has already discharged into the environment, at a cost of well over £50 000 SiS million. www.i-sis.org.uk 16 Taking to the Wind Wind power working Ian Fells, professor of Energy Conversion at Newcastle University, told BBC's Radio 4 Today programme back in December 2002 that if we wanted electricity on tap, while simultaneously meeting our Kyoto Protocol commitments to reduce carbon dioxide emissions, we would fail abysmally unless we replaced and even added to our nuclear power capacity (25 per cent of UK electricity generation in 2005). Renewable energy sources, such as wind-power, he insisted, would be marginal to needs and barely worth the cost of developing. Ian Fells' remarks contrasted with the experience of one of Denmark's energy experts who, during the same December 2002 Radio 4 programme, pointed out how successful his country's strategy had been in developing an electricity supply industry (in which wind-power provides nearly 20 per cent of the total in 2005). It had been good for jobs, good for exports and good for Denmark's energy needs, with the SCIENCE IN SOCIETY 27, AUTUMN 2005 industry employing 16 000 and annual sales of wind turbines reaching more than 2 GW, equal to two large nuclear power plants. Peter Edwards, ex-chairman of the British Wind Energy Society developed the first British wind-farm at Delabole in Cornwall 14 years ago in response to the threat of a nuclear power station being built nearby. Initially the economics did not look good, at least in the context of the UK, and Edwards all but abandoned the idea. But then, in 1991, the government simultaneously introduced the fossil fuel levy on fossil fuel generating plants and the non-fossil fuel obligation (NFFO) to support at least 20 per cent electricity production from non-fossil fuel sources. At the time, nuclear power was generating 20 per cent of the Central Electricity Generating Board's production, and with privatisation in the offing, the NFFO was little more than a straight subsidy to sweeten up the City in time for a sale. Nonetheless, the subsidy did open up the possibility of investing in the alternatives, such as wind. In 1990, the fossil fuel levy amounted to £900 million, much of which went into the pockets of the nuclear industry. As Edwards told me in 2001, ten years on from establishing his ten-turbine wind-farm, performance has been better than predicted. "We now have 10 years of records carefully analysed by ETSU (Energy Technology Study Unit) at Harwell, as well as by the DTI, and have discovered benefits from wind generation that we barely suspected. People are quick to say that the wind is fickle and that it fails just when you most need it, but such critics have also failed to understand that when we most need the energy, that's when the wind blows. In our part of the UK, 60 percent of annual generation is between October and March. Consequently, wind generation and demand go together; in winter when the wind blows, the chill factor goes up and so does the need for electricity; in summer just when everyone is returning home for their tea in the early evening that's when the onshore winds 17 Taking to the wind by Mae-Wan Ho obligingly come into play." It took just a few months to get the Vesta 400 kilowatt turbines up and running. Moreover, each of the machines had been sited in hedgerows across the farm, with minimal loss of land, and since they were all plugged into the local Delabole 11 000 volt substation, they instantly provided power to the neighbourhood and hence avoided the substantial distribution losses that go with distantly connected power stations. "Such embedded generation immediately improves the quality of supply," Peter Edwards said, "evening out those fluctuations that have been a curse of electricity supply throughout Cornwall, not least because the bulk of our electricity comes from the Hinkley Point nuclear power station, more than 150 miles away. It's rather like a blood transfusion into an extremity where bleeding is occurring: you balance out the loss and consequently the local voltage is now much more stable. Cornwall now has six windfarms, enough to supply some 27 000 households, and whether locals know it or not, the quality of their electricity has gone up substantially." In much of Western Europe, wind-power has really taken off, for instance in Germany, Spain and Denmark. In Britain, largely because of the cost of planning applications and public resistance, development has been slower. However, by the beginning of 2003, the UK had a total of 552 megawatts of installed capacity in place from 78 different projects and another 17 to be constructed over the coming two years. By January 2005, another 340 MW of wind farms units required to generate that electricity which can be more than three times greater. Godfrey Boyle of the Energy Environment Research Unit at the Open University points out in a personal email to me (March 2005) that the size of turbines has been increasing spectacularly in recent years and the largest machines in operation today can have a capacity as high as 4.5 MW. Most of the machines now being built in Britain, whether onshore or offshore, are rated at about 2 MW. How much land would be required were such wind-machines to provide 20 per cent of UK requirements? In 2003, total UK electricity was a little short of 400 TWh (terawatt hours=1012 watt-hours) so 20 per cent would amount to 80 TWh. Denmark, which manufactures many of the turbines used here and has considerable experience of siting such machines, suggests that each individual turbine should have a downwind spacing of 7 to 9 diameters and a crosswind spacing of 3 to 5 diameters, with resultant array losses of around 5 per cent. Therefore, each turbine of 2 MW at best would require a minimal area of 16.5 hectares, although it must be appreciated that the land is still open and can be used for recreational and agricultural purposes right up to the turbine tower. Including array losses of 5 per cent, the average annual output per turbine would be 5 GWh (gigawatt hours=109 watt-hours) and the output per hectare of 300 MWh/ha. To produce 80 TWh would therefore require 267 000 hectares, which is just over 1 per cent of the unexpected breakdowns, is met by keeping some power plants in the electricity supply system as 'spinning' reserve whereby the turbines are kept rotating, even when their power output is not required. To meet peak demand is inevitably more expensive in terms of unit costs and therefore in relative greenhouse gas emissions, than providing for a steady base-load. The renewables, such as wind, do not fit neatly into the category of providing base-load electricity nor can they be brought on at will to supply peak demand. As the engineer Andrew Ferguson points out: "There is no way that we can order wind turbines to follow demand," and on the basis that the wind supplies 30 per cent of the 'block' of electricity determined by the peak demand, and the flexible back-up system provides 70 per cent then, according to Ferguson, the 70 per cent is likely to be supplied inefficiently at 35 per cent because of operating 'in harness' instead of 60 per cent as can be obtained in a combined cycle gas turbine (CCGT). "Hence, the gas needed will be 0.70/0.35 = 2 units, whereas were there to be no wind turbines, 100 per cent of electricity would be supplied by CCGTs operating efficiently (60 per cent), and the gas needed would be 1/0.60 = 1.67 units. Thus using wind turbines increases gas consumption by (2/1.67) -1 = 20 per cent." Ferguson's pessimistic view is not held by others in the industry. Lewis Dale, a member of the DTI/Ofgem Technical Steering Group, together with David Milborrow, Richard Slark and Goran Strbac, all professionals in the field, have looked at the costs for introducing different windpower as well as other renewable energy sources, including photovoltaics, backed up by electricity generation from biomass, will make a good contribution to overall electricity supply. were up and running, hence the equivalent in capacity terms of a small nuclear power plant, all constructed within a matter of months of the work commencing. Some of the new wind farms involve relatively large machines of 2 and 2.5 MW, and several are offshore. Britain intends to have 20 per cent of its electricity generated from renewable sources by 2020, Denmark intends to go a good step further with 50 per cent being provided from such sources. The detractors Wind as a source of energy for generating electricity has many detractors. The arguments range from "unsightliness and a blot on the landscape", to noisiness and perhaps the most damming of all, to its ineffectiveness and inefficiency, due to the intermittent and unpredictable nature of the wind. Here again, some myths need dispelling; first, that they are inefficient as measured by the percentage of electricity generated compared to the size and capacity of the wind turbine. Basically, critics refer to the 30 per cent or so of production compared to capacity. They neglect that the capacity of a nuclear power station tends to be measured in electricity capacity (MWe) rather than in the thermal total UK land area. In principle, the UK could meet up to 20 per cent of its current electricity needs from the use of land-based wind-turbines. Add to that offshore wind-turbines and the proportion could go up significantly and certainly surpass nuclear power's current contribution of 25 per cent of all electricity generated in the UK. Critics of wind power in particular and the renewables in general make much of their intermittency; the fact that they do not deliver a steady source of electricity hour by hour throughout the year. In a conventional electricity supply system attached to a central grid, the notion is to have base load electricity generated by plants that do best as steady work horses, such as coal-fired plants or indeed nuclear power. In fact, the economics of nuclear power stations demands that the high up-front construction costs are mitigated by constant operation with an optimum power output. Spurts in demand, or peak loads, add to the generating requirements and need to be met with other power plants, such as hydro- or gas turbines, which can be brought on stream rapidly and shut down equally rapidly. Response to such spurts in demand, or to proportions of wind power into the generating system. They take into account the impact of wind on the need to establish and maintain other generating capacity; and network costs, which arise through reconciling the input from wind with the other inputs into the grid. They then compare two scenarios for the year 2020 in which electricity demand has increased by 17 per cent with total electricity sales of 400 terawatt-hours and a peak demand of 70 GW. In the first scenario electricity is provided through using coal and gas, with progressive improvements in efficiency, and evergreater incursions of combined heat and power. In the second scenario wind power has increased to the extent of providing 20 per cent of electricity sales derived from 26 GW of capacity with an average 35 percent load factor (a measure of efficiency given by the ratio of energy produced during a given period of time over the energy that would have been produced had the wind farm been running continually at maximum output) and a typical wind speed of 8.3 metres per second. For the sake of the analysis 60 per cent of the wind capacity is located offshore, connected directly to the central grid and continued on page 20 www.i-sis.org.uk Deconstructing the Nuclear Power Myths Peter Bunyard disposes of the argument for nuclear power: it is highly uneconomical, and the saving on greenhouse gas emissions negligible, if any, compared to a gas-fired electricity generating plant Poor grade uranium will result in a net deficit of energy. Hence a massive worldwide nuclear programme, based on the use of poor grade uranium ores, will add cumulatively to energy demands, rather than resolving them. Limitations due to the quality of uranium ore A critical point about the practicability of nuclear power to provide clean energy under global warming is the quality and grade of the uranium ore. The quality of uranium ore varies inversely with their availability on a logarithmic scale. The ores used at present, such as the carnotite ores in the United States have an uranium content of up to 0.2 per cent, and vast quantities of overlying rocks and subsoil have to be shifted to get to the 96 000 tonnes of uranium-containing rock and shale that will provide the fresh fuel for a one gigawatt reactor. In addition, most of the ore is left behind as tailings with considerable quantities of radioactivity from thorium230, a daughter product of the radioactive decay of uranium. Thorium has a half-life of 77 000 years and decays into radium-226, which decays into the gas radon-222. All are potent carcinogens. Fresh fuel for one reactor contains about 10 curies of radioactivity (27 curies equal 1012 becquerels, each of the latter being one radiation event per second.) The tailings corresponding to that contain 67 curies of radioactive material, much of it exposed to weathering and rain run-off. Radon gas has been found 1 000 miles from the mine tailings from where it originated. Uranium extraction has resulted in more than 6 billion tonnes of radioactive tailings, with a significant impact on human health. Once the fuel is used in a reactor, it becomes highly radioactive primarily because of fission products and the generation of the 'transuranics' such as neptunium and americium. At discharge from the reactor, a tonne of irradiated fuel from a PWR (pressurized water reactor such as in use at Sizewell) will contain more than 177 million curies of radioactive substances, some admittedly short-lived, but all the more potent in the short term. Ten years later, the radioactivity has died away to about 405 000 curies and 100 years on to 42 000 curies, therefore still 600 times more radioactive than the original material from which the fuel was derived. Today's reactors, totalling 350 GW and providing about 3 per cent of the total energy used in the world, consume 60 000 tonnes of equivalent natural uranium, prior to enrichment. At that rate, economically recoverable reserves of uranium - about 10 million tonnes - would last less than SCIENCE IN SOCIETY 27, AUTUMN 2005 100 years. A worldwide nuclear programme of 1 000 nuclear reactors would consume the uranium within 50 years, and if all the world's electricity, currently 60 exajoules (1018Joules) were generated by nuclear reactors, the uranium would last three years. The prospect that the amount of economically recoverable uranium would limit a worldwide nuclear power programme was certainly appreciated by the United Kingdom Atomic Energy Authority in its advocacy for the fast breeder reactor, which theoretically could increase the quantity of energy to be derived from uranium by a factor of 70 through converting non-fissile uranium-238 into plutonium-239. In the Authority's journal, Donaldson and Betteridge stated that, "for a nuclear contribution that expands continuously to about 50 per cent of demand, uranium resources are only adequate for about 45 years." The earth's crust and oceans contain millions upon millions of tonnes of uranium. The average in the crust is 0.0004 per cent and in seawater 2 000 times more dilute. One identified resource, the Tennessee shales in the United States, have uranium concentrations of between 10 and 100 parts per million, therefore between 0.1 and 0.01 per cent. Such low grade ore has little effective energy content as measured by the amount of electricity per unit mass of mined ore. Below 50 parts per million, the energy extracted is no better than mining coal, assuming that the uranium is used in a once-through fuel cycle, and is not reprocessed, but is dumped in some long-term repository. Apart from the self-evident dangers of dissolving spent fuel in acid and keeping the bulk of radioactive waste in stainless steel tanks until a final disposal is found, reprocessing offers very little if anything in terms of energy gained through the extraction and re-use of uranium and plutonium in mixed oxide fuel (MOX). To date, nuclear power has been built and subsidised through the use of fossil fuels, which have provided the energy for mining, extraction, enrichment and construction. Hence, nuclear power cannot be considered to be free of greenhouse gas emissions. Use of the next grade down could lead to a greenhouse gas inventory every bit as bad as for a gas-fired electricity generation plant, and considerably worse than for a gas-fired cogeneration plant, in which both electricity and end-use heating are produced. As Jan Willem Storm van Leeuwen and Philip Smith point out in their document, the cumulative energy produced by a nuclear plant compared 19 with the energy expenditure shows a relatively small net gain over the course of 100 years, which incorporates the time needed to get a handle on the costs of final disposal of the radioactive waste, including the radioactively contaminated structural materials of the reactor. Poor grade uranium will result in a net deficit of energy. Hence a massive worldwide nuclear programme, based on the use of poor grade uranium ores, will add cumulatively to energy demands, rather than resolving them. Nuclear winter by Li Poon Gas-fired plants better than nuclear plants On that basis, comparisons between the carbon dioxide emissions resulting from the full once-through cycle of a nuclear plant and an equivalently sized gas-burning plant, indicate that with the poorer uranium ores, below 0.02 per cent, the gas-fired plant comes out better, with lower overall carbon dioxide emissions. Indeed, the efficiency of a combined-cycle gas plant can now achieve efficiencies of 56 per cent, more than double that achieved for nuclear power. With gas, the costs of electricity generation have therefore reduced in real terms. If that gas-fired plant were to be used in co-generation, with the simultaneous production of electricity and useful heat, it would win hands-down for all but the best uranium ores, such as are in use today. Quite apart from the relative paucity of good uranium ores, if the world were to embark simultaneously on the construction of nuclear plants to replace all coal-fired power plants, that would require one gigawatt-sized (electrical) nuclear reactor to be built every two and a half days for 38 years. Total nuclear capacity, according to Worldwatch's 1989 State of the World, would be 18 times greater than today, at an annual cost of $144 billion (1989 money). In his 1990 report for Greenpeace William Keepin came up with similar numbers in terms of requirements but at a more pessimistic annual cost. He pointed out that 5 000 nuclear plants would be needed to displace the 9.4 TW of coal equivalent estimated to be necessary in electricity generation in the world by 2025. Again he figured on the need to begin construction on a new plant every couple of days, assuming a favourable sixyear completion time. On the basis of highly optimistic assumptions concerning capital costs and plant reliability, total electricity generation costs (1990 money) would average $525 billion per year. Nuclear power has an appalling record for long drawn-out construction times. The last reactor to come on line in the United States took 23 years to complete. Fifteen years has been the average time taken in many Eastern European countries using USSR technology. In France, the average time taken for construction to operation is 8 years. We must also not neglect the considerable and proportionately increasing impact of other greenhouse gases to global warming. The use of nuclear power, even to its best advantage, would not make a jot of difference to the emissions of both methane and nitrous oxide since they are primarily derived from agriculture and in particular from deforestation in the tropics. France - a test case There are other costs in running nuclear power plants. Even the nuclear industry now admits that the generation of electricity that originates from nuclear power is not wholly free of greenhouse gas emissions. France provides a useful background to review the efficiency of power generation and consumer preference. In 1999, France generated 375 TWh from its nuclear stations. EdF (Electricité de France) estimates that the cost in CO2 emissions of operating its nuclear plants amounts to 6 g CO2 per kWh. France's electricity board provides an estimate that includes construction, removing the spent fuel, reprocessing and the storage of wastes. On that basis the total CO2 emissions per year from the operation of its nuclear plants amounts to 2.25 million tonnes. That estimate does not include the mining and preparation of the fuel and hence is not dependent on the quality of the ore. On the other hand, the Öko-Institute of Germany, taking the full fuel cycle costs into account, comes up with an average figure that is nearly 6 times higher - 35 g/kWh - compared with EdF's, in which case the total CO2 emissions would amount to 13.125 million tonnes of CO2 equivalent. In 1990, France emitted 144 million tonnes of CO2 equivalent. Therefore, nuclear power's contribution to the total emissions amounted to 1.6 percent on EdF's estimates and 9.1 percent, according to the Öko- Institute, both numbers being significant and far from trivial. Nevertheless, banking on the naivete of the public, the nuclear industry exaggerates the advantages of nuclear power in terms of avoided greenhouse gas emissions by comparing its relatively low emissions compared to a coal-fired plant of the same generating size. On that basis, nuclear power comes out 300 times better than coal. As Mycle Schneider, director of WISE (World Information on Safe Energy)-Paris, points out, those seemingly low percentages of carbon dioxide emission from nuclear power plants hide an elementary truth, that the use of nuclear power in France has to be augmented, because of consumer preference, by the use in the home of natural gas-based heating systems, both for hot water and space-heating. For home-heating purposes electricity from whatever source is an expensive and inefficient option, and basically the public, let alone industry, prefers to turn away from it. In an average French household, aside from transport, two-thirds of the energy consumed is for heating and just one-third for electricity. Consequently, if we are going to make any comparisons as to the carboneconomy of nuclear power versus fossil-fuel systems, we should do so only by taking the end-use preferences into account. • First, the differences of any one system lie in its efficiency to provide end-use energy whether for heating or electricity • Nuclear power stations are built away from population centres • They are relatively inefficient from a thermodynamic point of view, losing as much as two-thirds of the energy produced as heat to the immediate environment (a body of water or cooling tower). • The one-third remainder of electricity must be transmitted into a central grid system, where the losses can amount to as much as 10 per cent • The net result is that about one quarter of the energy originally released gets to the consumer. If the consumer were to obtain both electricity and heating from a single co-generation system; the efficiency returns can amount to as much as 90 per cent of the original energy and, therefore, some three to four times better than if nuclear generated electricity were to be the sole source of energy in the home. A proper evaluation of greenhouse gas emissions therefore demands that the method of production gets taken into account when estimating the total release of greenhouse gases. Both coal and fuel oil used in a co-generation plant are still inferior by a factor of two to a nuclear power/natural gas combination in terms of greenhouse emissions. But that figure is already far-removed from the 300 times advantage so heralded by the nuclear industry and its supporters. Meanwhile, a natural gas co-generation system is level-pegging with the nuclear power/natural gas combination again in terms of emissions, while being far cheaper to the consumer simply because of the three fold better efficiency in delivering end-use energy. And what about a co-generation system based on biogas? The Öko-Institute estimates that it emits seven times less greenhouse gases in providing end-use energy compared to a nuclear power/natural gas combination. Although concern over the consequences of accidents, such as at Chernobyl or Three Mile Island impinges on the issue, the high, uneconomic cost of nuclear power, more than any other factor, has brought about the industry's failure to make its mark as a major source of energy in the world. Increasingly too, local 'embedded' generation, such as from a wind farm, or a co-generation plant, is becoming an important competitor against the notion of single large power plants attached to a central grid. In a world ever more competitive in terms of reducing cost, an inefficient, high capital cost nuclear power plant is increasingly an anachronism. If nuclear power were the answer to a cheap source of energy, why has there been a massive turning away from nuclear power since the 1970s? In the United States, where nuclear technology originated, all civilian nuclear reactors were ordered in the ten-year period between 1963 and 1973, all with huge subsidies from the federal government, including so-called turn-key contracts. No new ones have been ordered since 1973, six years before the accident at Three Mile Island, and a string of cancellations in the 1970s and 80s plus permanent shutdowns meant that total electricity generated by nuclear power went down rather than up. In 1989, the cancellations and shutdowns exceeded those coming on stream by a SiS considerable margin, 4 GW compared to 10.4 GW. www.i-sis.org.uk 20 continued from page 17 the remainder is located onshore, connected to the 132 kV distribution network or even lower. In effect, if 26 GW of wind power with a 35 per cent load factor were installed, some 5 GW of conventional capacity would no longer be needed, given that replacement electricity has to be generated to make up for shortfalls as a result of intermittency. The authors do not deny that, "technical costs arise as reserve plant is part-loaded and, in consequence, operates at lower efficiency..." Most importantly for 20 per cent of the generating mix coming from wind energy, some 19 per cent of fossil fuel combustion is avoided. That includes a 1 per cent reduction in the savings because of using less efficient generators as part of the reserve. That conclusion presents a markedly different picture from the pessimistic one of Andrew Ferguson. In general, the economics of wind power are based on the amount of fuel saved plus the amount of generating capacity not required minus the costs associated with intermittency. As the Carbon Trust and the Department of Trade and Industry conclude in a recent report: "10 per cent wind penetration would displace with demand rather than being prey to the wind, as is the case with wind turbines, while simultaneously being an efficient producer of end-use energy. Judiciously sited in a housing complex or block of flats, the overall efficiencies of gas-fired combined heat and power systems, which provide useful heat and electricity, can amount to nearly 90 per cent. If biogas is used then the net carbon emissions are extremely low (and much better than using current nuclear power), moreover the system can be powered down when the wind is blowing strong and brought up to full power when needed. With such a system, the wind would make a substantial difference to the amount of fuel required, simply because of the embedded nature of the flexible power supply system. That is not to say that the central grid should be dismantled but could act as a back-up system for local embedded power production. If so, at one stroke, the UK could reduce demand for electricity by 25 per cent or more, simply by balancing out the difference between base load and peak load requirements. Systems that do just that have been in operation for at least 30 years and were part and parcel of throughout the UK: they could be set to allow in a fixed amount of electrical capacity. When the household was asleep and using minimal appliance power, the electricity entering the building would pass automatically through to heating circuits, possibly including heat-storage cookers. In effect each household would have its baseload requirements that could be regulated from month to month, and season to season. Were the demand to go above the set amount, then the consumer would pay heavily for the marginal costs of bringing in more electricity. It would then be up to the consumer to limit the intake into the household by switching items on and off as required, rather than leaving them on without regard for the impact on the total generating capacity required. Once the levels of electricity supplied by an intermittent source, such as from wind turbines, fell below a critical point, then the back up Combined Heat & Power system would automatically come on stream, levelling off the power produced as the wind came back and then switching off were the wind to be back in full strength. The management of such a system could be left to electronic controls combined with self-responsibility. A black box between the end-use consumer and the supply took any excess power, over and above that being used for lights and appliances, and dumped it in a buffer heating circuit. Hence storage heaters, immersion coils in boilers and even storage heater cooking stoves benefited whenever excess electricity was available, about 3 300 MW of capacity and 20 per cent about 5 000 MW. As far as generating costs the additional balancing costs would add between 1.6 and 2.4p per kilowatt-hour for 10 percent penetration and between 1.9 and 2.8p for 20 percent." Timur Gül and Till Stenzel, reporting for the International Energy Agency, conclude that windpower as well as other renewable energy sources, including photovoltaics, backed up by electricity generation from biomass, will make a good contribution to overall electricity supply. Ferguson, like the Carbon Trust/DTI, is hooked into a conventional way to supply and distribute electricity that entails a central grid system supplied by large thermal power plants, whether fossil-fuel fired or nuclear. But, what about an innovative look at an electricity supply system that does rely considerably on renewable sources, whether intermittent or not, and yet is energy-conserving and therefore efficient? Embedded local power supply for maximum efficiency To start let us look back to what is happening in France where the bulk of electricity comes from nuclear power plants ("Deconstructing nuclear power myths", this series). The French consumer prefers to use natural gas for central heating, cooking and heating water, thus making heavy inroads into the supply of electricity from nuclear power, in much the same way that Ferguson has indicated happens with the intermittent supply from wind turbines. The difference is that the gas heating system switches on SCIENCE IN SOCIETY 27, AUTUMN 2005 small-scale generating systems used in isolated dwellings and communities. The inspiration for such a system came from a West-country based engineer, Rupert Armstrong-Evans, who wanted to extract as much power from a system, such as a mini-hydro plant, that it could possibly deliver. Even though the electricity fluctuated on a daily or hourly basis, it could be manipulated electronically to provide superb quality power for delicate appliances such as computers, TVs, and the like. A black box between the end-use consumer and the supply took any excess power, over and above that being used for lights and appliances, and dumped it in a buffer heating circuit. Hence storage heaters, immersion coils in boilers and even storage heater cooking stoves benefited whenever excess electricity was available, such as during the night when the household was asleep, or indeed during the day if the occupants were out working. Clearly, in such a localised embedded system, there are limits to the amount of electricity that can be provided at any one moment. Armstrong-Evans therefore devised his black box to warn the household that it was approaching the limits when demand for quality electricity was near to exceeding supply. Then all that the consumer had to do was to switch off some appliance that could be dispensed with, at least at that moment. In effect, the consumer was made responsible for judicious and constrained use of electricity without losing the comforts and conveniences of the modern home. Imagine the use of such black boxes Just by leaving appliances on stand-by in the home, gadgets such as TVs, washing machines, dish-washers, DVD players as well lights, we in the UK are responsible for emitting an extra one million tonnes of carbon-based greenhouse gas into the atmosphere. That is enough energy, says DEFRA, the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, which commissioned the report, to power the needs of 400 000 homes; and turning the appliances off could reduce electricity requirements by the equivalent to at least one large-sized generation plant. The UK government is now suggesting that manufacturers should sell appliances that automatically switch themselves off when not in use. In essence, energy conservation in the home, at work, in factories and in transport, is by far the cheapest and most effective way of reducing greenhouse gas emissions - certainly an order of magnitude cheaper than building a new nuclear power station per kilowatt saved and immeasurably safer. Whatever we do, we must avoid falling into the trap that Tony Blair and others are setting for us in making us believe that we have no options available to us other than resorting to nuclear power. And we must certainly give the lie to the notion that nuclear power is greenhouse gas emission free or indeed can provide us with bounteous energy for as long as we can see into the future. Renewable energy sources are there for the taking and we must learn to use them efficiently and wisely. It is time to take the SiS wind out of nuclear power. 21 Science under the spotlight What Science, What Europe? Europe's foremost philosopher of science offers a devastating indictment of contemporary European science As a philosopher, I can imagine no better keynote to strike than: what are you doing, what are you trying to do? Organizing a discussion on the European Research policy matters! It matters because it is both urgently needed and difficult. How to read the seventh framework programme [EU's next round of public scientific research funding, 2007-2013]? The first point to note is that this programme does not really invite political debate. Indeed we are not dealing with choices that could be discussed but with what presents itself as the simple enactment of the "Lisbon agenda", fully endorsing its slogans, such as "knowledge society", "economy of knowledge", "knowledge and its exploitation" as "the key for economic growth" and "the competitiveness of enterprises." All this, leading, as we should trust, to employment, while maintaining and strengthening the socalled "European Model", and also providing an improvement of welfare and well-being, quality of life, health and the environment; for such improvements rely, as history has shown, on the progress of knowledge and its many applications. In other words, what we are dealing with is an assemblage of what, in French, we call "mots d'ordre". Mots d'ordre are not made to induce thinking and debating but to produce agreement on consensual perception, putting on the defensive those who feel constrained to a "yes, but…" Yes to employment, yes to the European model, yes to all those improvements, and certainly yes to the progress of knowledge. But… The "but" is coming too late, after so many agreements, and it will be easy to fall into the trap, instead of addressing the means while ratifying the perceived consensual goals. It is the very function and aim of mots d'ordre to capture and inhibit the capacity to think, that is also the capacity to recall or keep in mind that there exists a world that demands thinking, that will not submit to wishful thinking. What this conference is trying to do is as difficult as it is necessary both to resist the trap and to expose it for what it is. Otherwise, the danger is that the opposition to something everybody should agree upon will appear as sheer ideology. But whatever the difficulty, I would insist that this should be done. Indeed, the political point is not only what European money should support, which kind of scientific research it should privilege. It is also what kind of role is assigned to scientists and scientific research for problems that are, first of all, societal problems, such as welfare and well being, quality of life, health and the environment. And it is certainly what kind of scientists do we need in order for this role to be fulfilled, and not to be diverted from this whatever the answer may be. To give just one example, animal welfare has now entered European politics. This is not a result of the progress of scientific knowledge. On the contrary, many scientists have seen this concern as a manifestation of the irrational sensitivity of public opinion, and they demanded objective demonstration that animals such as cows, pigs or hens are able to suffer. But as soon as there is money, even sceptical scientists become interested. One of the propositions stemming from the researchers of the French INRA (Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique) was indeed an achievement. If farm animals indeed do suffer, it is because they are stressed by the kind of quality of life imposed on them. Thus we should obtain less stressed animals, that is, select them in order to produce animals that would accept without stress the kind of life imposed on them. Selection, as usual, is the answer, an answer the great rational advantage of which is that it will not endanger the competitiveness of meat or milk production while answering the public concern. Animals should thus be modified in such a way that they biologically fulfil not only the production criteria but also the competitiveness criteria that define as loss any money devoted to their well-being. They should only be defined as meat or milk production devices. Such an answer to public concern does not identify science as intrinsically blind, calculating, and reductionist; because such an identification would exclude as scientists those ethologists concerned over the animal's capacity to feel and suffer. It does reveal, however, that those INRA researchers using European money made available because of public pressure, were quite indifferent to the reasons why so many people had spent their time protesting and fighting against what they considered as a shame upon humanity. The way those researchers provided the answer would probably have cost them their very reputation if the public had had their right to evaluate how the scientists had met their concern. The researchers would have Prof. Isabelle Stengers Dr. Isabelle Stengers Professor of Philosophy, Université Libre de Bruselles been found guilty on two counts: that they felt free to propose such a research project to alleviate animal suffering, and that they the seventh framework programme presents itself as the simple enactment of the "Lisbon agenda", fully endorsing its slogans, such as "knowledge society", "economy of knowledge", "knowledge and its exploitation" as "the key for economic growth" and "the competitiveness of enterprises." had nothing but contempt for the reason the question was posed. What is striking in the FP7 is the very clear signal sent to researchers that whatever the babble around sustainable development or public participation, they do not need to listen and think too much. They may go on living with the fairy dreams that if what they propose may be of interest to the industry and its obsession with competitiveness, they are still addressing the challenges of the future in the best rational way. They may trust that they will be protected from the so-called irrationality of those who, as has already been the case with GMOs (genetically modified organisms), refuse to accept and say "yes" to the laws of the free market as the only road to progress. They may even feel that if scientists leave Europe because some public pressure complicates their collaboration with their industrial partners that would slow down or put into question that which should really be motivating innovation and the transition to a knowledge economy. Some sociologists tell us that the mode of production of science has been transwww.i-sis.org.uk 22 formed from what they call an academically centred mode 1 that values scientific autonomy and peer evaluation, to a flexible mode 2. Mode 2 deals with uncertainty, tying multiple transdisciplinary and participatory links, contributing to economical and social questions and adopting new norms of adaptability, accountability, openness and responsibility. intellectual property rights are not mentioned once in the European document, nor is the matter of conflicts of interest or the freedom of scientists under private contract to play the role of whistleblower. Today such a mode 2 production is but an apolitical dream-image, and a very tranquillizing and useful one. It is an image much beloved by European authorities, just like the "knowledge society", because it allows them to have the cake and eat it too. They are free to produce a list of problems that "flexible" scientists should be able to contribute to while avoiding asking hard questions about the relevance and reliability of their answer. This involves how to enforce the so-called norms defining an accountable, open and responsible scientist that is said to be part of the contemporary mode 2 production of science. It is very striking from this point of view that intellectual property rights are not mentioned once in the European document, nor is the matter of conflicts of interest or the freedom of scientists under private contract to play the role of whistleblower. There is no mention either of the need for the training of researchers to include relevant means of inducing and empowering sensitivity or a sense of responsibility in the face of public concern. Indeed the whole message is framed to reinforce the view that today, more than ever, lay-persons must be kept at distance, must be kept in a position of trust and belief that this new science is the answer to their problems, that mobilisation in the economic war for competitiveness is the key to everything. The public is asked to say "yes" to a Brave New World where all European stakeholders, as they are mobilised in this war, will contribute to the improvement of welfare and well being, quality of life, health and the environment. I am not sure at all that the kind of flexible scientists required by the new economy of knowledge will be able to fulfil their assigned role. I am personally impressed by SCIENCE IN SOCIETY 27, AUTUMN 2005 the sadness and resignation of a great number of researchers I meet. When I tell them of what interests me in scientific practices, that are indeed specialized, but may be living, challenging and intense, they tell me it is a thing of the past. Despairing scientists feel that what is coming under the charming features of the mode 2 production of science is a new mode of mobilization of direct appropriation and evaluation of knowledge. They rightly feel that the so-called economy of knowledge asks for a new type of scientist who will accept being flexible, in the same way that workers today are asked to be flexible. They understand that they are being told that scientific knowledge has become much too serious a business for them to keep what appear to be outdated privileges. They are told they must accept the common fate, that competitiveness is the general rule, even if it means relaxing the rules of sharing and collectively verifying knowledge in the scientific community when those rules impede the competition for and accumulation of intellectual property rights. I think, however, that the great political challenge is to avoid any nostalgia for the famous mode 1 production; the Golden Age so many researchers are regretting. Indeed the so-called mode 1 was forged around 1870, a time characterized by intense relations with industrial production that also coincided with the promotion of a new type of scientists. These were specialized professionals who dismissed everything that did not contribute to the progress of their discipline and identified the progress of their discipline as the only key to human and social progress. This is the "golden-eggs-hen-whichshould-not-be killed" model: society should fund research and respect its autonomy in exchange for the fruitful applications that only a disinterested quest for knowledge will produce. This model was an apolitical model, since the golden eggs of science, as incubated by industry, were defined as serving humanity, progress and well being, transcending political conflicts. But those kinds of eggs are probably not what we need today in relation to what is now called sustainable development. We still do not know what such a development is. What we know, however, is that, if it is not to remain sheer wishful thinking, and if science is to be able to contribute at all to what it demands, we need thinking scientists, not believers in the direct link between the progress of knowledge and the progress of humanity. Development, as linked to the mode 1 golden eggs, is unsustainable development. We should thus be able to listen to and amplify scientists' complaints but also succeed in disentangling them from nostalgia, with the aim of inducing the scientist's appetite and imagination for what is so very interesting in the present. In order to do so, I would propose to take seriously the idea of a knowledge society, but only if that society were actively involved in the GMO protest, the growing unrest and opposition of NGOs against intellectual property rights, the questioning of pesticide safety and the early concerns about nanotechnologies. In all those cases, protests gain some general public approbation, however vague, as if, at last, good questions were being raised. But what is politically relevant is the effective learning process that enables concerned people to formulate penetrating questions they were not meant to approach. And what is remarkable is a very slow, very timid recognition by some scientists, that maybe the questions those outsiders have learned to ask are not so irrational after all. It seems to me that politics means constructing a position the first quality of which is not some adequacy to matters of fact, but the production of the sense of possibility and the appetite required to transform such matters of fact. It may be interesting not to denounce the mot d'ordre, order-words that Europe has to become a knowledge society - but to affirm as obvious that the true measure of this becoming is the ability of all the concerned people to produce and assemble knowledge as it is relevant for the issue which concerns them. And to affirm as obvious that this dynamic, which is the very challenge of democracy, is also the chance for scientists to escape flexible enslavement, and enter into new relations with people who have learned to become as interested as they are themselves in the reliability and relevance of their contributions. Such affirmations are a very small part of the truth indeed, but what matters is that they are the interesting, appetizing part, and that whetting new appetites is the only way I can think of to escape the trap of mots d'ordre. This article is an edited version the keynote speech to the conference, What Science - What Europe, organized by the Greens in the European Parliament, 2 -3 May 2005, to launch a debate on FP7. Research for this article was carried out under the Interuniversity attraction poles programme (V/16), The loyalties of knowledge: The positions and responsibilities of the sciences and of scientists in a democratic constitutional state, financed by the Belgian Federal Science Policy. For more information see www.imbroglio.be. Prof. Stengers is a signatory to the ISP Statement to the European Commission on FP7. Add your name here http://www.iSiS sis.org.uk/ISPF7.php 23 Letters to the Editor Dodgy test kits and GM hybrids endanger Indian agriculture I am writing this in reference to your report about Bt10. This year our central cotton research institute at Nagpur has introduced Bt testing kits. We checked many samples with the test kits, and they were negative. But when the samples were checked with a Swiss testing kit, they came out positive. My opinion is that they are manipulating the test kits as they wish. Last year Monsanto sold out a big quantity of maize in our country, saying that it was hybrid and not genetically modified. But when it failed, there was absolutely no seed setting on the plants and the government did a lot of testing. Now the state government secretary for agriculture says that it was GM maize. Monsanto is selling so many GM seeds in India with terminator technology added. The result is we are losing our traditional seeds. They have started contaminating our wheat seeds by selling their new hybrid Mohan Wonder, which is a cross between goat grass and wheat. Goat grass and wheat have different chromosome pairs. The result is that if we save the F2 seeds, and sow them we get 100 percent goat grass plants. The F1 plants contaminate local varieties over a very large distance. So we will loose all our wheat seeds in the next three years. I hope you understand me, I am not a technical person but a farmer, and I read your papers. Ram Kalspurkar, Nagpur, India. Vitamins and minerals I am living in the US and read your article "A reprieve for EU vitamins and minerals". I am originally from Ireland. When I go back to my country and see how the Health Stores are so poorly stocked as they are with vitamins and herbal remedies, I am appalled. It shows how political and corrupt these lawmakers are in the EU, by passing this law 1 August 2005 (according to the Irish News). The people that believe in getting health in an alternative way need to stand up for their Human Rights. We are in the year 2005 with AIDS and many other illnesses that herbal remedies have proven to give quality of life back to; as opposed to being drugged with chemicals. It is a person's right to look after their health in any way they see fit. Why should the pharmaceutical industry have the last laugh, as they will be the winners in the end, with their pockets full from all the chemicals dished out everyday. It is a sad day for those who believe in holistic health. Maureen O'Connor, New York City, USA ISIS and Science in Society welcome your letters But please keep them short. They may be edited for purposes of space or clarity. Please remember to include a town and country for your address. Address all correspondence to: Science in Society, PO Box 32097, London NW1 OXR, UK Farmer against corporate serfdom I am a grass roots farmer from the USA. Your organization accurately represents the true picture of what is happening at the grass roots level of agriculture, an area where one would not expect such expertise from a science based organization! Most farmers have NO IDEA of how they are being manipulated like sheep into a position that will end up having the sheep cut their own throats! Almost all the farm magazines, which profess that they have printed only the opinions of Agriculture Experts, put a spin on the information that helps support this enslavement! You just use their secret chemicals, like glyphosate, Roundup, etc; use their patented seed, and there you go! The energy is greatly reduced and global warming is reduced. I refuse to go this way. Wes Jackson, from the Land Institute, in Salina, Kansas, USA, has gained world attention by attacking these issues without using patented chemicals or seeds! So, needless to say, to find such a balanced, qualified source of information on food production issues is like a breath of fresh air to me. It greatly encourages me that not all people are so easily PARASITIZED, or turned into living sacrifices to do the bidding of the enslaver, or PARASITIZOR! I am trying to avoid becoming a corporate serf on my own land. Jerold Hubbard, Johnson, Kansas, USA Dr Mae-Wan Ho replies to Jerold Hubbard You have hit the nail on the head. The corporations have been all over the place trying to hijack 'sustainable' agriculture, which is precisely what you describe, plus the use of patented GM crops, especially those made tolerant to poisonous herbicides sold by the same company. We want to support and implement truly sustainable, low input agriculture that benefits both farmers and consumers. Pesticides and herbicides cost a lot of energy to make and are poisonous to human beings and wildlife. Getting rid of agrochemicals and restoring organic soil, is, as Wes Jackson says, the right way to go. We want to liberate ourselves from the stranglehold of corporations that have colonised science and our academic institutions in a big way; which is why we have set ourselves up as the Independent Science Panel. Besides supporting our Sustainable World global initiative, you can also endorse our statement to the European Commission calling for support for independent science and greater transparency and democracy in deciding research and funding priorities at: http://www.indsp.org/endorsements/endorsementISP-FP7.php For more information on the independent science panel, and the Institute of Science in Society, visit our websites: www.i-sis.org.uk; www.indsp.org. We have written a lot about the hazards of GM crops. You may be particularly interested in the Independent Science Panel's first report, The Case for a GM-Free Sustainable World. GM Algae I read with great interest your report "GM pharmaceuticals in common alga" where you state: "The high level of transgene expression (in ge alga) that can be achieved increases the hazards of horizontal gene transfer to bacteria and viruses with the potential of creating dangerous pathogens and spreading antibiotic resistance marker genes." That is a point not considered or taken up by the Board of the Department of Agriculture in Hawaii who asked once, "Is there any possibility of horizontal gene transfer?" Mera/Rincon Pharmaceuticals answered, "No." May I enter this paper also as evidence in the case we will be making to actually stop the introduction of these 7 strains of algae into the Hawaiian Ecosystem? Joe and Mae-Wan you certainly have been busy lately putting our very valuable information to the world! Mahalo nui for your expertise in these matters, which helps all of us to do our work! Please come and vacation in Hawaii some cold winter as my guests at Kawanui Farm on the Kona Coast in Hawaii. Nancy Redfeather, Genetic Engineering Action Network, Hawaii ISIS articles in Portuguese I'm a science journalist from Brasil. This message is only to congratulate you for your work. Frequently I use your articles to produce news in Portuguese (published at www.planetaportoalegre.net and www.comciencia .br). Sometimes I just publish a Portuguese version (as in http://www.lainsignia.org/2004/septiembre/cyt_002 .htm). Rafael Evangelista, Sao Paulo, Brazil. Letters continued on page 25 www.i-sis.org.uk 24 Sustainable World Waste-gobbling bacteria may be our dream ticket to clean renewable energy Bug Power Dr. Mae-Wan Ho Resources and energy from wastes ...the average energy yield from each kilogram dry weight of potato waste was 4.96 MJ (1.4kWh) and the maximum energy yield, 9.58 MJ (2.7kWh). For comparison, burning 1 kg wood yields about 20MJ. But because the energy is generated from waste, it is essentially free, and does not require using up agricultural land to plant trees and chop them down Hydrogen economy on potato waste The "hydrogen economy" is on everyone's lips as the answer to the ultimate clean energy. Burning hydrogen produces pure water instead of greenhouse gases, and it is by far the most energetic fuel on earth, weight for weight. But in order to really reduce greenhouse gas emissions, hydrogen must be produced sustainably from renewable sources such as sun, wind and biomass. About half of all hydrogen produced currently is from natural gas, the rest is produced primarily using other fossil fuels. Only 4% is generated by splitting water using electricity derived from a variety of sources. At BIOCAP, Canada's First National Conference in February 2005, a research team at the Wastewater Technology Centre and the University of Waterloo in Ontario, Canada, presented a poster describing a prototype process for producing substantial amounts of hydrogen as well as methane from potato waste. The team used a two-stage anaerobic digestion process to get first hydrogen and then methane. In this way, it was possible to optimise the first stage for producing hydrogen. The key appears to be an acidic pH of 5.5 in the hydrogen reactor, instead of pH 7 in the methane reactor. Both reactors were run at 35C. They pulped the potatoes bought from a store and treated the slurry with peptone (an enzyme that breaks down protein), then seeded the two reactors - one for hydrogen the other for methane - with digested sludge from the local wastewater treatment plant to get the bacteria in place. For the hydrogen reactor, the seed sludge was pre-cultivated in a sucrose medium for a few days before switching to potato waste when high hydrogen production was confirmed. For the methane reaction, no precultivation of the sludge was required. From day 4, the potato pulp replaced sucrose and hydrogen biogas was produced continuously for a further 90 days. The maximum production rate from the one litre reactor was 270 ml/h on day 17, and the average rate over the entire 90day period was 112.2 ml/h. The hydrogen fraction fluctuated between 39 and 51 percent of the biogas (v/v). The average chemical oxygen demand (COD) concentration (a measure of the amount of waste present) of the fluid coming out of the hydrogen reactor was 7 220 mg/L, at an input concentration of 12 000 mg/L. So more than 40 percent of the SCIENCE IN SOCIETY 27, AUTUMN 2005 Dr. Bruce Logan and colleague harvesting bug power Bacteria that gobble wastes are a godsend. They prevent the build up of wastes in our environment and play an indispensable role in making wastewater safe for domestic animals, wild life, and human beings. In many Third World countries, these same bacteria are working miracles turning manure and other wastes into valuable resources to support highly productive farms that require no input and generate little or no waste ("Dream farm", this series). When these bacteria are confined in anaerobic digesters with limited or no access to oxygen, they ferment the wastes, release and conserve nutrients for livestock and crops, and produce 'biogas' as a by-product, which typically consists of about 60% methane (CH4) and a small amount of hydrogen (H2), both of which can be burnt as a smokeless fuel. Within the past two years, these same bacteria are showing even more remarkable potential for producing clean and renewable energy while reducing greenhouse gas emissions. waste was removed. Once hydrogen production became stable after day 20, the outflow from the hydrogen reactor was transferred to the second, bigger (methane) reactor, 5 litres in volume. During the 70 days of operation, methane biogas was produced continuously; the maximum rate was 410 ml/h, and the average rate, 213 ml/h. The concentration of methane in the biogas was between 69 and 79 percent. The average COD concentration in the methane bioreactor outflow was 4 130 mg/L. Again, the process removed more than 40 percent of the wastes. Together, the two reactors removed 68 percent of the waste. Based on the hydrogen and methane production rates, the average energy yield from each kilogram dry weight of potato waste was 4.96 MJ (1.4kWh) and the maximum energy yield, 9.58 MJ (2.7kWh). For comparison, burning 1 kg wood yields about 20MJ. But because the energy is generated from waste, it is essentially free, and does not require using up agricultural land to plant trees and chop them down. Potato is the third largest food crop in the world, and Canada is one of the leading producers (4.7million tonnes annually). Large amounts of potato waste come from food and potato processing plants. This is potentially a huge source of renewable, clean energy. Dual purpose microbial fuel cell A research team in Pennsylvania State University has also discovered how to coax the same bugs to make plenty of hydrogen while they are gobbling wastes. When the bacteria ferment glucose, they generate a maximum of four molecules of hydrogen per molecule of glucose and end up at best with two molecules of acetic acid that they cannot convert further to hydrogen due to an electrochemical barrier. But, given a little electrical boost, the bacteria can jump over the barrier to generate more hydrogen. The research team, led by Dr. Bruce Logan, already made news in 2004, when they succeeded in getting the bacteria to produce electricity while removing wastes. The bacteria were put into a microbial fuel cell that generated 26mW m2 of electricity while removing up to 80% of the wastes that flowed through. These waste treatment bacteria, numerous species belonging to many genera including Geobacter, Shewanella, and Pseudomonas, have the ability to transfer electrons obtained by fermenting wastes to external metals. When the bacteria are attached to electrodes, the electrons are transferred to the electrodes (the anode), to flow through an external circuit to the cathode where they combine with oxygen from the air and protons 25 (hydrogen ions) to form water. The reactor then used was a single cylindrical plexiglass chamber the size of a soda water bottle in which the anode, consisting of eight graphite rods, was placed in a concentric arrangement surrounding a central cathode that was exposed to air. The air-porous cathode consisted of a carbon/platinum catalyst/proton exchange membrane layer fused to a plastic support tube. The efficiency of the system, based on waste removal and current generation was less than 12%, indicating that a substantial fraction of the organic matter was lost without generating current; perhaps in producing more bacteria. But as the bacteria were doing their intended job, which was to remove waste, any electricity generated at the same time was a bonus. Excluding air and boosting electric potential Now, the team has discovered that by excluding air from the cathode, and by giving the bugs a boost of about 250mV, they can make the bugs produce hydrogen at high efficiency. They refer to this process as electrochemically assisted microbial production of hydrogen. Normal fermentation converts glucose to dead-end products such as acetic and butyric acid: In the first case, four molecules of hydrogen are generated, and in the second, only two molecules. The greatest theoretical yield possible is four molecules of hydrogen per molecule of glucose. The microbial fuel cell, however, offers a new solution to the problem. By augmenting the electric potential in the microbial fuel cell circuit, it gave just the little help needed for the bacteria to make hydrogen out of acetic acid. In a typical fuel cell, the open circuit potential of the anode is about 300mV. If hydrogen is produced at the cathode, the half reactions occurring at the anode and the cathode with acetic acid oxidized at the anode, are as follows: In order for the bugs to donate electrons to the anode from acetic acid, however, the anode potential has to be made less electronegative. To improve the efficiency of the intended process, the researchers also created a two chamber microbial fuel cell instead of the one-chamber version they had previously constructed. One chamber contained the anode, the other the cathode, separated by a proton exchange membrane. A major advantage of housing anode and cathode in separate chambers is that the hydrogen produced at the cathode is separated from the carbon dioxide at the anode at source. Instead of being exposed to air, the cathode chamber was sealed. A voltage of 250mV or greater was applied to the circuit by connecting the positive pole of a power supply to the anode, and the negative pole to the cathode. The external power supply increased the anode potential from -300 mV to -291 mV with a boost of 250 mV Thus 2.9 of the theoretical maximum and to -275 mV with a boost of 850mV, 4 molecules of hydrogen are obtained producing hydrogen from the acetic acid reaction with and degrading more water by an injection of 250 mV of than 95 percent of electricity (see equation 3). This the acetate in the compares favourably with the process. The recovery of electrons as costly1800-2000 mV needed for hydrogen was over getting hydrogen from splitting water. 90 percent. The Coulombic efficiency - defined as the recovery of total electrons in acetate as current - ranged from 60 to 78 percent depending on the applied voltage. Thus 2.9 of the theoretical maximum 4 molecules of hydrogen are obtained from the acetic acid reaction with water by an injection of 250 mV of electricity (see equation 3). This compares favourably with the costly1800-2000 mV needed for getting hydrogen from splitting water. A combined fermentation and bioelectrochemically assisted anaerobic microbial fuel cell has the potential to produce as much as 8 to 9 molecules of hydrogen starting from a molecule of glucose (The theoretical maximum is 12, see equations 1, 3 and 4.) With this bioelectrochemically-assisted reactor, hydrogen can be produced from any type of biodegradable organic matter. Combined hydrogen production and wastewater treatment will offset the substantial costs of wastewater treatment as well as provide a contribution to the hydrogen economy. As the technology is rather simple, it can be adapted for use at different scales, in third world countries as well as industrialised countries. At the BIOCAP Canada conference referred to earlier, another poster pointed out that 45 of 56 wastewater treatment plants in large urban areas of Ontario, Canada incorporate an anaerobic digestion process to reduce the volume of disposable sludge; but the methane produced is mostly wasted by being flared off to the atmosphere. A conservative estimate suggests that if all the wastewater sites were to use anaerobic digesters and simply recover the methane to generate electricity, this would produce 1.51 GWh/day. It was a small percentage of the total of 317 GWh consumed each day in Ontario. But on average, 0.3 kg of CO2 is emitted per kWh energy produced from Ontario Power Generation, so simply recovering the biogas energy from the current sites using anaerobic digesters represents a saving of 432 tonnes of CO2 per day. Imagine what could be achieved if waste treatment were optimised for SiS hydrogen production. Letters to the Editor (continued from page 23) Praise for ISIS You people at ISIS are just an amazing phenomenon. I think the quality and stature of the articles has got stronger since we've been reading. This latest is really knit together powerfully; all the articles are "one thing". I've seen articles across the Net just recently on how dangerous to health are GM crops, mentioning Dr. Putzai, and we realized that this information was first published by ISIS last year. And the research - both scientific and journalistic - has since snowballed, thanks to ISIS. I was also very pleased to see such a good portrait of Michael Meacher. I haven't seen such a good portrait photograph of a public figure for a very long time, maybe 20 years. Everything has been stained with the increasing cynicism, facade, and corruption in civilization since the end of the seventies. It's gotten so bad recently that I don't read any papers or look at magazines, don't watch TV, or the radio. And yet, in this issue, there's suddenly a genuine* human smile of a public persona, and it's a pleasure for the eye to linger on! Where there is no vision the people perish. Alexander Anderson, Yorkshire, England Computers that read thoughts I am replying to your Spring 2005 editorial reply regarding computers reading thoughts. I conducted a controlled research project at the Institute of Noetic Science in California on transmitting "healing energy" using computers/email via the Internet. The results were significant, although this particular research has no comparable precedent. I have attached a paper on this research for your reading. Thank you for your fine work. Francesca McCartney, PhD, California, USA. www.i-sis.org.uk 26 Abundantly productive farms with zero input and zero emission powered by waste-gobbling bugs and human ingenuity Dr. Mae-Wan Ho Environmental engineer meets Chinese peasant farmers Doesn't it sound like a dream to be able to produce a super-abundance of food with no fertilizers or pesticides and with little or no greenhouse gas emission? Not if you treat your farm wastes properly to mine the rich nutrients that can support the production of fish, crops livestock and more, get biogas energy as by-product, and perhaps most importantly, conserve and release pure potable water back to the aquifers. That is what Professor George Chan has spent years perfecting; and he refers to it as the Integrated Food and Waste Management System (IFWMS). (ZERI) (www.zeri.org). Chan left China in 1989, and continued to work with Gunter and others in ZERI through consultancy services. This work has taken him to nearly 80 countries and territories, and contributed to evolving IFWMS into a compelling alternative to conventional farming. The integrated farm typically consists of crops, livestock and fishponds. But the nutrients from farm wastes often spill over into supporting extra production of algae, chickens, earthworms, silkworms, mushrooms, and other valuables that bring additional income and benefits for the farmers and the local communities. Treating wastes with respect The secret is in treating wastes to minimize the loss of valuable nutrients that are used as feed to generate further nutrients from algae, fish, etc., that feed a variety of crops and livestock. At the same time, greenhouse gases emitted during the first phase of waste treatment are harvested for use as fuel, while the oxygen required in the second phase of waste treatment - which gets rid of toxins and pollutants - is generated by photosynthetic algae, so fish stocks are not suf- Box 1 How volatile nitrogen is turned into nutrient for plants Livestock manure contains large amounts of ammonia gas that must be turned back into stable nitrate before it can be absorbed as nutrient by plants. Nitrification is the process in which soil bacteria oxidize ammonia (NH3) sequentially into nitrite (NO2) and then nitrate (NO3). Ammonia is oxidized into nitrite by bacteria belonging mainly to the genus Nitrosomonas, but also Nitrosococcus, Nitrosospira, Nitrosolobus and Nitrosovibrio. Nitrite is then further oxidized into nitrate by bacteria belonging mainly to the genus Nitrobacter, but also by bacteria in other genera such as Nitrospina, Nitrococcus and Nitrospira. increasing the overall benefits. IFWMS has revolutionized conventional farming of livestock, aquaculture, horticulture, agro-industry and allied activities in some countries, especially in non-arid tropical and subtropical regions. It has solved most of the existing The secret is in treating wastes to minimize the loss of valuable nutrients that are used as feed to generate further nutrients from algae, fish, etc., that feed a variety of crops and livestock Chan was born in Mauritius and educated at Imperial College, London University in the United Kingdom, specializing in environmental engineering. He was appointed director of two important US federal programmes of the US Environmental Protection Agency and the US Department of Energy in the US Commonweath of the Northern Mariana Islands of the North Pacific. On his retirement, Chan spent 5 years in China among the Chinese peasants, and confessed he learned just as much there as he did in University. What he learned was a system of farming and living that inspired him and many others including Gunter Pauli, the founder and director of the Zero Emissions Research Initiative SCIENCE IN SOCIETY 27, AUTUMN 2005 focated through lack of dissolved oxygen in the nutrient-rich water entering the ponds. Livestock wastes are first digested anaerobically (in the absence of air) to produce biogas (mainly methane). The partially digested wastes are then treated aerobically (in the presence of air) in shallow basins that support the growth of green algae. By means of photosynthesis, the algae produce all the oxygen needed to oxidise the wastes to make them safe for fish. This increases the fertilizer and feed value in the fishponds without robbing the fish of dissolved oxygen. All the extra nutrients, therefore, go to improve productivity. Biogas is used as a clean energy source for cooking, and also enables farmers to process their produce for preservation and added value, reducing spoilage and economic and ecological problems and provided the means of production such as fuel, fertilizer and feed, increasing productivity many-fold. "It can turn all those existing disastrous farming systems, especially in the poorest countries into economically viable and ecologically balanced systems that not only alleviate but eradicate poverty." Chan says. Increasing the recycling of nutrients for greater productivity The ancient practice of combining livestock and crop has helped farmers almost all over the world. Livestock manure is used as fertilizer, and crop residues are fed back to the livestock. Chan points out, however, that most of the manure, when exposed to the atmosphere, lost 27 up to half its nitrogen as ammonia and nitrogen oxides, before they could be turned into stable nitrate that plants use as fertilizer (see Box 1). The more recent integration of fish with livestock and crop has helped to reduce this loss. The important addition of a second production cycle of nutrients from fish waste has enhanced the integration process, and improved the livelihoods of many small farmers considerably. But too much untreated waste dumped directly into the fishpond can rob the fish of oxygen, and end up killing them. In IFWMS, the anaerobically digested wastes from livestock are treated aerobically before the nutrients are delivered into the fishponds to fertilize the natural plankton that feed the fish without depleting oxygen. In this way fish yield is increased 3- to 4-fold, especially with the polyculture of many kinds of compatible fish feeding at different levels as practiced in China, Thailand, Vietnam, India and Bangladesh. The fish produce their own wastes that are converted naturally into nutrients for crops growing both on the water surface and on dykes surrounding the ponds. The most significant innovation of IFWMS is thus the two-stage method of treating wastes. Chan is critical of the "erratic proposals" of experts, both local and foreign, to spread livestock wastes on land to let them rot away and hope that there are a small amount of residual nutrients left, after tremendous losses that damage the environment have taken place. According to the US Environment teria reduce nitrate ultimately back to nitrogen gas. Denitrifying bacteria belong to two main genera, Pseudomonas and Bacillus. Animal manure could be responsible for nearly half of the N2O emission in agriculture in Europe, according to some estimates; the remainder coming from inorganic nitrate fertilizer. Thus, anaerobic digestion not only prevents the loss of nutrients, it could also substantially reduce greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture. Chan further dismisses the practice of composting nutrient-rich livestock wastes, for this ends up with a low-quality fertilizer that has lost ammonia and nitrite. Instead of mixing livestock wastes with household garbage in the compost, Chan recommends producing high-protein feeds such as earthworms from the garbage, and using worm casts and garbage residues as better soil conditioners. He is also critical of the outmoded practice of putting manure in septic tanks for very little financial or other benefit while the badly treated effluent is just as dangerous as the waste itself. Instead, the livestock waste digested anaerobically followed by oxidation in open shallow basins with natural algae before letting the treated waste effluent flow into the fish pond, can convert almost 100% of the organic nutrients into inorganic nutrients that will not consume any oxygen to deprive the fish. So, theoretically, the quantity of waste input into the pond can increase 10-fold without the risk of pollution. But, Chan cautions, the nutrients in the waste must be totally used by both fish and crop culture, or from restaurants and abattoirs. Earthworms, silkworms, fungi, insects and other organisms are also encouraged, as some of them produce high value goods such as silk and mushrooms. The digester can be as simple as a couple of concentric plastic bags of 5m3 capacity or 200-litre drums for a small farm, or a complex reinforced concrete steel structure with an anaerobic sludge blanket to collect the biogas for a big farm or industrial enterprise. As the fresh wastes enter the digester, the waste-eating bacteria transform the unstable ammonia (NH3) and nitrite (NO2) into stable nitrate (NO3), which is ready for use as fertilizer. As more wastes are added, the digester also produces an abundant and inexhaustible supply of biogas - 2/3 methane (CH4) and 1/3 carbon dioxide (CO2) - a convenient source of free and renewable energy for domestic, farming and industrial uses (see Box 2). Big farms, meat and fish-packing plants, distilleries, and various agro-industries are now self-sufficient in energy, besides having big volumes of nutrient-rich effluent for fertilizing fishponds, and 'fertigation' (fertilization and irrigation) of many kinds of crops. Proliferating lifecycles for greater productivity The aerobic treatment in the shallow basins depends on oxygen produced by the green alga Chlorella. Chlorella is very prolific and can be harvested as a high-protein feed for chickens, ducks and geese. From left to right: 1.Biogas digester 2. Chlorella in shallow basins 3 Fish pond 4 & 5 Crops growing on dykes among the fish ponds Protection Agency, up to 70% of nitrous oxide, N2O, a powerful greenhouse gas with a global warming potential of 280 (i.e., 280 times that of carbon dioxide) comes from conventional agriculture. Nitrous oxide is formed as an intermediate in denitrification, a process in which soil bac- the nutrients can create problems of eutrophication - over-enrichment of plankton - that uses up all the oxygen in the pond, thereby lowering productivity. To close the circle, livestock should be fed with crops and processing residues, not wastes When the effluent from the Chlorella basins reaches the fishpond, little or no organic matter from the livestock waste will remain, and any residual organic matter will be instantly oxidized by some of the dissolved oxygen. The nutrients are now readily available for enhancing the prolific growth of different kinds of natural plankton Box 2 Formation of biogas Certain bacteria naturally present in manure produce a combustible gas (biogas) when they digest organic matter anaerobically (in the absence of oxygen). Biogas typically contains between 60 and 70 percent methane. Anaerobic digestion involves two groups of bacteria. The first group of ordinary bacteria produces organic acids such as acetic acid by fermentation. The second group of bacteria, the methanogens (methane makers), is special, it breaks down the organic acids and produces methane as a by-product. Methanogens cannot tolerate oxygen and are killed when exposed to oxygen. Instead, they can use the dead end products of fermentation, carbon dioxide or organic acids such as acetic acid, to generate methane: Methanogens are found wherever oxygen is depleted, such as wetland soils, aquatic sediments and in the digestive tracts of animals. Methane formation is the final step in the decay of organic matter when carbon dioxide and hydrogen accumulate, and all oxygen and other electron acceptors are used up. www.i-sis.org.uk 28 that feed the polyculture of 5 to 6 species of compatible fish. No artificial feed is necessary, except locally grown grass for any herbivorous fish. The fish waste, naturally treated in the big pond, gives nutrients that are used by crops growing in the pond water and on the dykes. Fermented rice or other grain, used for producing alcoholic beverages, or silkworms and their wastes, can also be added to the ponds as further nutrients, resulting in higher fish and crop productivity, provided the water quality is not affected. Trials are taking place with special diffusion pipes carrying compressed air from biogas-operated pumps to aerate the bottom part of the pond, to increase plankton and fish yields. Apart from growing vine-type crops on the edges of the pond and letting them climb on trellises over the dykes and over the water, some countries grow aquatic vegetables floating on the water surface of lakes and rivers. Others grow grains, fruits and flowers on bamboo or long-lasting It can turn all those existing disastrous farming systems, especially in the poorest countries into economically viable and ecologically balanced systems that not only alleviate but eradicate poverty polyurethane floats over nearly half the surface of the fishpond water without interfering with the polyculture in the pond itself. Such aquaponic cultures have increased the crop yields by using half of the millions of hectares of fishponds and lakes in China. All this is possible because of the excess nutrients from the integrated farming systems. Planting patterns have also improved. For example, rice is now transplanted into modules of 12 identical floats, one every week, and just left to grow in the pond without the need to irrigate or fertilize separately, or to do any weeding, while it takes 12 weeks to mature. On the 13th week, the rice is harvested and the seedlings transplanted again to start a new cycle. It is possible to have 4 rice crops yearly in the warmer parts of the country, with almost total elimination of the back breaking work previously required. Another example is hydroponic cultures of fruits and vegetables in a series of pipes. The final effluent from the hydroponic cultures is polished in earthen drains where plants such as Lemna, Azolla, Pistia and water hyacinth remove all traces of nutrients such as nitrate, phosphate and potassium before the purified water is released back into the aquifer. Processing for added value and nutrient release One big problem with agricultural produce is the drop in prices when farmers harvest the same crops at the same time. This is solved by the abundant supply of biogas energy, which enables simple processing to be done, such as smoking, drying, salting, sugaring, and pickling. Finally, the sludge from the anaerobic digester, the algae, macrophytes, crop and processing residues are put into plastic bags, sterilized in steam produced by biogas energy, and then injected with spores for high-priced mushroom culture. The mushroom enzymes break down the ligno-cellulose to release further nutrients and enrich the residues, making them more digestible and more palatable for livestock. The remaining fibrous residues can still be used for culturing earthworms, which provide special protein feed for chickens. The final residues, including the worm casts, are composted and used for soil conditioning and aeration. Model for sustainable development Chan's dream farm shows how to grow and develop in a balanced way by closing the overall production cycle, then using the surplus nutrients and energy to support as many different cycles of activity as possible rather like a developing organism. The 'waste' from one production activity is resource for another, so productivity is maximised with the minimum of input, and little or no waste is exported into the environment. It is possible to have sustainable development after all; the alternative to the dominant model of unlimited, unsustainable growth is balanced growth. I shall elaborate on this in "Sustainable food systems for sustainable development" (this issue). SiS SCIENCE IN SOCIETY 27, AUTUMN 2005 Biogas, a by-product of farmyard wastetreatment, has emerged as a major boon for Third World countries, bringing health, social, environmental, and financial benefits Dr. Mae-Wan Ho Biogas energy, readily available, cheap and decentralized The United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) 1997 Report, Energy After Rio: Prospects and Challenges identified community biogas plants as one of the most useful decentralized sources of energy supply. Unlike the centralized energy supply technologies, such as power plants based on hydroelectricity, coal, oil or natural gas, that have hitherto been the only choices open to rural communities, biogas plants do not require big capital to set up, and do not pose environmental problems that excite public opposition. Instead, in most cases, they offer solutions to existing environmental problems, and many unexpected benefits besides. The organic materials needed for producing biogas in an anaerobic digester are readily available in developing countries. These include firewood, agricultural wastes and animal wastes. Many countries have large cattle and buffalo herds producing tonnes of manure. Traditionally, these wastes are carefully collected in India and used as fertilizer, but the increasing scarcity of firewood has forced many villagers to burn dung-cakes in cooking their food. As biogas plants yield good quality sludge fertilizer, the biogas fuel and/or electricity generated is an additional bonus. And this has motivated the large biogas programmes in a number of developing countries, starting with China. paying cash to poor countries not to burn firewood is a measure of desperation for rich countries like the United States, which, at 4.6 percent of the world's population and growing, is responsible for 25 percent of global greenhouse gas emissions due to human activities Overcoming early obstacles China began mass adoption of biogas in 1975 under the slogan "biogas for every household". Within the first few years, 1.6 million digesters were constructed annually, but these were of low quality; and by 1980, half of all digesters were not in use, and the rate of adoption had slowed. By 1992, only 5 million family sized plants were still operating, many of them redesigned to avoid leakage. In India, as in China, a too-rapid implementation policy in the early 1990s exceeded the capacity of India's research and development organizations to produce reliable designs and to optimise digester efficiency. The situation has improved since, especially with the introduction of a low-cost polyethylene tubular digester. Now, everyone in India installing a biogas plant has the right to an allowance paid by the central government. In a report, Biogas in India: A Sustainable Energy Success Story, the authors identified women and children as the major beneficiaries of biogas in India, where every year, 200 000 families turn away from the traditional fireplace and have a biogas plant installed to provide energy for cooking and lighting. By 2000, more than 2 million biogas plants have been built in India and almost 200 000 permanent jobs created. India's early difficulties and recent success is being replicated in countries such as Nepal, Sri Lanka and Vietnam. In Vietnam, as in other developing countries - Colombia, Ethiopia, Tanzania, Cambodia and Bangladesh - the polyethylene tubular digester was promoted to reduce production cost by using local materials and simplifying installation and operation. The result- 29 biogas digester, ITDG Biogas Bonanza for Third World Development ing low-cost digester has been well received by poor farmers, especially when farmers participate fully in the necessary maintenance and repair work. Within ten years, more than 20 000 polyethylene digesters were installed and mainly paid for by the farmers themselves. However, the digesters are still not fully integrated into the farming system, as there is only limited use of the effluent as fertilizer for fish and crops ("Dream farms", this series). There are also potentials for improving the digester for greater efficiency, ease of maintenance and durability. More cooperation between scientists and farmers, and credit systems for poor farmers to install digesters will also help to increase the adoption rate. In Sri Lanka, biomass accounts for 45 percent of the country's energy needs, with petroleum and hydroelectricity supplying 41 percent and 14 percent respectively. Sri Lanka's economy is still largely based on agriculture. A major constraint to production is the increasing cost of fertilizer, while solid waste, mainly organic, is collected and disposed of at a large number of unprotected sites, affecting the health of the poorest. Although biogas digesters have been introduced in Sri Lanka since the 1970s, poor design, lack of maintenance skills and insufficient capacity to deal with the problems meant that only a third of the 5 000 units installed functioned properly. The Intermediate Technology Development Group (ITDG) started a project in 1996 to improve the success rate of the units on a national level by setting up demonstration units to help spread information, restoring abandoned units and training users to operate and maintain them. In addition, individual farmers get help to install biogas units on their farms to make use of the manure from their cows. Mr. Ratnayake is one of the lucky farmers. With nothing more than cow dung, he now has enough power to cook with, iron the laundry and provide heat and light for his home, without using a single piece of wood. All he has to do is to collect the manure from his cows in a specially adapted cattle shed where they feed, mix it with water and leave it to ferment in a large concrete tank or pit. The gas produced is collected in a simple storage tank, from where it is piped into his house to use. The women and children, freed from firewood collection and from cleaning smoke-blackened utensils and the disposal of animal waste, gain some two hours a day for other activities. About 80% now use this time to earn extra income that currently accounts for approximately 24% of the family's monthly income. Another advantage of using biogas is that there is very little waste from the process and it is environmentally friendly. The dried manure left after biogas is generated is richer than ordinary manure and makes a fantastic organic fertilizer for Mr. Ratnayake's crops, which he can sell at a higher price as organic produce. Biogas brings numerous benefits The many benefits of biogas are now generally recognized. It has resulted in a smoke-free and ash-free kitchen, so women and their children are no longer prone to respiratory infections, and can look forward to longer, healthier lives. Women are spared the burden of gathering firewood, a load of 60-80 lb per week, which can take up to one day a week. That and the practice of containing livestock for manure collection, which biogas has resulted in a smoke-free and ash-free kitchen, so women and their children are no longer prone to respiratory infections, and can look forward to longer, healthier lives. Women are spared the burden of gathering firewood, a load of 60-80 lb per week, which can take up to one day a week might otherwise graze in the forest, contribute to both protecting the remaining forests and allowing the forests to regenerate. The sludge remaining after digestion is richer in valuable nutrients than the animal manure, providing vegetables, fruit and cereals with a top quality fertilizer that guarantees better crops. In rural areas where there is otherwise no electricity supply, biogas has enabled women to engage in evening study, literacy classes and other home and community activities. Cattle dung is no longer stored in the home, but is fed directly to the biogas digester along with toilet waste. The anaerobic digestion process also destroys pathogens, and as a result, sanitation has greatly improved. Carbon trading bonanza There are other benefits for countries that decide to adopt biogas. The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change has set up a Clean Development Fund, and the World Bank has put together a Carbon Finance Unit to allow rich countries, which are pumping more carbon into the atmosphere than is allowed under the Kyoto Protocol, to buy emissions that poor countries prevent through conserving forests or promoting renewable energy. An article in the Nepali Times pointed out that Nepal's successful biogas programme not only brought farmers a non-polluting fuel, conserved forests and provided high quality fertilizer for crops; it can also make the rest of the world pay hard cash for not burning firewood to release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. About 85% of the fuel used in Nepal comes from biomass sources like firewood, animal manure and agricultural residue; the remainder being kerosene, diesel or liquefied petroleum gases. Its biogas programme would not have been possible if the users had not received subsidies. Each biogas unit costs $300 to set up, but the government pays one-third of the amount. Nepal's biogas programme is internationally regarded as a model for the successful use of alternative energy for the rural Third World. Nepal has now overtaken China and India in the number of biogas plants per capita. Each of its 125 000 functioning digesters prevents five tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents from being pumped into the atmosphere every year. This 'saved' greenhouse gas is what rich countries are buying to offset their own emissions, and is worth US$5 million. This money can be invested back into clean energy that would make Nepal eligible to trade even more carbon offset to rich polluters. "We have an initial agreement with the World Bank," said Sundar Bajgain, executive director of the Biogas Support Project, which has played a leading role in installing biogas plants in private houses in 66 districts across the country. The biogas model can be applied to other renewable energy sources such as hydropower (under 15MW, as recommended by the International Panel on Climate Change) and solar power to reap rewards from carbon trading. Admittedly, paying cash to poor countries not to burn firewood is a measure of desperation for rich countries like the United States, which, at 4.6 percent of the world's population and growing, is responsible for 25 percent of global greenhouse gas emissions due to human activities. It would make much better sense for developed countries to cash in on the benefits of biogas themselves ("Bug power", this series), as they also have greater capacity for research and development to optimise the proSiS duction and use of biogas. www.i-sis.org.uk 30 The WTO and EU agricultural policies are sweeping farmers off the land Rhea Gala in droves and threatening world food security Agriculture without Farmers Farming has evolved over thousands of years with the farm as the basic unit of local community and culture. Its practice was shaped everywhere by geography and the creative skills of the farmer to be optimally productive. Since the arrival of the tractor and the industrial 'green top: While less than five percent of the population in the rich North still farm, more than seventy percent of people in the poor South depend on a farming livelihood. Photo: ICRISAT middle: South Korean farmers protest during fifth WTO ministerial conference in Cancun 2003. Photo: Fiscal study bottom: Industrial monoculture enabled by agribusiness-friendly trade policies, is responsible for much desertification, deforestation, salination, soil erosion, soil, water and air pollution and increased global warming. Photo: Resurgence SCIENCE IN SOCIETY 27, AUTUMN 2005 revolution' of the 1940s, small family farms have lost out to big industrial farms, and much of the local knowledge accumulated over the millennia has disappeared unable to afford to pay for the food they used to grow. Trade policies benefit agribusiness: Small farmers everywhere are impoverished 'Free trade' policies of World Trade Organization (WTO) promote overproduction of agricultural commodities causing damage to wildlife, depleting soil, water, and fossil fuels; and at the same time compromising food quality, with substantial repercussions on public health. They also greatly exacerbate global warming in many ways, not least the millions of unnecessary food-miles added to agricultural commodities. Professor Jules Pretty of Essex University estimated that the total external costs for conventional agriculture in the UK, paid for by the taxpayer, added up to £2.34bn for the year 1996. The UK government remains a chief obstacle in the fight against international poverty and environmental degradation, despite its seemingly green credentials on climate change, and its recent high profile in tackling poverty in Africa. That is because the UK continues to espouse an economic model that promotes privatisation and trade liberalisation as the key to reducing poverty and protecting the environment, although that model has proved to have the opposite effects. The UK has been at the forefront of EU efforts to push through an aggressive 'free trade' agenda at the WTO. Transnational corporations (TNCs) have been allowed to gain control of supply chains and exert a stranglehold on global food security through a process of ownership of seed, proprietary chemicals, and other inputs, as well as virtual monopoly of food processing and retail outlets. Yet our governments are refusing to rein in the increasing power of TNCs that have been swallowing each other up until only a handful remain. The Agreement on Agriculture of the WTO and the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) of the European Union are largely responsible for precipitating this global catastrophe in our food production system. In industrialized countries like the UK where the population is largely urban, 200 000 farms have disappeared between 1966 and 1995. The annual UK Common Agricultural Policy budget of £3bn gives 20 percent of farmers (large agribusinesses) 80 percent of subsidies. Government figures show that 17 000 farmers and farm-workers left the land in the year 2003, having failed to make a living. While only 5 percent of the population in the European Union (EU) are still farming, at least half a million farm-workers were still leaving the land annually before the EU was enlarged by 15 new members in May 2004. It is now likely that Poland alone will lose up to two million agricultural livelihoods as a result of joining the EU. EU figures suggest that half of north European agriculture will disappear within a generation, as it continues to be squeezed out by the institutions that claim to give it support. In the US, between 1950 and 1999, the number of farms decreased by 64 percent to less than two million, and farm population has declined to less than 2 percent of total. Ninety percent of agricultural output is produced by only 522 000 farms. Canadian statistics similarly reveal that farm numbers have decreased by 10 percent between the 1996 census and 2001; there were less than 247 000 farms in the country in 2001. This relentless process of consolidation drives the heart out of the countryside, causing social and economic decay, and replaces it with an intensive industry that cares nothing about plant or animal diversity, quality or compassion in farming, but is solely interested in bringing down prices. 'Free trade' policies made by and for the rich countries of the North not only destroy the livelihood of small-farmers at home, they also encourage the dumping of subsidized goods (selling at less than the cost of production) from the North onto the markets of the poor South, distorting local markets, and leaving farmers in developing countries also unable to compete. This has become a global scandal, as 75 percent of the population in China, 77 percent in Kenya, 67 percent in India, and 82 percent in Senegal still depend on farming for their living. These numbers are plummeting, however, as families dispossessed of their land are driven to the cities, where they may find themselves Agribusiness degrades the environment while governments do nothing The Common Agricultural Policy of the European Union When the EU introduced the CAP in the early 1960s, it struck a deal with the US under the framework of the General Agreement on Trade and Tariffs (GATT) negotiations. The US accepted the new border protection mechanisms put in place by the EU for food, in return for a commitment by the EU to allow unlimited import of feedstuffs from the US at zero tariff. The EU agreed because it was still a net importer of food and feedstuffs; but only 15 31 years later, the EU itself was producing large surpluses of grain and animal products as a direct result of this deal. The zero tariff for feedstuffs enabled Europe's huge surpluses of the 1970s to be dumped on developing countries, creating a major global problem. Feedstuff imports from the US had led directly to the industrialization of animal production in the EU and its associated environmental problems. The CAP, which aimed to "ensure a fair standard of living for the agricultural community", has for many years provided direct aid to farmers based on area, production, and number of livestock units (animals). This policy gave large monocultural farms enormous subsidies, caused massive overproduction that lowered prices, drove small farmers out, and consolidated the power of agribusiness. TNCs have become vast selling seed, pesticide, machinery etc to farmers at great profit, buying produce at below the costs to farmers, and selling it on to consumers on a huge scale and at enormous profit. The CAP reform of 2003 introduces a new system of single farm payments that 'decouples' the link between support and production. It comes into force in 2005-6 except for new tonnes of pork and 125 000 tonnes of lamb, while it exported 195 000 tonnes of pork and 102 000 tonnes of lamb · In 1997, 126 million litres of liquid milk were imported into the UK and at the same time 270 million litres of milk were exported out of the UK. Twenty three thousand tonnes of milk powder were imported into the UK and 153 000 tonnes exported out · In 1996 the UK imported 434 000 tonnes of apples, nearly half of which came from outside the EU. Yet over 60 percent of the UK's own apple orchards have been grubbed up since 1970, largely as a result of EU subsidies The WTO Agreement on Agriculture US agricultural policy has traditionally promoted cumulative growth and privatisation of seed at taxpayer's expense. That has wrung all the profit out of farming and into trading, processing, and retailing, controlled by a few TNCs. Research shows the share of the US agricultural economy going to farmers declined from 41 percent in 1910 to 9 percent in 1990, while farm input and marketing industries' shares increased by a similar amount. As small farmers are pushed out, others regional specialization will increase and regions will specialize in whatever their agriculture can produce more cheaply than others. It dictates that when products are exchanged, everybody gains because the combined cost of production is less than if each region had produced its own. In practical terms, this means promoting exports and limiting the right of countries to follow a policy of food self-sufficiency. The aim of the AoA is to reduce the use of the following three methods that favour domestic production · Border protection against imported products (the cheapest and most widespread method used) · Internal support measures for domestic producers (mainly used by developed countries with taxpayers money) · Export subsidies (used exclusively by developed countries) But the US negotiating position claims the right to spend tens of billions of dollars to compensate farmers for market failures rather than addressing those failures directly. In 2003, over half of the compensation went to less than 2 percent of farmers, again benefiting only very large businesses. Furthermore, developed countries maintain the right to continue with industrial agriculture and its policies are placing enormous stress on the world's small farmers and the renewable resource base, especially water and soil. Moreover, the local knowledge and plant genetic diversity most needed to truly sustain the world are being lost. member states, and its stated aim is to ensure greater income stability for farmers, leaving them free to decide what they want to produce in response to demand, without losing their entitlement. However, this is not the effect it will have. Farm business consultants Andersons and the National Farm Research Unit predict a further 30 percent decrease in British cereal growers and another 35 percent decrease in dairy farmers when the new single farm payments kick in. These payments will be lower than the previous payments made to smaller farms; yet prices for produce currently remain near or below the cost of production. A survey of English farmers showed that 87 percent did not want subsidies, only a fair return on their costs of food production. DEFRA figures showed average farm income in 2002 at £10 000; with farm-gate prices having risen just 2 percent in the last seven years. Meanwhile, supermarket prices have risen by 21 percent, and in 2002-3, Tesco's profits were 60 percent of total UK farming income. CAP reform was also greeted with dismay abroad. NGOs such as the Catholic aid agency CAFOD and Oxfam said it would mean "dumping as usual" for developing countries. CAP has positively encouraged the most senseless and environmentally destructive "food swaps" · Britain imported 61 400 tonnes of poultry meat from the Netherlands in the same year that it exported 33 100 tonnes of poultry meat to the Netherlands. Britain imported 240 000 enlarge their operation, for example, in the US pig industry a quarter of all producers went out of work between 1998 and 2000, leaving just 50 businesses controlling 50 percent of all US production. Yet, independent pig farmers produce more jobs, more local retail spending, and more local per capita income than larger corporate operations; and profits generated by small producers (of any commodity) are more likely to remain in the community and benefit the local economy. As in Europe, these policies have led to low plant and animal genetic diversity, low prices, many failing small farms, and environmental degradation, and because they are geared towards maximising export, similar effects are spreading all over the world. Seventy percent of the world's poorest people, who directly depend on the land, are forced to compete with the rich nations. The 1996 Freedom to Farm Bill followed by the 2002 US Farm Bill produced a vast structural price-depressing oversupply of major agricultural commodities in an attempt to comply with WTO rules. The Agreement on Agriculture (AoA) came out of the Uruguay Round of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) negotiations between the US and the EU (1986-94) that led to the founding of the WTO. It provides the rules governing international agricultural trade and, by extension, agricultural production. The AoA is based on the firm ideological belief that trade liberalization brings net benefits to all participants. By removing barriers to trade, several forms of support that are now illegal for any other country to introduce. The US, with its chronic overproduction in major commodities, always needs new export markets, and its policies therefore affect production everywhere. For example, rice, the staple of most of the poor nations, is grown on around 8 000 farms in the US; half of it in Arkansas where the biggest 332 rice farms, each over 400 hectares in size, produce more rice than all the farmers of Ghana, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Niger, and Senegal combined. In 2003, the US's crop of 9m tonnes of rough rice cost farmers $1.8bn to produce. Farmers received only $1.5bn from rice millers, but were sustained by government subsidies, which totalled $1.3bn. Between 2000 and 2003 it cost on average $415 to grow and mill one tonne of white rice in the US, but that rice was exported around the world for just $274 per tonne and dumped on developing country markets at a price 34% below its true cost. Surpluses may also be designated 'food aid' and monetized, i.e., sold on the recipient country's market to generate cash. Most US programme food aid is sold to recipient countries through concessional financing or export credit guarantees. The US is nearly the only country that sells 'food aid' to recipient countries; other donors give it in grant form, but both strategies reduce prices both for developing country exporters and for smallholders in importing countries, and deepen and prolong the depression in world market prices. www.i-sis.org.uk 32 Current agriculture policies undermine human rights The WTO's stated aims are to raise living standards, ensure full employment, and raise incomes; and the AoA is specifically meant to further the WTO's aims by "establishing a fair and market oriented agricultural trade system". But a report by the Institute for Agriculture and Trade Policy released in March 2005 accused WTO agriculture policies of undermining human rights; by promoting a trade liberalization agenda that overrides efforts to improve livelihoods in four ways · Promote the 'right to export' over human rights · Fail to tackle corporate control · Allow export dumping at artificially low prices to continue · Lock developing countries into an uneven playing field Using data from the US Department of Agriculture and the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (2003), the report describes how exports from US-based global food companies were dumped onto world agricultural markets · Wheat exported on average 28% below cost fast-revolving door between top posts in agroindustry and government; and agribusiness sits in the top ten of industry donors to candidates and political parties in US elections, contributing over $340m to campaign funds since 1990. Policies reinforce industrial agriculture at the expense of sustainable agriculture During this multinational bonanza, industrial agriculture and its policies are placing enormous stress on the world's small farmers and the renewable resource base, especially water and soil. Moreover, the local knowledge and plant genetic diversity most needed to truly sustain the world are being lost. Recent research has demonstrated the resilience and productivity of many traditional agricultural practices that have withstood the test of time. It has also documented the damage done when small, diverse organic farms, that have only one third of the hidden costs of non-organic agriculture, are pushed off the land by distorted markets, and replaced with large monocultures oriented towards export production. But government policies tend to emphasize a handful of major crops that require large fertilizer and pesticide inputs, and ignore resource conserving crop rotations for which farmers whatever commodities cannot be supplied at the local level, rather than export trade being the primary driver of production and distribution. 2. Reverse the present rules on intellectual property and patenting. These rules strongly favour the rights of global corporations to claim patents on medicinal plants, agricultural seeds, and other aspects of biodiversity, even when the biological material has been under cultivation and development by indigenous people or community farmers for millennia. 3. Localize food regulations and standards. Rules that benefit global food giants, such as irradiation, pasteurization, and shrink-wrapping also negatively affect taste and quality; and industrial processing has led to an increased incidence of food poisoning and diseases in farm animals. Each nation should be allowed to set its own high standards for food. 4. Allow farmer marketing/supply management boards. These let farmers negotiate collective prices with domestic and foreign buyers to help ensure that they receive a fair price for their commodities. Less than two years after the North American Free Trade Agreement (that dismantled the government price regulation agencies) went into effect, Mexican domestic corn prices fell by 48% as a flood of cheap US But government policies tend to emphasize a handful of major crops that require large fertilizer and pesticide inputs, and ignore resource conserving crop rotations for which farmers receive no government incentives, or sustainable practices such as growing clover or alfalfa to enhance soil fertility · Soybeans exported on average 10% below cost · Corn exported on average 10% below cost · Cotton exported on average 47% below cost · Rice exported on average 26% below cost This dumping has greatly increased since the inception of the AoA, and prices have dropped to new lows; but as all WTO members have ratified at least one of the international human rights treaties, these instruments could be used when designing trade policies. The policies of international agribusiness The laws that bind international trade derive from the ideology of international agribusiness whose common interest lies in opening up developing country markets. Close links with governments and academia are exploited to persuade policy-makers and the public that trade liberalization is clearly in the best interest of developing countries. Agribusiness is at the heart of creating US trade policy, thanks to the Agricultural Technical Advisory Committees for Trade. Members appointed in 2003 were selected, according to former US Trade Representative Robert Zoellick, to "coincide with the continuation of the Bush Administration's aggressive push to open foreign markets to US agricultural products.... Coordinating with our agricultural community will continue to be important as the tempo of negotiations for global, regional, and bilateral trade agreements intensifies." In the US, as in many countries, there is a SCIENCE IN SOCIETY 27, AUTUMN 2005 receive no government incentives, or sustainable practices such as growing clover or alfalfa to enhance soil fertility. They also perpetuate chemical-intensive agriculture by funding research on chemical fixes for agricultural problems, to the exclusion of research on more sustainable options. Sustainable systems are especially able to compare favorably with conventional systems when the comparison includes a full cost accounting of the environmental and public health harms and benefits of each system; but these costs are usually externalized, or paid by society rather than the polluter. There needs to be dedicated support for sustainable food production by small farmers who have served us well for thousands of years; and a curbing of the power of multinationals who serve only themselves. In spite of spin from politicians about 'making poverty history', their trade liberalisation policies can only continue to ruin local economies everywhere while serving the global elites. The International Commission on the Future of Food and Agriculture suggests the following changes to agricultural trade policy that would help make the world a much fairer and healthier place: 1. Permit tariffs and import quotas that favour subsidiarity. That means whenever production can be achieved by local farmers using local resources for local consumption, all rules and benefits should favour that option; thus shortening the distance between production and consumption. Trade should be confined to corn exports entered the country. Thousands of farmers have been forced to sell their lands 5. Eliminate direct export subsidies and payments for corporations. Although the WTO has eliminated direct payment programmes for most small farmers, they continue to allow export subsidies to agribusinesses. For example, the US Overseas Private Investment Corporation funded by US taxpayers, provides vital insurance to US companies investing overseas. Even loans from the IMF to Third World countries have been channeled into export subsidies for US agribusiness 6. Recognize and eliminate the adverse effects of WTO market access rules. Countries need new international trade rules that allow them to re-introduce constraints and controls on their imports and exports. These would prevent heavily subsidised Northern exports from destroying rural communities and self-sufficient livelihoods throughout the South. Many people now working, for example, for poverty wages at Nike and other global corporate subcontractors are refugees from previously self-sufficient farming regions. 7. Promote redistributive land reform. The redistribution of land to landless and land-poor rural families is a priority. This has promoted rural welfare at different times in Japan, South Korea, Taiwan and China. Research shows that small farmers are more productive and more efficient, and contribute more to broad-based regional development than do the larger corporate farmers. SiS 33 There is enormous scope for mitigating global warming by making our food system sustainable, halting deforestation, replanting forests for agroforestry, and harvesting biogas from agricultural and food wastes that at the same time conserve nutrients for crops and livestock. Sustainable Food System for Sustainable Development Dr. Mae-Wan Ho presents a model of sustainable development to replace the dominant model of infinite, unsustainable growth What's a sustainable food system? That's a question for this conference to answer. But I'll show you what it is not. Here's a sobering estimate of the greenhouse gas emissions from eating in a European country, based on full life cycle accounting, from farm to plate to waste. The figure of 30.4 percent is clearly an underestimate, because it leaves out emissions from the fertilizers imported as well as pesticides, transport associated with import/export of food, energy spent storing and preparing food in homes, processing of food, and emission from electricity is one-fifth of typical non-nuclear sources in other European countries. Our current food system is dominated by high agricultural inputs dependent on fossil fuels, including pumped irrigation water that have severely depleted the aquifers worldwide, while huge volumes of commodity are exported and imported, too often by air. Taking all those into account could easily increase the greenhouse gas emissions another 5 to 10 percent of total. That gives a rough idea of how much scope there is for reducing greenhouse gas emissions (and energy use) by changing agricultural practices, cutting out agricultural inputs and unnecessary transport, storage and packaging through local production and consumption. Sequestering C in soil provides food security and mitigates global warming Carbon dioxide in our atmosphere has reached an all-time high of 379 ppm (parts per million), giving a total of 807 Gt (109 tonnes) of carbon in the earth's atmosphere. This is still less than a third of the 2 500 Gt of carbon in the earth's soil, of which 1 550 Gt is organic carbon, and the rest inorganic carbon. The global soil organic carbon pool is almost three times the 560 Gt C estimated in all living organisms. The earth has been losing soil organic carbon to the atmosphere since historic times, a process greatly accelerated within the past 50 years, as agriculture intensifies, and forests are cut down to convert to agricultural land. Estimates for the historic losses of soil organic carbon range widely from 44 to 537 Gt, with the common range of 55 to 78 Gt. That is the amount we can theoretically put back from the atmosphere into the soil as organic carbon, if we get our agriculture and land use right. There is significant potential for sequestering, or taking carbon from the air into the soil through a set of recommended management practices. On existing croplands (1.35 billion ha), maximize soil organic carbon and fertility through organic inputs, cover crops, conservation tillage and mixed farming; on rangelands and grasslands (3.7 billion ha), prevent overgrazing, fires and loss of nutrients, on degraded and desertified land (1.1 billion ha), prevent water and wind erosion, harvest and conserve water and plant forests; and on irrigated land (0.275 billion ha), control salinity, use drip/sub-irrigation, provide drainage, enhance water efficiency and conservation. In fact, R. Lal in Ohio State University said, "Soil C sequestration is a strategy to achieve food security through improvement in soil quality", and as a bonus, it offsets 0.4 to 1.2 Gt C/year, or 5 to 15 percent of the global emissions of 7.9Gt C of greenhouse gas due to human activities each year. Agroforestry for food security and C sequestration Another way to cut emissions is to stop cutting down forests. Deforestation contributes 1.6 Gt C emissions or 20 percent of the annual global Greenhouse gas emissions from eating (France) Agriculture direct emissions Fertilizers (French fertilizer industry only, more than half imported.) Road transport goods (within France only, not counting export/import) Road transport people Truck manufacture & diesel Store heating (20% national total) Electricity (nuclear energy in France, multiply by 5 elsewhere) Packaging End of life of packaging (overall emissions of waste 4 Mt) Total National French emission Share linked to food system 42.0 Mt C 0.8 Mt C 4.0 Mt C 1.0 Mt C 0.8 Mt C 0.4 Mt C 0.7 Mt C 1.5 Mt C 1.0 Mt C 52.0 Mt C 171.0 MtC 30.4% greenhouse gas emissions due to human activities. More than 14 million hectares of forests are cleared every year, mostly in the tropics. Brazil alone has lost 47.4 million hectares of its Amazonia forest since 1978, mostly for raising cattle; and in recent years, for growing soya as cattle feed. Tropical forests are the richest carbon stocks and most effective carbon sinks in the world. The carbon pool in the secondary tropical forests in Mt. Makiling Forest Reserve in the Philippines was assessed at 418tC/ha, of which 40 percent was soil organic carbon; and this forest sequestered carbon at the rate of 5tC/ha/y. An agro-forestry system with cacao trees in a forest reserve in southern Luzon in the Philippines had a mean C pool of 258 t/ha. Agroforests in the humid tropics sequester a median of 10 t C/ha/y. Replanting forests for sustainable agro-forestry creates significant carbon stocks and sinks, and at the same time, restores livelihood to millions of indigenous peoples who have been displaced and/or poisoned by cattle ranges, soya farms, oil and mining industries. Tropical rain forests like those in the Amazon also play a most crucial role in mitigating global warming by regulating climate and rainfall, which is why they must be preserved and restored at all costs. A profusion of local inventions for sustainable food production There is a profusion of local inventions for producing food sustainably, increasing productivity while saving energy and water, and harvesting energy from farm wastes to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. They are described in detail in successive issues of our must-read magazine, Science in Society. I mention a few. Jesuit priest, Henri de Laulanie, working with farming communities in Madagascar in the late 1980s invented a system of rice intensification that is now practiced by 100 000 farmers in the country and spreading to other countries in Africa and Asia. It depends on transplanting rice seedlings at an earlier age and spaced wider apart than usual, with an emphasis on organic inputs, and most importantly, keeping the soil moist rather than flooded during the growing season. This encourages the rice plants to put out more side shoots, grow deeper, stronger roots, increasing yields from 2 t/ha to 8 t within the second year, and 12 t/ha or more in later years. These results met with scepticism from the conventional scientific community; but have been confirmed by Chinese crop scientist Yuan Longping, co-winner of 2004 World Food Prize. www.i-sis.org.uk 34 Sustainable development and human capital There has been a widespread misconception that the only alternative to the dominant model of infinite, unsustainable growth is to have no growth at all. I have heard some critics refer to sustainable development as a contradiction in terms. Prof. George Chan's dream farm, however, is a marvellous demonstration that sustainable development is possible. It also shows that the carrying capacity of a piece of land is far from constant; instead it depends on the mode of production, on how the land is used. Productivity can vary threeto four-fold or more simply by maximising internal input, and in the process, creating more jobs, supporting more people. The argument for population control has been somewhat over-stated by Lester Brown, and others who predict massive starvation and population crash as oil runs out. I like the idea of "human capital", if only to restore a sense of balance that it isn't population number as such, but the glaring inequality of consumption and dissipation by the few rich in the richest countries that's SCIENCE IN SOCIETY 27, AUTUMN 2005 responsible for the current crises. The way Cuba coped with the sudden absence of fossil fuel, fertilizer and pesticides by implementing organic agriculture across the nation is a case in point (Julia Wright's presentation at Sustainable World conference www.indsp.org). There was no population crash; although there was indeed hardship for a while. It also released creative energies, which brought solutions and many accompanying ecological and social benefits. For the past 50 years, the world has opted overwhelmingly for an industrial food system that aspired to substitute machines and fossil fuel for human labour, towards "Agriculture without farmers" (this series). This has swept people off the land and into poverty and suicide. One of the most urgent tasks ahead is to re-integrate people into the ecosystem. Human labour is intelligent energy, applied precisely and with ingenuity, which is worth much more than appears from the bald accounting in mega-Joules or any other energy unit. This is an important area for future research. Sustainable development is possible I shall present a model of sustainable development with a few diagrams, based on Chan's dream farm. The dominant model of infinite unsustainable growth is represented in Figure 1. The system grows relentlessly, swallowing up the earth's resources without end, laying waste to everything in its path, like a hurricane. There is no closed cycle to hold resources within, to build up stable organised structures. In contrast, a sustainable system is like an organism, it closes the cycle to store as much as possible of the resources inside the system, and minimise waste (see Figure 2). Closing the cycle creates at the same time a stable, autonomous structure that is self-maintaining, self-renewing and self-sufficient. In many indigenous integrated farming systems, livestock is incorporated to close the circle (Figure 3), thereby minimizing external input, while maximising productivity and minimizing wastes exported to the environment. The elementary integrated farm supports three lifecycles within it, linked to one another; each lifecycle being autonomous and self-renewing. It has the potential to grow by incorporating yet more lifecycles (Figure 4). The more lifecycles incorporated within the system, the greater the productivity. That is why productivity and biodiversity always go together. Industrial monoculture, by contrast, is the least energy efficient in terms of output per unit of input, and less productive in absolute terms despite high external inputs, as documented in recent academic research. Actually the lifecycles are not so neatly separated, they are linked by many inputs and outputs, so a more accurate representation would look something like Figure 5. The key to sustainable development is a balanced growth that's achieved by closing the overall production cycle, then using the surplus nutrients and energy to support increasingly more cycles of activities while maintaining internal balance and nested levels of autonomy, just like a developing organism. The 'waste' from one pro- duction activity is resource for another, so productivity is maximised with the minimum of input, and little waste is exported into the environment. It is possible to have sustainable development after all; the alternative to the dominant model of unlimited, unsustainable growth is balanced growth. The same principles apply to ecosystems and economic systems that are of necessity embedded in the ecosystem (Figure 6). Deconstructing money and the bubble economy Economics immediately brings to mind money. The circulation of money in real world economics is often equated with energy in living systems. I have argued however, that all money is not equal. The flow of money can be associated with exchanges of real value or it can be associated with sheer wastage and dissipation; in the former case, money is more like energy, in the latter case, it is pure entropy. Because the economic system depends ultimately on the flow of resources from the ecosystem, entropic costs can either be incurred in the economic system itself, or in the ecosystem, but the net result is the same. Thus, when the cost of valuable (non-renewable) ecosystem resources consumed or destroyed are not properly taken into account, the entropic burden falls on the ecosystem. But as the economic system is coupled to and dependent on input from the ecosystem, the entropic burden exported to the ecosystem will feedback on the economic system as diminished input, so the economic system becomes poorer in real terms. On the other hand, transaction in the financial or money market creates money that could be completely decoupled from real value, and is pure entropy produced within the economic system. This artificially increases purchasing power, leading to over-consumption of ecosystem resources. The unequal terms of trade, which continues to be imposed by the rich countries of the North on the poor countries of the South through the World Trade Organisation, are another important source of entropy. That too, artificially inflates the purchasing power of the North, resulting in yet more destructive exploitation of the earth's ecosystem resources in the South. Recent research in the New Economics Foundation shows how money spent with a local supplier is worth four times as much as money spent with a non-local supplier, which bears out my analysis. It lends support to local currencies and the suggestion for linking energy with money directly. It also explains why growth in monetary terms not only fails to bring real benefits to the nation, but ends up impoverishing it. Lester Brown argues that the economy must be "restructured" at "wartime speed" by creating an "honest market" that "tells the ecological truth". I have provided a sustainable growth model that shows why the dominant model fails, and why telling the ecological truth is so important. This article is an edited version of Dr. MaeWan Ho's lecture at the Sustainable World International Conference 14 July 2005 in UK SiS Parliament, Westminster, London. Parched land in Spain by Mae-Wan Ho Other Chinese scientists documented savings on seeds by 60 percent, 100 percent on fertilizers, and most of all, saving 3 000 t of water/ha. Agricultural wastes are a major source of the most serious greenhouse gases: methane and nitrous oxide. The perfect solution is to harvest the methane as 'biogas' for energy, while reducing nitrous oxide emission, saving the nitrogen as organic fertilizer nutrient for crops. How? By digesting the agricultural wastes anaerobically (in the absence of air) with bacteria normally present in the wastes, especially cattle dung. No one knows who first invented biogas. Anecdotal evidence suggests that biogas was used for heating bath water in Assyria during 10 BC, and the first digestion plant to produce biogas from wastes was built in a leper colony in Bombay, India in 1859. Based on this ancient invention, scientists in the United States and Canada are recently producing hydrogen, the ultimate clean fuel, as well as methane from food and agricultural wastes. Biogas is becoming popular in many Third World countries, and emerging as a major boon, bringing health, social, environmental and financial benefits. Nepal's successful biogas programme saves 625 000 tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents from being pumped into the atmosphere each year, earning it US$5 million in carbon trading that can be invested back into clean energy to generate yet more income from carbon trading. As you can see, there is a lot of potential for putting in place post-fossil fuel, minimum-emission food systems, especially in poor countries; but we are stymied by our political leaders' overwhelming commitment to a dominant model of infinite, unbalanced growth that has brought us global warming and the imminent collapse of food production, as I mentioned earlier in my introduction to our Global Initiative. There are many success stories from the grassroots. There's one on Ethiopia ("Greening Ethiopia" series, SiS 23). Another is "Dream farm" (this issue), which I shall use to illustrate a model of sustainable balanced growth that I believe should replace the dominant model. 35 Our current food system is dominated by high agricultural inputs dependent on fossil fuels, including pumped irrigation water that have severely depleted the aquifers worldwide, while huge volumes of commodity are exported and imported, too often by air Figure 1. The dominant economic model of infinite unsustainable growth that swallows up the earth's resources and exports massive amounts of wastes and entropy Figure 2. The sustainable system closes the energy and resource use cycle, maximising storage and internal input and minimising waste, rather like the life cycle of an organism that is autonomous and self-sufficient Figure 3. Integrated farming system that closes the cycle thereby minimizing input and waste Figure 4. Increasing productivity by incorporating more lifecycles into the system Figure 5. The many-fold coupled lifecycles in a highly productive sustainable system Figure 6. Economic system coupled to and embedded in ecosystem www.i-sis.org.uk Sustainable World Coming Independent scientists, economists, politicians, and activists met to share knowledge and ideas for sustainable food systems as the industrial model is close to collapse. Rhea Gala reports on the Sustainable World First International Conference 37 Independent scientists join forces with global civil society Independent scientists from four continents joined national politicians and many interested individuals and groups to discuss strategies for changing agriculture worldwide to a diversity of locally-based sustainable systems that can provide food sovereignty and security to all and protect the earth from the ravages of global warming. This was the occasion of the Sustainable World Global Initiative's first International Conference, organised by ISIS, which took place 14-15 July, starting in the UK Parliament in Westminster, London, to a nearcapacity audience that included people coming from Ireland, Scotland and Wales, Australia, Belgium and South Africa. The need to move away from large-scale high input industrial monocultures has long been accepted by many people as being essential for providing livelihoods to the many millions of small farmers in the South and the relatively few farmers remaining in the North, who are also responsible for conserving our plant and animal genetic diversity that have been decimated by decades of industrial monocultures. There is now an added sense of urgency as the industrial model is showing all the signs of failing under global warming, and water and oil, on which industrial monocultures are heavily dependent are both rapidly depleting. Policies that promote food export and contravene human rights in the South also exacerbate global warming by adding food miles, or worse, encouraging "food swaps" - shipment of the same food commodities such as milk and meat - across the globe. World cereal yields from conventional industrial agriculture have been decreasing for four years in a row; so it was highly significant that speakers shared their experience of sustainable agriculture systems from around the world, which outperform the industrial model in productivity while restoring autonomy and responsibility to farmers, and result in greater social participation within the local community. But what policy and structural changes are needed to implement truly sustainable food systems? ing commitment to the prevailing neo-liberal economic model that underlies social inequity, environmental destruction and global warming and emphasised that there is a wealth of existing knowledge that can both provide sufficient Alan Simpson MP declared that irreverence, heresy, and the breaking of rules were necessary to raise awareness in the face of deepening water, energy and food insecurity. He warned that by 2025, 6bn people will suffer water stress, causing 'water wars'; yet overproduction by agribusiness is a major cause of water depletion. food for everyone and ameliorate climate change. Chairperson Peter Ainsworth MP introduced Alan Simpson MP who declared that irreverence, heresy, and the breaking of rules were necessary to raise awareness in the face of deepening water, energy and food insecurity. He warned that by 2025, 6bn people will suffer water stress, causing 'water wars'; yet overproduction by agribusiness is a major cause of water depletion. He advocated the removal of patenting and intellectual property rights and, instead, to reinstate the public ownership of useful technologies that save resources. Woking, an English town with a population of around 100 000, for example, currently controls and produces 135% of its energy from renewable sources. Alan warned strongly against the nuclear option. He said that there are dissenters in all parties who believe in the return and development of diverse and sustainable food production and the right of all countries to meet their own food security needs without external interference. He spoke in favour of localised sustainable systems that are connected and informed internationally. Sue Edwards apologised for Dr Tewolde Berhan Gebre Egziabher's absence and presented his paper that posed the question 'What does the word 'sustainable' mean in the context Dr Mae-Wan Ho berated governments and political leaders for their overwhelming commitment to the prevailing neo-liberal economic model that underlies social inequity, environmental destruction and global warming and emphasised that there is a wealth of existing knowledge that can both provide sufficient food for everyone and ameliorate climate change. The big picture Dr Mae-Wan Ho, director of ISIS and member of the Independent Science Panel opened the proceedings by introducing the Sustainable World Global Initiative. She berated governments and political leaders for their overwhelm- If people were to become the sole inheritors of the Earth, which is threatened by mass extinctions caused by capitalization/commercialization of all our resources, then we shall all be dead, he said. Therefore a more equitable of food for everyone?' It means that food must be available to the very poorest person now, and into the indefinite future. There is currently both plenty of food that is overeaten by some, and plenty of hunger, even where food is present. system is urgently needed that is committed to reducing or at least maintaining populations at a sustainable level; and at the same time, the devolution of power back to local communities from which it was usurped. All people need to have the land to grow the food of their choice. Tewolde warned against GM crops that represent a further decrease in diversity and an increase in the privatisation of nature. Dr Mae-Wan Ho pointed to the enormous scope for mitigating global warming by making our food system sustainable, by halting deforestation, replanting forests for agroforestry, and harvesting biogas from agricultural and food wastes that at the same time conserve nutrients for crops and livestock. She presented a model of sustainable development - illustrated by a "dream farm" - that depends on maximizing internal inputs to increase productivity and hence carbon stocks and sinks, which, she believes, should replace the dominant model of infinite, unsustainable growth She showed how the carrying capacity of a piece of land is far from constant, but depends on the way the land is used. Thus, by maximising internal input to support diverse productive activities, it increases the wealth of the local economy and hence the number of people that can actually be supported. Michael Meacher MP spoke of the five factors that would force government to change their policies sooner or probably, much later, unless we put informed and relentless pressure on them. The factors are: the dependence of current systems on oil passing peak production for which demand is exploding; population movement due to water stress because we have squandered and polluted our water; the intensity of climate change that will affect us in many ways, the decrease in biodiversity that undermines our future, and escalating food miles that will cause gridlock. Meacher advised the promotion of low input mixed organic agriculture that saves ten times the energy of industrial holdings, while factoring in all the external costs of industrially produced food, thus exposing the lie in the UK government's 'cheap food' policy. The development of a sustainable food policy would inform governments while reminding them of better policies that they pay lip service to but neglect. www.i-sis.org.uk 38 A new approach to environmental and social accounting would highlight problems of overexploitation of people and nature and offer alternatives that would bring the public on board. The Common Agricultural Policy A lively conference dinner was followed by a stimulating discussion about the Common Agricultural Policy led by Caroline Lucas MEP and Martin Khor, Director of the Third World Network. It was generally agreed that the Common Agricultural Policy and the Agreement on Agriculture at the World Trade Organisation have similar effects on family farmers in both North and South, but Martin stressed that in the South, farmers are likely to actually die from losing farming livelihoods, there being no social welfare payments to fall back on. Dr. Mae-Wan Ho raised the question of why trade when people's livelihoods are not assured? Why produce for export before a country is self-sufficient in food as many Third World countries could be? Isn't this concentration on trade a case of the tail wagging the dog? There was general agreement to make policies as fair as possible for small farmers in the South while working to curb the powers of transnational agribusiness. Knowledge-based actions for sustainable food systems Friday brought a crowded agenda: a host of speakers with interesting experiences to relate. Peter Bunyard of the Ecologist magazine gave a telling account of how the destruction of the Amazon rainforest affects global weather. The Amazon plays a crucial role in regulating and stabilizing world climate, which is thrown of balance when vast areas of rainforest are cleared to produce soya for animal feed, from which Brazil earns $8bn annually. The Sahara and Amazon Basins are connected by weather systems that are the inverse of each other and the circulation is recharged by the Amazon, which is now failing, turning it into a carbon source instead of a sink. The oceans are losing the ability to regulate terrestrial temperature, and that too, will affect climate irreversibly. Sustainable forest use, which begin with? Sue Edwards spoke about sustainable agriculture in Tigray Ethiopia. She and Tewolde have been working with local communities to build their knowledge, confidence and inde- Michael Meacher MP spoke of the five factors that would force government to change their policies sooner or probably, much later, unless we put informed and relentless pressure on them. The factors are: the dependence of current systems on oil passing peak production for which demand is exploding; population movement due to water stress because we have squandered and polluted our water; the intensity of climate change that will affect us in many ways, the decrease in biodiversity that undermines our future, and escalating food miles that will cause gridlock. pendence, in creating local infrastructures that support food security. They found that compost applied on crops such as faba bean, finger millet, maize, teff, wheat and barley, resulted in an increase in yield over chemically fertilized crops. This occurred from the first season, and also in subsequent seasons when no compost was added, through soil improvements by previous composting. Ponds and gullies were made to conserve water, and grass crops for animal food and thatching proved very successful. This ecological agriculture adds to local sustainability through decreasing or eliminating external inputs particularly fertiliser, and increasing animal, crop and soil biodiversity, water resources, and social and economic equity. Erkki Lähde, professor of silviculture from Finland showed how an industrial forestry model has proved to be counterproductive for over a century. In this model a forest is clearcut and a monoculture replanted, with all economic gain coming at the point of clearance. But his research shows that natural forest, with many species in a special "all sizes" distribution, are the most valuable both in biodiversity a more equitable system is urgently needed that is committed to reducing or at least maintaining populations at a sustainable level; and at the same time, the devolution of power back to local communities from which it was usurped clears only small areas of forest that can renew themselves over 40 years, also avoids throwing the forest ecosystem out of balance. Can we return to these ways, perhaps by compensating Brazil and other countries such as Argentina for lost revenue, or cancelling their national debt to SCIENCE IN SOCIETY 27, AUTUMN 2005 that supports multiple use, more jobs, and which accords with public opinion and mitigates global warming. This model is diametrically opposed to the current dominant model that offers low diversity and the easy technical and economic terms. Sustainable systems all contain many species of many young plants with fewer and fewer older individuals. In the case of trees, standing and fallen dead trees also add to local biodiversity while the living forest continues to evolve. Individual trees are selected for cutting in line with a social model option of the clear-cut. Caroline Lucas is concerned that past gains of the EU on environmental issues could easily be lost due to the pressures of an enlarged EU. This includes the sliding away of the EU's sustainable development strategy, and failure to resurrect this strategy at the centre of a new EU agenda. Industry is pushing for less environmental regulation and for voluntary agreements only in the new joining countries. While the EU was set up to help keep peace in Europe, now it is simply about trade and being the most competitive economy in the world. In the recent referenda on the EU Constitution, people voted against it because they are not served by the EU in meaningful ways, they feel the EU is remote and self-serving. The EU could have seized the moment to put sustainable development as the new big idea, with economic models that protect the environment, regulating multinationals and advocating protective tariffs for poor countries. Europeans would have loved it and other countries would have followed suit. Hywel Davies MD of Weston A Price Foundation from Switzerland gave an account of the relationship between early coronary artery disease and the lack of nutrient dense food in the western diet. Autopsies on children who died of accidents showed thickening of tissue inside arterial muscle laminae due to multiplication of cells and large deposits of calcium phosphate. These, he said, derived from an excess of vitamin D and other additives present in large quantities in babies' feeding formula and many common foods. They contain supplements to compensate for nutrition removed by food processing, but cause problems that can only be remedied by understanding the importance of natural nutrients to our health and well being. For this reason, we must grow the food that meets these requirements. David Woodward of the New Economics Foundation described a starting point for addressing the economic inequalities of our current agricultural or other neo-liberal trade sys- 39 tems. It showed how people and the planet can be factored into economics, taking a global view while narrowing the gap between producer and consumer prices. The effects of the new economics aim to increase the sustainability of production while reducing environmental damage. Jakob von Uexkull president of the World Future Council initiative described how those in power have lost their way, treating people as consumers but not as citizens. In the face of corruption, inertia and cowardice we need an alternative voice to get things changed and implemented in the interests of a sustainable world. The World Future Council will work closely with national legislators from all over the world to develop step-by-step reforms and legislation to overcome the current "implementation gap". Pietro Perrino director of the former Gene Bank of Bari, Italy, one of the worlds largest, described a forced merger with much smaller institutions engaged in genetic modification of crop plants. He told a disturbing tale of how his large germplasm collection is endangered by the merger. He suspects that with the rise of DNA libraries and a research agenda that prioritises GM crops, plant genetic resources that cannot be patented may be an impediment to corporate control; but in any case they are not valued. He asks whether this 'problem' has ocurred at other genebanks around the world, and who should look after these priceless resources. Joe Cummins, professor of genetics from Canada said that his country would be the first where farmers legally lose control of their seed. Terminator technology provides the ultimate control of seed production by multinational corporations. Seed with terminator technology was developed and owned by Monsanto, but that technology (which involved preventing the embryo in the seed from growing) faced worldwide criticism and it was withdrawn by Monsanto.. Now a new generation of GM crops that are based on control of morphogenesis have spawned a new crop of patents for multinationals, those GM constructions employ toxins including diptheria toxin or even ricin to prevent viable seeds from being formed. The genetic modifications are very likely to persist and spread to crops in the wider environment. Whereas sterile seed guarantees sales to companies; sterile crops have no utility to the farmer, the consumer or the environment. Dr. Lilian Joensen from Argentina described how corporations in Latin America have coopted 'sustainable agriculture' using a façade of involvement in social programmes. NGOs have collaborated with them, and propaganda extolling the benefits of free trade have enabled massive destruction of virgin ecosystems and their conversion to soya production. Monsanto's Roundup Ready soya is grown on this land, as well as conventional and certfied organic soya, mainly to feed livestock in Europe and China. Soya is the main agricultural source of greenhouse gas. In Paraguay, peasants are being killed to clear their land for more soya. Latin American indigenous and peasant movements are seen as a threat to US corporate interests. Brazilian Amaggi, the world's main soya producer, says that small holdings don't have economic viability and industrial holdings are needed for competition on world markets. Dr. Julia Wright of the Henry Doubleday Research Association spoke about Cuba's experience when support from the Soviet Bloc collapsed in the 1990s and most of its fossil fuel resources were lost. The resulting non-industrial production promoted self sufficiency, human scale plantations, ecological techniques, and urban rural migration. By 2000 yield had doubled, wages trebled and calories increased by 25%! A policy of non-foreign land ownership and a non-wasteful culture helped the transition from fossil fuel dependency. Julia explained that if the government had been committed to organic agriculture, the gains especially in food quality would have been much greater. Ingrid Hartman from Humboldt University, Germany, spoke about the status of soils and their temporal, spatial and social dimensions. She described how little we know about soils because their cycles of development can last from millions of years to only a few months. And that what we destroy in them through pesticide and fertiliser use causes a deficit of services in the present, but especially in the future. Soils have a cultural and historical significance that contribute to human rights and are vital for our survival, therefore we should protect them and at least do them the service of making compost to aid renewal. Hannu Hyvönen, a freelance journalist from northern Finland showed a fascinating video illustrating how increasing the fruit species grown in his locality has countered the genetic erosion caused by fifty years of industrial agriculture and promoted a resurgence of zeal and community spirit. First the old fruit varieties, mostly apple, had to be sought from near and far before they died out, and grafted to a modern variety. Local people then participated in selecting the tastiest ones as they have for centuries, and these were Elenita Neth Dano who was unable to attend. Lim described a project for conserving agricultural biodiversity through participatory plant breeding in the Philippines. In this scheme schools are conducted within a community near areas of industrial production to reclaim plant varieties with traits suited to local needs and conditions. This farmer-led initiative has trained over 1 148 farmers, given them control over their crops, restored traditional varieties to the farm, and increased local awareness of environmental issues. Lim also described a very successful biodynamic system in Mindanao that treats the farm as a living organism. Martin Khor of the Third World Network then congratulated ISIS for bringing the conference to reality against a tide of mainstream thought that gives credence only to more competition. As it is obvious that independent farmers can create and develop as many viable and interesting farming practices as there are independent farms, we must at all times stress the services that these farmers offer to the environment as well as the good food that they produce. Dr. Mae-Wan Ho closed the conference by thanking everyone and quoting Schwartzenegger, governor of California: "We know the science, we see the threat, and we know that the time for action is now." Schwartzenegger set tough targets for reducing California's emissions of greenhouse gases to 2000 levels by 2010, to 1990 levels by 2020, and to 80% below 1990 levels by 2050. More than 100 mayors in the United States have also pledged to decrease greenhouse gas emissions, despite President George W. Bush's continued refusal to sign up to the Kyoto Protocol. All in all, an extremely lively conference with plenty of audience participation. The breaks were invariably buzzing with activity and energy. Thanks to conference sponsors: Fondation pour une Terre Humaine, Third World Network, Green People, Ecological Society of the Philippines, International Institute for Sustainable Development, Alara Organic, Josephine Sikabonyi, Alan Simpson MP, Caroline Lucas is concerned that past gains of the EU on environmental issues could easily be lost due to the pressures of an enlarged EU. This includes the sliding away of the EU's sustainable development strategy, and failure to resurrect this strategy at the centre of a new EU agenda. Industry is pushing for less environmental regulation and for voluntary agreements only in the new joining countries. planted from seed in their thousands for future selection. Old varieties of plum and cherry that thrive near the Arctic Circle are also being rediscovered and saved. Lim Li Ching, researcher for the Third World Network, previously with ISIS, spoke for Michael Meacher MP, Caroline Lucas MEP, Weston A Price Foundation, HDRA organics and the New Economics Foundation. See list of sponsors of the Sustainable World Global Initiative here: http://www.indsp.org/reg/ISP SiS RegWhoHasSigned.php www.i-sis.org.uk 40 Technology Watch Gene defect corrected without inserting foreign DNA . Dr. Mae-Wan Ho investigates A research team in a company in Richmond, California, claims to have corrected the gene mutation associated with the fatal X-linked severe combined immune deficiency (XSCID) in human cells without the insertion of foreign DNA into their genomes, and published their results online in the journal Nature 2 June. This raises hope of a safer form of gene therapy after three infants in Paris with X-SCID, who received gene therapy through their own bone marrow cells - isolated, genetically modified in the laboratory and injected back into the patient - came down with leukaemia ("Gene therapy woes", SiS 26). In the latest experiments, the human cells were treated with the company's patented "zinc-finger nucleases" (ZFNs). ZFNs are proteins made up of "fingers" of about 30 amino acids, stabilized by a zinc atom. Each finger binds to a specific combination of DNA bases and is attached to nuclease, a DNA cutting enzyme. By using different combinations of amino acids, they can be designed to bind to DNA at the exact site where the gene is mutated to cut it out. This triggers the cell's repair mechanism, which corrects the gene using a copy of the correct gene sequence provided in a plasmid, in a process of homologous recombination, in which the replacement depends on similarity in DNA sequence between the replacement and the resident copy of the gene. Infants with X-SCID have a mutated gene on their X-chromosome that makes their immune system unable to function. More than 10 infants in the Necker Hospital in Paris, France had been treated with conventional gene replacement therapy since 2000 using a retrovirus as the vector (gene carrier) to insert the correct gene sequence into their bone-marrow cells. But the retroviral vector carrying the correct gene sequence cannot be targeted, so it ends up inserting in wrong places in the genome. To-date, three infants have developed leukaemia because the retroviral vector inserted near an oncogene (cancer-related gene), causing it to overexpress, and the cell to multiple out of control. One of the infants has died earlier this year. The ZFNs are highly specific. Each finger recognizes 3-4 base pairs of DNA via a single alpha-helix formed by the finger, and several fingers can be linked in tandem to recognize a broad spectrum of DNA sequences with high specificity. Earlier work from another laboratory has shown that a zinc finger can be linked to a non-specific DNA-cutting domain of a DNA-cutting enzyme to produce the ZFN, which then cuts specifically at the zinc finger recognition site. An important feature is that two ZFNs bind to the same gene, in a precise orientation and spacing relative to each other, to create a double-strand break in the DNA, which then triggers the repair mechanism. Mathew Proteus at the University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas, a co-author of the Nature paper, had earlier used the technique to correct a marker gene in human cells. But he only managed to correct a few percent of the cells. In the latest paper, they succeeded in modifying 18 percent of the cells without the need to select for them with selectable markers such as antibiotic resistance or fluorescent proteins. The advance was due to a more elaborate combination of zinc fingers than used previously, which are optimised for binding and cutting. A pair of four-fingered ZFNs, each binding to 12 base pairs (24 in all), home in precisely on the target between the pair of ZFNs, a mutation hotspot in the X-SCID gene, and replace it with the correct copy. In one experiment, they isolated single clones of cells SCIENCE IN SOCIETY 27, AUTUMN 2005 Safe Gene Therapy At Last? Dough doll from Quito, Ecuador after giving them the ZFNs and the correct copy of the gene, and found that 13.2% of the clones had converted one of the two X-chromosomes, while 6.6% had both X chromosomes corrected. The researchers did other experiments confirming the findings, and demonstrated that corresponding changes occurred in levels of mRNA and protein expressed from the corrected gene. The corrected gene sequence appeared to be stable for at least one month afterwards, and analysis showed there was no gross mis-integration of extra DNA or rearrangement or scrambling at the site of correction. The company's aim is to take blood from patients, correct the genetic defect in the blood cells and then infuse the cells back into the patients. Besides X-SCID, other 'single gene' diseases such as sickle cell anaemia or beta-thalassaemia can also be treated, and perhaps immune cells could also be altered to prevent infection with HIV. Dana Carroll, a biochemist at the University of Utah, Salt Lake City, who has used ZFN to correct genes in fruit flies, said, "ZFN-induced gene targeting places the normal gene at its normal chromosomal location, where it should have no untoward genetic consequences." But he warned that sideeffects cannot be excluded. Is it safer? The results look quite impressive, and as pointed out in the Nature article, "the 'hit and run' mechanism of ZFN action uncouples the therapeutically beneficial changes made to the genome from any need to integrate exogenous DNA, while still generating a permanently modified cell." This new technique thus avoids all the hazards associated with the viral vector and foreign gene constructs with aggressive promoters to force the cells to express the foreign gene, and also appears to be specific: the PCRs and Southern blots (which probe for the corrected gene sequences) all look quite clean. Further tests that could have been performed are genomic and expressed sequence microarrays, and protein gels, to see if other genes have also been corrected and/or changes in the pattern of RNA and protein expressed have occurred. It was microarray analysis that first alerted the gene therapy community to the problems of the 'precision' gene therapy of RNA interference hailed as 2002's "breakthrough of the year" ("Controversy over gene therapy 'breakthrough'", SiS 26); although microarray analyses themselves are of questionable reliability ("Biotech wonder tool in disarray", SiS 26). It would also be important to show that the corrected protein does not cause side effects, such as immune rejection in patients whose bodies may treat the protein as 'foreign'. SiS 41 Technology Watch US Foster Children Used in AIDS Drugs Tests Dr. Mae-Wan Ho Mother and child, Thai handicraft The National Institutes of Health (NIH) funded anti-HIV drugs trials on hundreds of foster children over the past two decades, often without the legal protection for the children required in some states, exposing the children to the risks of research and serious side-effects of toxic drugs. This major scandal has been unveiled over the past months. Most of the trials took place in the 1990s, but some have continued to this day. Trials were conducted in at least seven states Colorado, Illinois, Louisiana, Maryland, New York, North Carolina and Texas - and involved more than 48 studies run by top research institutions. The foster children ranged from infants to late teens. Side effects reported include vomiting, rashes and rapid declines in their CD4 T-cells. Some children died during the studies, although A spokesperson stated openly at a workshop I attended not so long ago that "development follows the most efficient pathway in low cost/low tax locations and access to patients" (emphasis added), complaining that European regulatory standards are set far too high relative to the United States, and singled out India as a country for ease of access to patients. state or city agencies could not find evidence that any of the children's deaths were caused by the experimental drugs. These drugs trials first came to light in New York under the auspices of the Administration for Children's Services (ACS), the body that looks after the welfare of children in New York City. (See "Guinea pig kids", this issue). The ACS has an agreement with the Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group, supported by GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) and other drug companies, to test treatments on HIV-positive children. No test can take place on children without parental consent and drug companies have had great difficulty obtaining such consent. However, the ACS is deemed to be the legal guardian for many HIV-positive children. According to an influential BBC2 documentary, Guinea Pig Kids, first screened 30 November 2004, the ACS has forced children to be involved, removing them from foster homes if the foster parent did not comply and even physically making the children take the drugs, through a peg-tube inserted into their stomachs. About 465 HIV-positive foster children were involved in a series of clinical trials, some as young as 4-months old, virtually all of them African-American or Hispanic. These experiments continue to be carried out on the poor children of New York City and elsewhere; the exact number of children and the long-term effects of the drugs trials on their health are still unknown. GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) admitted it supplied drugs for four of the trials conducted in New York, and also supplied drugs and funds for another trial run by Columbia University Medical Centre. It said the US regulator, the Food and Drug Administration, encouraged the studies. "Clinical trials involving children and orphans are therefore legal and not unusual." GSK said in a statement. These revelations have triggered a congressional investigation into whether the government has adequate safeguards to protect foster children used in federal research. But the problem goes far deeper. A spokesperson for GSK has stated openly at a workshop I attended not so long ago that "development follows the most efficient pathway in low cost/low tax locations and access to patients" (emphasis added), complaining that European regulatory standards are set far too high relative to the United States, and singled out India as a country for ease of access to patients. The NIH have also been involved in funding AIDS drugs trials in Uganda and elsewhere, with deaths and thousands of severe reactions that failed to be reported ("NIH-sponsored AIDS drugs tests on mother and babies", this series). For the most complete information on HIV/AIDS, look out for Unravelling AIDS: The unexamined science and the alternative therapies (by Mae-Wan Ho, Sam Burcher, Rhea Gala and Veljko Veljkovic, Vital Health Publishing, 2005). This book also documents the toxicities of conSiS ventional anti-HIV drugs. www.i-sis.org.uk 42 Guinea Pig Kids in AIDS Drugs Trials Sam Burcher The anti-HIV drugs, AZT and nevirapine, are known to be highly toxic and to cause serious side effects. Despite this, they are still being used in clinical trials involving some of the most vulnerable members of society, pregnant women and newborn babies in Africa, and orphans in the United States. On 30 November 2004, the BBC screened a documentary that exposed drugs trials of AZT and nevirapine on the orphan population of HIV-positive children in New York City. The film, Guinea Pig Kids, by BBC reporter Jamie Doran, identified GlaxoSmithKline as one of the companies supplying the drugs used on children as young as three months old. The BBC asked Dr David Rasnick, visiting scholar at Berkeley, for his opinion on the experiments. He said, "We're talking serious side effects. These children are going to be absolutely miserable. They're going to have cramps, diarrhoea, and their joints are going to swell up. They're going to roll around on the ground and you can't touch them." Many HIV-positive children, orphans of drugs users, are treated at the Catholic run Incarnation Children's Centre in Harlem. The children are under the legal protection of the Administration for Children's Services (ACS) as are the twenty three thousand other orphans in the city, most of whom (ninety nine percent) are African-American or Hispanic. The Incarnation Children's Centre (ICC) was the focus of the BBC film. Before the advent of AZT and other aids drugs many very ill children admitted to the centre regained health Woman by Sam Burcher HIV orphans force-fed drugs after receiving high quality nursing and nutrition. Since then, drugs regimes of AZT and nevirapine are mandatory for the HIV-positive children, and the children remain on medication whether their condition improves or not. Drug treatments are mixed with strawberry or chocolate syrup to make them more palatable. If a child refuses or cannot tolerate the medication then a plastic feeding device called a "gastrostomy tube" is inserted directly into their stomach. A cut made through the abdomen and into the stomach allows the small tube to be pushed through keeping the quarter inch hole open. This remains permanently Box Profile of toxic drugs AZT was the first antiretroviral drug used to treat HIV positive men in the US at the start of the global pandemic. By 1994, at the height of the use of AZT, AIDS related deaths in the US had risen from eleven thousand in 1986 to nearly fifty thousand. The toxic effects of AZT or zidovudine have been documented as haematological toxicity (blood poisoning), severe anaemia, and symptomatic myopathy (muscle wasting). AZT is a nucleoside analogue reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NRTI) that suppresses cell division and the formation of new blood in the bone marrow, which can cause anaemia and bone marrow death. AZT is reported to have caused death in pregnant mothers, birth defects, pancreatic failure, spontaneous abortion, developmental damage and death in children and adults. AZT is also implicated in cancer. Closely associated with AZT is a newer antiretroviral drug called nevirapine or viramune. Its documented side effects are potentially life threatening hepatotoxicity (liver poisoning) and a severe skin reaction known as Stevens Johnson Syndrome. Nevirapine is a non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI) that binds directly to reverse transcriptase to prevent RNA conversion to DNA and is used in conjunction with other drugs. SCIENCE IN SOCIETY 27, AUTUMN 2005 43 attached to the child and drugs can then be administered via a syringe or a feeding tube through the gastrostomy tube directly into the stomach. Nurse stops drugs for kids Jacqueline Hoerger is a paediatric nurse who has worked at the ICC for many years. She dutifully fed the children drugs and never questioned the doctors. In time she fostered two sisters aged four and six, and maintained the prescribed drugs regime even when they lived at her home. But they continued to get sicker and weaker. One day, after consulting an openminded medical doctor, she decided to take them off the medication, and the results were astonishing. The girls became healthy, vibrant and strong. When the ACS discovered the drugs regime had stopped, they raided her home and took the children away, even though the children had received loving care, were seen by private doctors, and provided with an excellent education. She has never been allowed to red: "This study is no longer recruiting patients." Nevirapine is known to cause an extreme skin reaction that results in painful and bloody flaking of the skin over the entire body (see Box). A phase I and II trial of stavudine in children with HIV infection ended with thirty-five of thirty-seven children experiencing serious clinical adverse events. When events like this occur, who steps in to advocate on behalf of the children? They have no parents, and cannot evaluate the risks and benefits of staying on a drugs regime. Professor Arthur Caplan, head of medical ethics at the University of Pennsylvania, said advocates should have been appointed for all foster children involved in drugs trials and that researchers knew there was a great deal of uncertainty as to how children would react to AIDS medications that were often toxic for adults. "It is inexcusable that they wouldn't have an advocate for each one of those children". falo humps". These humps are large fatty growths on the necks and backs of people who take protease inhibitors. Several months later Scheff heard that the boy's stomach tube had got infected, and the child had died. But when children die in ICC drug trials, they are assumed to have died of AIDS. The National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), one of the National Institutes of Health (NIH) funds the ICC clinic for HIV-positive children, which is a subunit of the Columbia University Paediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Unit. Since the late nineteen eighties over two hundred clinical trials at Columbia and twentyseven at ICC involved 13 878 children from a variety of backgrounds. All studies dating from the late nineteen nineties onwards involved mainly foster children, used AZT and nevirapine, and were sponsored by the NIH in conjunction with pharmaceuticals companies. In 2002, the GlaxoSmithKline annual worldwide market for AIDS medications was esti- We're talking serious side effects. These children are going to be absolutely miserable. They're going to have cramps, diarrhoea, and their joints are going to swell up. They're going to roll around on the ground and you can't touch them. see the children again and now fears that they have been started on drug experimentation again. She told the BBC about her work at the ICC, "We were told that if the children were vomiting, if they lost their ability to walk, if they were having diarrhoea, if they were dying, then all of this was because of their HIV infection." All that mattered is adherence to the drug-taking regimes. No advocates for orphans The antiretroviral drugs used at the ICC are didanosine and stavudine as well as AZT and nevirapine. It is alleged that many drugs are used in single experimental combinations given to individual children. This is borne out by a trial sponsored by the U.S. National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) and National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD) called "The safety and effectiveness of treating advanced AIDS patients between the ages of 4 and 22 with seven drugs, some at higher than usual doses". When checked on 26 May 2005, the website for this trial (http://clinicaltrials.gov/ct/show/NCT0 0001108) contained the statement in Dr Mark Kline, a paediatric AIDS expert at the Texas Children's Health Center for International Adoptions admitted to enrolling orphans into his studies without appointing advocates. He says that excluding these children from "the best available therapies at the time" is something that he could not do. Other states in the US conducting research on vulnerable children are Colorado, Illinois, Louisiana, Maryland, and North Carolina. The Alliance for Human Protection filed a complaint with the FDA to stop the use of children in phase I and II trials. They say that the children should receive the best care available and not be used as a means to an end. Inside the ICC Liam Scheff, a New York Press reporter, was allowed in the ICC. He saw that the windows were shut and barred to stop the kids from trying to get out. He describes some of the children as wheelchair bound, staring ahead, unable to focus. One child, a boy of about six years old, rushed up to hug the reporter. The boy had a plastic stomach tube and had undergone multiple surgery to remove "buf- mated at $5 billion. The problem with an AIDS diagnosis Liam Scheff contacted Dr David Rasnick about what he saw at the ICC. "AIDS doctors always assume their patients are going to die," responded Dr Rasnick. "Nobody ever asks if an AIDS patient is actually sick from drug toxicity, because they have never considered that the person had a chance anyway". When Scheff asked Kathryn Painter, the medical director at ICC, why she didn't use alternative treatments such as fresh air, good nutrition and immune system boosters instead of toxic drugs, she slammed him by saying, "Yes, of course drugs have adverse reactions, but the risk/benefit of any medication must be weighed. May I remind you that untreated HIV infection is a terminal diagnosis". The ACS has changed their policy on enrolling orphans and foster children into clinical studies. They now conduct a more "individualised review", but defend the decision to enlist vulnerable children to test AIDS SiS medications en masse. www.i-sis.org.uk 44 Deaths and adverse events in Uganda The United States National Institutes of Health (NIH) began studies on mother-to-child transmission of HIV in Uganda in 1997. A single dose of nevirapine was given to labouring mothers and to their newborn child. Those studies were reported to have lowered transmission of HIV by 50%. But by 2002, problems with the US-funded drug trials had been disclosed by an NIH auditor, medical experts and Boehringer Ingelheim, the makers of nevirapine. The NIH hired Westat-Corp, a professional medical auditing firm, to audit the Ugandan testing sites. Westat-Corp's report stated, "It appears likely in fact, that many adverse Research standards and drug quality that are unacceptable in the US and other Western countries must never be pushed onto Africa called for an US congressional investigation and demanded that nevirapine no longer be distributed in Africa. He said, "This was not a thoughtful and reasonable decision, but a crime against humanity. Research standards and drug quality that are unacceptable in the US and other Western countries must never be pushed onto Africa". (But see "Guinea-pig kids", this series) Some doctors in Africa support the use of the drug, however; saying that without it many more babies would be born with HIV. Kenyan study confirms low efficacy of nevirapine Sam Burcher A study on nevirapine in a hospital setting in Kenya examined the results of 172 breast- NIH-Sponsored AIDS Drugs Tests on Mothers and Babies events and perhaps a significant number of serious adverse events for both mother and infant may not have been collected or reported in a timely manner." The "adverse events" included 14 deaths and thousands of severe reactions that went undisclosed. The NIH subsequently recorded all deaths and the majority of adverse reactions, but blamed them on the poor health of the patients, not on nevirapine. In December 2004, the Associated Press claimed that the adverse events in Uganda were censored and unknown to President Bush in 2002 when he announced his $500 million plan to push nevirapine across Africa to a million women a year. But before the plan went into effect, the NIH shut down the Ugandan research until the summer of 2003 to review the science and to make the necessary amendments. They asked the National Academy of Sciences to investigate the case and spent millions of dollars on improving record keeping and safety monitoring. A top NIH disease official reviewing the case concluded that the use of nevirapine even in single doses could confer instant drug resistance to HIV-positive patients, which would prevent the use of any other available antiretroviral drugs for future treatment. Therefore it was unsuitable as a drug of first choice. South African journalist and lawyer Anthony Brink published an article, The trouble with nevirapine, which revealed that all the pregnant women were on either AZT or nevirapine. There were no placebo groups. Brink saw the results of the unblinded trials, which concluded with an official recommendation for nevirapine. Side effects such as severe rash, pneumonia, blood cell-death, insufficient oxygen to tissues and blood, and tissue infection were recorded at 20 percent in both the AZT and nevirapine groups. Thirty-eight babies SCIENCE IN SOCIETY 27, AUTUMN 2005 died; 22 in the AZT group and 16 in the nevirapine group. A further 16 deaths came to light in documents recently disclosed by Boehringer Ingelheim, mostly in the Nevirapine group. But nevirapine gained approval because the rate of viral infection measured with PCR (a non-diagnostic test) was 13.1 percent in newborns. Although all the women had tested positive for HIV, it is known that pregnancy produces antibodies that can give a false positive test result. A further anomaly noted by journalist Liam Scheff was that the newborn babies were tested for HIV transmission at 6 weeks and 14 weeks using a PCR testing kit called "the amplicor HIV-1 monitor test", But PCR is not approved for viral testing and the manufacturers specifically warn against using it for the purpose of diagnosing HIV (Roche PCR HIV-1 Monitor Test). Furthermore, eighteen months is considered the earliest age for testing mother to child transmission of HIV. In contrast, a study conducted on 561 expectant African mothers to assess the rate of mother-to-child transmission of HIV using no drugs, pills or placebos was 12 percent. Boehringer Ingelheim had donated 411,000 doses of nevirapine to Africa, but withdrew its application to the FDA for approval for use in single dose on infants in America on the premise that better treatments had emerged. Africans used as guinea pigs The South African government responded to the Associated Press revelations by carrying an article in the ANC online journal ANC Today on 17 December 2004, accusing top US officials of treating Africans like guinea pigs and telling lies to promote the sale of AIDS drugs. Jesse Jackson, the black civil rights activist and official US envoy to Africa, feeding women who presented their newborns for follow-up tests after receiving a single dose of the drug. Blood samples were taken from babies at 6 weeks and 14 weeks after birth. Before the availability of antiretrovirals, HIV mother to baby transmission rate at the Coast Province General Hospital was 21.7 percent. After the use of nevirapine, the transmission rate was similar at 18.1 percent. The overall prevalence of HIV at the hospital is 14 percent, which has remained steady since 1995. The study concluded that the limited effect of nevirapine confirms the lack of benefits for maternal health and justifies the concerns about drug resistance. It also questions the enormous deployment of resources to provide nevirapine and recommends that the true health gains of nevirapine should be reconsidered. Nevirapine tested on US mothers to be But African mothers are not alone in being used as test subjects for nevirapine. Nevirapine is known as viramune in the US. The NIH sponsored a trial of viramune with expectant mothers in 2004. Joyce Halford was persuaded to take part in the trial by her doctors because she had tested HIV-positive during her pregnancy; otherwise she was a healthy 33 year-old. Some way into the trial, her doctors knew her liver was failing, but she was kept on viramune and died two weeks later of drug-induced hepatitis. Her child was cut from her in her dying moments. She and her family had not been shown the explicit warning on the viramune label that specifically states, "Patients with signs or symptoms of hepatitis must discontinue viramune and seek medical evaluation immediSiS ately." 45 Against corporate serfdom SOS: Save Our Seeds Dr. Mae-Wan Ho warns of new dangers posed by genetic engineering to the world's gene banks, already in jeopardy from years of under-funding, and stresses the importance of in situ conservation and seed saving in local communities for sustainable food systems and food security Box 1 Loss of agricultural biodiversity from industrial monoculture FAO estimates that about 75 percent of the genetic diversity of agricultural crops had been lost during the last century. Farmers in the United States grew more than 7 000 varieties of apples in the 1800s; by the end of the 1900s, all but 300 were extinct. In 1949, farmers in China grew 10 000 varieties of wheat; by the 1970s, they grew just 1000. Similar losses of maize varieties have occurred in Mexico and of rice varieties in India. Of 6 500 animal breeds known today, almost one third are threatened or already extinct. World genebanks and food security in jeopardy Deteriorating conditions in the world's crop genebanks pose "a major threat to US agriculture," says a new study published by the University of California Genetic Resources Conservation Program. The report, Securing the Future of U.S. Agriculture: The Need to Conserve Collections of Crop Diversity Worldwide, notes that nearly every major crop in the United States - including soybeans, corn, wheat, rice, potatoes, oranges and apples - is battling a plethora of new or re-merging pests to which there is little or no resistance. Failure to adequately maintain crop genebank collections "could constrain agriculture's ability to avert billions of dollars in crop damage." These genebanks provide the diversity needed to enable the crops "to stay one step ahead of pests", and also to improve quality, nutritional value, and yield. But lack of funding has left many of the collections in a state of decay. Just prior to the publication of the report, Nobel Peace Prize laureate Norman Borlaug was warning the world of a new rust epidemic from East Africa, that, if it gets loose in Asia, North America, South America and Australia, would infect half of all our grain varieties, and the stage would be set for a major disaster. This calls for ongoing research. "But when you haven't had a major epidemic in 52 years, complacency becomes a problem." Borlaug said. Underlying the almost $200 billion value of US agriculture's production at the farm level is a little known resource - the genebanks around the world. The report, released at a congressional briefing in Washington 28 February 2005, noted that the collections held in gene banks "represent the historic and current diversity of agriculture, without which farming in the U.S. and around the world would stagnate and flounder." Calvin Qualset of the University of California Genetic Resources Conservation Programme and Henry L. Shands, director of the USDA/Agricultural Research Service's National Center for Genetic Resources Preservation, were co-authors of the report. At the World Food Day symposium on 19 October 2004, United Nations Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) Director-General Jacques Diouf delivered a similar message on the importance of genebanks. He said that global efforts to conserve plants and animals in genebanks, botanical gardens and zoos are vital to maintaining global biodiversity and promoting food security worldwide. In fact, the theme of the 24th annual World Food Day was "Biodiversity for Food Security". Worldwide, there are nearly 5.4 million crop samples in 1 470 genebanks. These are important repositories for conserving seeds and germplasm, as agricultural biodiversity has been severely eroded under industrial monoculture practised over the latter half of the last century (see Box 1). Lack of biodiversity leaves major crops vulnerable to disease, potentially causing famine and starvation. The Irish potato famine in the 1840s was one example, when the Phytophthora potato blight destroyed the entire crop, as the farmers grew only one variety, and there was no genetic diversity in seed banks or elsewhere to fall back on. Gene banks also play a vital role in maximizing the use of wild and cultivated varieties in crop improvement through selective breeding. Genebanks have been in major trouble for some years; there simply is not enough money for gene banks to fulfil even their basic conser- Box 2 Global Crop Diversity Trust The Global Crop Diversity Trust was set up in 2002 at the World Summit for Sustainable Development as a type 2 (public-private) partnership involving the FAO and the 15 "Future Harvest Centres" of the Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research (CGIAR) [4, 5]. It hopes to raise US$260 million required to protect the world's most important crop species; so far, only $56 million has been committed. Among the first grants are to the N.I. Vavilov Research Institute of Plant Industry (VIR) based in St. Petersburg, established and named after the famous Russian plant geneticist Nikolai Vavilov, which now holds around 95 000 accessions of grain crops, over 43 000 legumes and 50 000 vegetables. Nikolai Vavilov was one of the first and most prolific collectors of plant seeds; he made more than 100 collecting missions around the world between 1915 and 1930, and was responsible for the idea of "centres of origin" for regions with a high diversity of species. vation role, let alone their other role of maximising the use of wild and domesticated varieties for crop breeding and improvement. When dried and kept cold, some seeds will last for 30 years or longer. Others have to be grown out regularly and harvested to keep seeds fresh and alive. Tubers, roots and cuttings for plants can be kept in test tubes, usually as tissue culture, and periodically regenerated. All these cannot be done without money. Without proper care, existing seed stock will eventually lose its viability. Prof. Jeff Waage of Imperial College's department of agricultural sciences in London, UK, had earlier reported to the United Nations www.i-sis.org.uk 46 World Summit on Sustainable Development in August 2002, that although the number of plant samples held in crop diversity collections has increased by 65 percent, genebank budgets have been cut back in 25 percent of the countries and remained the same in another 35 percent. Waage's report said that one in 12 of the world's 250 000 species of flowering plants are likely to disappear before 2025. A chief culprit is modern agriculture, particularly when forests are cleared to create farmland. "Among the losses are the wild relatives of domesticated plants with as yet untapped potential," said the report. These include wheat, soya beans, tomatoes, coffee and grapes To add to the trouble, war in developing countries had destroyed some vital centres, other have had their electricity cut off, so rare seeds are not kept in the cool conditions required. Rwanda, Burundi, Somalia and Romania have all lost their genebanks. Albania, Fiji and Nigeria have lost part of their collections. In response to the crisis in genebanks, the Global Crop Diversity Trust was launched at the World Summit for Sustainable Development in 2002 (Box 2). Genetic engineering the new threat A new threat to gene banks has surfaced in the events surrounding the forced merger in 2002 of Italy's gene bank in Bari - among the world's ten largest - with much smaller centres involved in genetic modification of crop plants ("Italy's gene bank at risk", this series). Although by far the biggest institution in the merger, its director since 1982, Prof. Pietro Perrino, was sidelined in the competition for the directorship of the merged institute, which went instead, to a professor in Naples who has yet to move to Bari. Perrino was downgraded to "manager" of Bari's germplasm collection of 84 000 accessions. But right from the first, it was obvious that the new director has little or no interest in preserving the collection. Things came to a head when the cooling system broke down and the director refused to have it repaired. In desperation, Perrino resorted to the law court to have the collection placed under his custody in order to have the cooling system repaired. But damage to the collection may have already occurred. Perrino and his supporters are convinced that the new director and the "pro-GM lobby" are not at all interested in conserving the collection, but are using it as a pretext for getting research funding for genetic modification. More than that, Perrino and his supporters suspect that the proGM lobby and the GM giants really would like to see the collection destroyed. This sounds far-fetched until one gets inside the genetic engineer's mindset. To a genetic engineer, DNA is all. Once a genome sequence is known and deposited in a database, and the DNA of the plant genome deposited in a DNA biobank, then the seed or plant is really of little or no interest. After all, DNA sequences of any gene can easily be synthesized in the laboratory and used to transform SCIENCE IN SOCIETY 27, AUTUMN 2005 existing crop plants to make any desired GM variety, be it herbicide tolerant, insect resistant, salt or drought tolerant, improved nutritional properties, increase in yield, etc., at least in theory. That is precisely the same mentality that motivates "gene-hunting" of indigenous tribes threatened with extinction, so as to preserve their DNA before they become extinct, "for the good of humanity". Unfortunately, we can no more resurrect a plant from its DNA than reconstruct an extinct indigenous tribe with its distinctive language, knowledge and culture that constitute an entire way of life. This exclusive emphasis on DNA is misplaced even for genetic engineers, especially those using marker-assisted selective breeding on existing lines to enable them to identify useful traits. The genetic markers can be identified through screening the DNA; but the plants themselves will still be needed for cross-breeding. An additional disincentive for proponents of GM to preserve germplasm in seed banks is that they are considered the natural heritage of the earth, if not of the human species, and cannot be patented for commercial exploitation if there is no genetic modification or gene isolation involved (see the International Treaty on Plant Genetic Resources for Food and Agriculture, Box 3). So, as far as agribusiness is concerned, they are of no commercial value, or indeed of negative commercial value, as seed or germplasm collection allows farmers to do their own selective breeding for improving crops and livestock, instead of having to purchase patented seeds from the companies and pay royalties. That would reverse the corporate serfdom being imposed on farmers all over the world (see SiS26), and that's precisely the reason why gene banks are important, particularly if farmers can get ready access to their collections (see below). In situ conservation against corporate serfdom Apart from the ex situ conservation, in situ conservation - maintaining biodiversity on farms and in nature - is equally important, if not more so, for counteracting corporate serfdom. Jacques Diouf himself has stressed the importance of in situ conservation. "The responsibility for conserving agrobiodiversity on farms in a great part of the world usually belongs to women farmers who traditionally harvest and conserve crop seeds from season to season." Said Diouf. "This local agrodiversity is particularly important for the resilience of farming systems and communities in emergencies or humanitarian crises, such as those that affected more than 45 million people last year." He pointed out that most of the earth's genetic diversity is found in the poor countries in the developing world; and that "it is imperative that those most responsible for its development and its preservation - the indigenous people who maintain the farms, the herds, the forests and the fishing areas - are both respected and rewarded for their efforts." In situ conservation and seed saving by Box 3 International Treaty on Plant Genetic Resources for Food and Agriculture This treaty is the outcome of the International Undertaking (IU) on Plant Genetic Resources for Food and Agriculture adopted by the FAO conference in 1983. Starting in 1996, the IU was revised through negotiations to make it compatible with the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD), and renamed the International Treaty (IT). Negotiations were finalized in November 2001, and the IT was hailed by FAO Director-General Jacques Diouf [2] as "a triumph for the indigenous farmers, herders, forest dwellers and fishing communities of the world." It establishes a multilateral system of access and benefit sharing to ensure that plant genetic resources of the greatest importance to food security are readily available for use now and in the future, and that any benefits are shared with the countries in which they originated. It also establishes a mechanism to ensure that researchers worldwide have access to those resources. Critics note however, that it does not go far enough in protecting our common heritage from commercial exploitation and patenting ("Science for the poor, or procurer for the rich?" SiS 15). The United States is a signatory to the treaty, which entered into force in June 2004. local communities themselves are the keys to recovering and safeguarding local agricultural biodiversity for genuinely sustainable food systems that involves local production and consumption, and restores self-sufficiency and autonomy to farmers and the local communities. "There used to be many local variety seeds not only for food crops such as rice and corn, but also for beans/legumes and fruit trees." Says Hira Jhamtani of Konphalindo, Indonesia, a public interest organisation involved in promoting sustainable agriculture. "The problem is that the knowledge is dying with the old farmers, and the younger generation has no comprehensive knowledge on seed conservation, nor do they seem to be interested. This is where scientists can play a role in documenting local seed varieties and reviving seed breeding among the younger generation based and rooted in local knowledge. The local know-how still exists in many places in Indonesia (and also the Philippines), the question is how to regenerate the biodiverse agricultural-base and revitalise this knowledge through community based activities." Neth Dano, associate of Third World Network in the Philippines, who has worked with local communities to develop sustainable agriculture for many years, is less than happy about a blanket call to increase funding for genebanks. "The genebank/ex situ strategy should not be seen as a stand-alone genetic conservation strategy but should complement the in-situ/onfarm strategies of communities, institutions and civil society." Says Dano, "This would require genebank scientists working closely with farm- 47 ers and indigenous peoples in seeds conservation on farm. Increase funding for genebanks should be tied to increased funding for insitu/on-farm conservation and utilization efforts." This will ensure that the genebanks will not just conserve genetic resources for corporate agriculture, but first and foremost for world food security and the livelihood of those who have nurtured and are dependent on these genetic resources. "We also have to take note that there are many cases when the ex situ conservation is not relevant at all, as in the case of the Least Developed Countries which cannot even afford to pay for electricity to keep the genebanks running after these have been built through grants or even loans that the future generation will have to pay." Dano adds. She also points out that even if most or all of the collections in the CGIAR genebanks are not patented, as they are the "common heritage of mankind", they remain inaccessible to farmers especially if traditional breeds have already been lost. Genebanks should make every effort to ensure that their collections are accessible to the farmers and indigenous peoples who need them, as most of the materials were collected by scientists from farming and indigenous communities in the first place. There must be concrete mechanisms to inform farmers and to facilitate farmers' access to these materials. Seed-saving against corporate serfdom Seed saving is an important activity that does not have to wait for massive funding, and many local communities have already started to do just that, to make sure they conserve what they still have, and not to depend on genebanks. For example, the Henry Doubleday Research Association in the UK with 30 000 members is a major seed saver for organic gardening and farming, although it is not a gene bank. Its Heritage Seed Library conserves and makes available to members European vegetable varieties that are not widely available. Currently, 700 accessions of open-pollinated varieties are held, of which about 200 are in its Seed Catalogue sent free to members (http://www.hdra.org.uk/hsl/index. htm). Navdanya ("Nine seeds") started by Dr. Vandana Shiva of the Research Foundation for Science, Technology and Ecology in India is active not only in seed saving but also in revitalising indigenous knowledge and culture, in creating awareness of the hazards of genetic engineering, and in defending people's knowledge from biopiracy and people's food rights in the face of globalisation. It has its own seed bank and organic farm over an area of 20 acres in Uttranchal, north India (http://www.navdanya .org/). In Ireland, Anita Hayes founded the Irish Seed Savers Association (ISSA) in 1991 in her own home and garden. But with a core of willing helpers and seed donations, and financial aid from government bodies and many generous funders, the ISSA took off. It now has a large collection of Irish fruits, cereals and vegetables SiS (http://www.irishseedsavers.ie/). Italy's Genebank At Risk Prof. Pietro Perrino tells the story of how Italy's gene bank, among the ten largest in the world, risks being destroyed under an enforced merger with groups preoccupied with genetic modification of crop plants The Germplasm Institute in Bari The Germplasm Institute (GI) of the Italian National Research Council (CNR) was founded in 1970, in Bari, Italy, with the aim to collect, preserve, multiply, characterise, evaluate and distribute plant genetic resources, both cultivated and wild relatives, that are threatened by genetic erosion and/or extinction and are important for agriculture. From 1970 to 2002, the GI collaborated with many national and international organisations including the US Department of Agriculture, the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) and different centres of the Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research (CGIAR), and collected germplasm in many countries of the Mediterranean Basin, Ethiopia, Somalia and South Africa. In more than 100 expeditions, over 13 000 samples of wheat and other cereals, pea, broad bean, and other pulses, including wild relatives were collected. The GI has also acquired samples of germplasm through exchange with other gene banks and institutions. So that, today, the collections of germplasm amount to about 84 000 accessions: cereals (38 000), pulses (9 000), vegetables (3 000), fodder gramineae (2 000), fodder leguminosae (4 500), medicinal plants (700) and numerous active collections (25 000) belonging to around 600 species. Seed samples are stored at a relative humidity of 35 percent and 0 C (medium term conservation) and -20 C (long term conservation). During and after multiplication and/or rejuvenation as well as during storage, part of the collections is also submitted to characterisation and seed germination tests. In all, 1 400 genebanks in the world (FAO) are preserving ex situ more than 6 million accessions of plant germplasm (mainly seed samples). Of this germplasm 1 percent is preserved at GI, 30 percent in other gene banks of Europe and 69 percent in the rest of the world. The GI is the only gene bank in Italy, preserving nearly 90 percent of the ex situ Italian plant germplasm and according to the size of collections and standard of conservation, it is the second in Europe, after the German gene bank, and is among the ten biggest gene banks in the world. During the 32 years between 1970 and 2002, during most of which I was director of the GI, we distributed over 81 000 accessions, more than those annually distributed by all of the Centres of the CGIAR. Research projects at GI were oriented to stimulate and to promote utilisation of indigenous plant germplasm. Three strategies were adopted. The first was to select genetic resources in collaboration with local farmers. The second was to select germplasm in collaboration with plant breeders, looking for adaptive and good qualitative characters all along the line that leads to the end food products. The third was to develop, in collaboration with other institutions, academic research for longer-term objectives, such as to widen the genetic base through breeding and studies of cell genetics, and better understanding of the potentialities of maintenance through studies of seed physiology. From 1970 to 2002, the costs of germplasm collection, maintenance, research and salaries were about 50 million Euros. Apart from preserving the 84 000 accessions, GI contributed to exploration, collection, multiplication and conservation strategies, published more than 1 000 scientific papers, provided databases on documentation of the collections and trained more than 1 000 Italian and foreign visitors, students and researchers. Most of all, many of the genetic resources maintained in the genebank are unique and very often no longer present in cultivated fields, due to the high genetic erosion caused by the diffusion of new varieties with a very narrow genetic base. In this respect, the introduction and cultivation of GMOs would make the situation even worst. Thus, the germplasm maintained in the genebank should be considered of a very high value for developing sustainable and organic agriculture. www.i-sis.org.uk Diversity of wheat by Pietro Perrion 48 Merging of the GI with other research centres against the wishes of the employees In November 2002, against the will of myself, as Director of the GI, and a significant number of employees, the GI in Bari was merged with other much smaller CNR research centres that since their origin, have been engaged with genetics, plant breeding activities and more recently with genetic engineering on citrus fruits in Palermo, on vegetable crops and flowers in Naples, on fodder crops in Perugia and on forest trees in Florence. This merged entity was called Istituto di Genetica Vegetale (IGV) (Plant Genetic Institute). It is worth stressing that within the University system in Italy, there are at least 30 other Plant Genetic Institutes, whereas there is only one Germplasm Intitute in the CNR. And according to the rules of reformation of CNR, the GI should have been strengthened and not closed down by merging it with other groups to form a centre, which, as said, duplicates other university departments and with much more emphasis on genetic engineering activity. The battles from April 2001 to October 2002 between GI employees, supported by the Agricultural Councillor of Apulia Region and the Ministry of Agriculture on one side and the top management of CNR on the other were largely in vain, except that, in order to placate the GI employees and the politicians, the seat of IGV funds. They are not interested in biodiversity but are fully involved in GMOs or even worse, in the opinion of some of us (including outsider supporters), the lobby, linked to multinationals, wants to destroy the germplasm and prevent farmers from using them. This last hypothesis is not so strange if one considers that the Director of the IGV did not respond positively to the request of repairing the cooling systems of seed storage rooms when they were not functioning. The CBD the Treaty of FAO and its legal implementation in Italy On 30 March 2004, the Italian Senate discussed the draft of the law n. 2845 that ratified the execution of "The International Treaty on Plant Genetic Resources for Food and Agriculture" of the FAO (see "Save our seeds", this series) adopted by the thirty-first Conference of FAO in Rome on 3 November 2001. The law was approved by the Chamber of the deputies; and as the Law came into effect on 6 April 2004, the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry has allocated to the IGV the sum of 155 000 Euros. How is the Director of IGV to use these funds in agreement with the Treaty if the genebank is under judicial attachment? Will the Director of the IGV use these extra funds assigned for activities of conservation intended by the Treaty, after having put at risk the entire gene bank collection? many of the genetic resources maintained in genebank are unique and very often no longer present in cultivated fields, due to the high genetic erosion caused by the diffusion of new varieties with a very narrow genetic base was moved from Naples to Bari, and the thematics of research of the IGV was extended to include part of the GI activities and interests, which had previously been completely ignored. The merger endangers germplasm collection Since November 2002, the management of the IGV has created a lot of trouble for the ex GI. The most serious concerns the cooling system for seed storage in the genebank, which did not function for a few months and therefore the temperature of cold storage rooms went up for a considerable number of days. The Magistrate of Bari has already made an intervention with the result that I was nominated judicial custodian of the gene bank. Only then was the cooling system repaired. Nevertheless, the Magistrate has decided to maintain the judicial custodianship until the probable damage to the germplasm collections caused by the increase of room storage temperature can be evaluated. Moves to save the genebank I, as Director of the ex-GI, now Research Manager, together with a few remaining colleagues are fighting to defend the gene bank and the stored plant genetic resources from the Director of the IGV and his lobby, who want to have full control of the germplasm in order to use it as a pretext for getting large research SCIENCE IN SOCIETY 27, AUTUMN 2005 The future of the genebank uncertain The future of the Bari gene bank and the preserved germplasm is uncertain. We do not know when the germplasm collections will be evaluated for damage that may have been done during the breakdown of the cooling system, and when the gene bank will be placed under the full direct control of the Italian Government and not left in the hands of people that would not take care of it, or would simply use it to make GMOs. The Sustainable World Global Initiative and the future of genebanks In conclusion, the Sustainable World conference maybe the right forum to start a worldwide evaluation on the state of the world's gene banks, to verify their functionality and usefulness, how well the plant germplasm is being preserved, how much and how often it is used and for what purposes, and how much is the cost of maintenance in order to understand whether ex situ conservation in genebanks is a useful strategy for implementing sustainable food systems around the world. This article is an edited version of Prof. Pietro Perrino's presentation at the Sustainable World Conference 14-15 July 2005 in SiS Westminster, London. Environmentally and socially sustainable organic cotton is harvested on the Narmada plains of Madhya Pradesh. PAN Organic cotton is more environmentally friendly, better for the health of the community and for the local economy than GM cotton, according to a study by the Centre for Sustainable Agriculture in Andhra Pradesh. The GM Bt cotton was compared with cotton grown without pesticide, or under non-pesticide management (NPM). The study looked at the incidence of various pests and diseases as well as the beneficial organisms in the Bt and NPM cotton fields. It also looked at the economics of pest management for both systems. The study, designed and supervised by entomologist Dr SMA Ali, extension scientist GV Ramanjaneyulu, and development activist Ms Kavitha Kuruganti, involved end-of-season interviews with cotton growing farmers in Warangal and Medak districts. A total of 121 NPM cotton farmers farming on 193 acres and using no synthetic pesticide were compared with 117 Bt cotton farmers using proprietary pesticides and farming 151 acres. The Bt cotton varieties grown were Mech 12 (88 farmers), Mech 184 (1 farmer), and RCH 2 (31 farmers; a few farmers grew more than one of these varieties on different plots, hence the sum of farmers is more than 117). These Bt varieties all carried Monsanto's cry1Ac gene and display low genetic diversity; providing early pest resistance. NPM cotton farmers grew many varieties including Brahma, Maruthi, Dasera, Gemini, Sumo, Tulasi, Bhagya, Durga, Kranthi. Ten villages in two districts took part in the Bt cotton survey, and 12 villages from two districts took part in the NPM survey. Bt cotton more prone to pests and diseases Overall, the NPM farmers reported a lower incidence of medium to high infestations and higher incidence of low or no infestations for four traditional cotton pests. Surprisingly, 32.5 percent of Bt cotton farmers reported a high incidence of American bollworm, an important pest that the Bt cotton is designed to control; while only 4.1 percent of NPM farmers reported a high incidence of this pest. This single statistic ques- 49 49 Rethinking Agriculture Organic Cotton Beats Bt Cotton Organic cotton is incomparably superior to genetically modified Bt cotton Rhea Gala tions the value of the Bt approach to pest con- farmers during the season (14.5 percent), while a vicious cycle of control by these synthetic trol. It also corroborates the high incidence of 50 NPM farmers reported no wilt problems pesticides. bollworm reported by farmers growing Bt cotton (41.3 percent). The degree of wilt ranged from Economics of pest management shows Bt in AP. In contrast, the efficacy of natural pred- 30 percent - 70 percent for Bt cotton, but was cotton extortionate ators and/or natural pesticides to control only 10 - 15 percent for the NPM cotton variAmerican bollworm in particular, and the other eties. While wilt causes a decrease in cotton Purchase of Bt cotton seed, genetically modibollworms in general, is remarkable (see Table yield, the traditional cotton varieties have far fied with the cry1Ac gene from soil bacterium, 1). greater genetic diversity than the Bt cotton, giv- Bacillus thuringiensis, includes a technology A majority of NPM farmers reported low ing greater security against losses from this fee, and costs farmers Rs 1600 per acre, compared to NPM farmers who buy their seed at Rs incidence of spotted bolldisease. 450 per acre. This makes Bt cotton seed 355% worm (76.9 percent While wilt causes a decrease Beneficial insects premore expensive than the traditional varieties. against 65.8 percent of vail on NPM cotton in cotton yield, the traditional In addition, pest management costs were Bt growers), American cotton varieties have far These findings reflect the greater for Bt farmers who had to use pestibollworm (76.percent fears of many environ- cides such as Monocrotophos, Confidor, against 17.1 percent of greater genetic diversity than mentalists that the Bt cot- Tracer, Avaunt, Endosulfan, acephate, the Bt cotton, giving greater Bt growers), and Tobacco ton endotoxin destroys demethoate, imidacloprid, quinalphos, chlorpyCaterpillar (76.8 percent security against losses from many beneficial insects, riphos, cypermethrin etc. to manage a variety against 64.1 percent of this disease. and that has a knock-on of pests including bollworms for which Bt toxin Bt growers). Six NPM effect on the birds and is supposed to be specific. farmers reported an small mammals that are the natural predators On average, Bt crops were sprayed 3.5 absence of spotted bollworm compared to two of these insects. Table 3 shows 85 (70.2 per- times, with two farmers reporting that they did Bt farmers. A majority of NPM farmers reported a cent) of NPM farmers finding a high incidence not spray at all, and others spraying as many as seven times. The medium incidence of pink bollworm, as did their of beneficial insects on their crop, with 97 NPM farmers used Bt counterparts (47.1 percent against 57.3 perno synthetic pesticent), but greater numbers of NPM farmers (82.9 percent) of Bt A majority of NPM farmers reported cides at all, but used low incidence of spotted bollworm also reported a low incidence of this pest com- cotton respondents natural pesticides (76.9 percent against 65.8 percent pared to Bt farmers (31.4 percent against 24.8 finding only a low incidence and 13 such as Neem seed of Bt growers), American bollworm percent). kernel extract, trichoIn the case of sucking pests, the majority of (11.2 percent) Bt (76.percent against 17.1 percent of NPM farmers also reported a low incidence, farmers found no Bt growers), and Tobacco Caterpillar derma and panchakavya. with several reporting no infestation of whitefly, beneficial insects at (76.8 percent against 64.1 percent all on their crop. Bt cotton pest aphids and mites. Again, natural predators and of Bt growers). Six NPM farmers The main stratemanagement cost on pesticides can be seen to be more effective at reported an absence of spotted boll- average Rs 2632 per controlling sucking pests than Bt cotton. Many gy of NPM farmers' worm compared to two Bt farmers pest control on their acre, whereas NPM Bt farmers reported a high incidence of jassids, crops is through cotton pest managewhitefly and aphids, but Bt toxins are known to ment cost on averbe ineffective against sucking pests, therefore, beneficial insects farmers necessarily use additional pesticides that are, by definition, predators of cotton age Rs 382 per acre, making pesticide costs pests; they also use natural organic pesticides. 690 percent more expensive to the Bt cotton specific to these pests (see Table 2) Wilt, a common disease of cotton was In contrast, Bt farmers report a low incidence of farmers. Yields and incomes were not included in reported absent by only 17 of the Bt cotton pest predators due to the toxicity of the Bt varieties and associated pesticides, necessitating this study as cotton picking was still going on at Table 1. Incidence of Bollworm complex on Bt and NPM cotton. Level of incidence Spotted Bollworm American Bollworm Bt cotton NPM cotton Bt cotton NPM cotton High 15(12.8) 4 (3.3) 38 (32.5) 5 (4.1) Medium 23 (19.7) 18 (14.9) 59 (15.4) 24 (19.8) Low 77 (65.8) 93 (76.9) 20 (17.1) 92 (76.1) Nil 2 (1.7) 6 (4.9) 0 (0) 0 (0) Figure in parentheses is percent of respondents Table 2. Incidence of sucking pests on Bt and NPM cotton. Level of incidence Jassids Thrips Bt NPM Bt High 52 (44.5) 7 (5.8) 1 (0.8) Medium 42 (35.9) 20 (16.5) 21 (17.9) Low 22 (18.8) 94 (77.7) 92 (78.7) Nil 1 (0.8) 0 (0) 3 (2.6) Figure in parentheses is percent of respondents NPM 0 (0) 8 (6.6) 107 (91.5) 6 (4.9) Whitefly Bt 39 (33.4) 35 (29.9) 41 (35.0) 2 (1.7) Tobacco Caterpillar Bt cotton NPM cotton 8 (6.8) 2 (1.7) 34 (29.1) 22 (18.2) 75 (64.1) 93 (76.8) 0 (0) 4 (3.3) NPM 2 (1.6) 15 (12.4) 90 (74.4) 14 (11.6) Aphids Bt 35 (29.9) 43 (36.8) 39 (33.3) 0 (0) NPM 1 (0.8) 20 (16.6) 95 (78.5) 5 (4.1) Pink Bollworm Bt cotton NPM cotton 20 (17.1) 25 (20.7) 67 (57.3) 57 (47.1) 29 (24.8) 38 (31.4) 1 (0.8) 1 (0.8) Mites Bt 21 (17.9) 45 (38.6) 50 (42.7) 1 (0.8) NPM 3 (2.5) 10 (8.3) 101 (83.5) 7 (5.7) www.i-sis.org.uk 50 Table 3. Incidence of beneficial insects on Bt and NPM cotton. Incidence level of beneficial insects Bt Cotton Fields NPM Cotton Fields High 0 (0) 85 (70.2) Medium 7 (5.9) 26 (21.5) Low 97 (82.9) 8 (6.6) Nil 13 (11.2) 2 (1.7) Figure in parentheses is percent of respondents In two years, 2000 poor rice farmers in Bangladesh reduced insecticide use by 99 percent. small rural economy into the pockets of powerful multi-nationals every year. Farmers stop spraying chemical pesticides, yields go up! the time of data collection, but Bt cotton yield ered the art and science of sustainable cotton Farmers in India are not alone. In two years, and quality has been well documented as lower cultivation by using NPM systems. But this 2000 poor rice farmers in Bangladesh reduced than traditional varieties, in spite of claims to small revolution in India's cotton belt has been insecticide use by 99 percent. the contrary. Yet the study clearly proves that ignored by agricultural scientists, perhaps Gary John, senior scientist at the restoring the ecological balance in the cotton because it is an appropriate technology that International Rice Research Institute in Manila, fields, by removing both the GM endotoxins does not lend itself to exploitation by outsiders, said "To my surprise when people stopped and the synthetic chemicals, will bring both and because it does not have the 'glamour' of spraying, yields didn't drop, and this was short and long term benefits to farmers and the 'cutting edge technology'. Nevertheless, it so across 600 fields in two districts over four seaenvironment. impressed the AP sons. I'm convinced The study punctured the following myths in agriculture minister, that the vast majority pest management costs were the current pest management paradigm: who witnessed the greater for Bt farmers who had to of insecticides that rice · Pests can be controlled only by killing them transformation for farmers use are a use pesticides such as with pesticide; whereas prevention is better himself, that it has Monocrotophos, Confidor, Tracer, complete waste of than cure been replicated in 400 time and money". In Avaunt, Endosulfan, acephate, · All insects in the fields are pests; whereas surrounding villages. the Philippines, simidemethoate, imidacloprid, they include natural predators that kill pests A few farmers larly, a decline in · No relationship exists between monoculfrom a local non-gov- quinalphos, chlorpyriphos, cyperinsecticide use has ture and pest incidence; whereas a reduced ernmental organiza- methrin etc. to manage a variety been accompanied by of pests including bollworms for genetic base over large areas results in tion began in 1999 an increase in producunobstructed proliferation of the pest espe(before the arrival of which Bt toxin is supposed to be tivity leading to great cially as in India where non-Bt cotton refuges GM cotton in India), to specific savings for farmers. are not used experiment with nonThis comes as a · Chemical fertilizers and pest incidence are pesticidal management practices on their cot- revelation only after land and water have been unrelated; whereas chemical fertilizers ton crop, and persuaded 20 local farmers to try poisoned, the environment degraded, and, increase plant vulnerability to the pest due to it. according to WHO figures, 20 000 people have increased 'succulence'. The environment, previously contaminated died from pesticide poisoning worldwide annu· Pest resistance is a genotypic rather than by a vicious cycle of pesticide application ally. And because science has viewed all an environmental issue; whereas environbegan to improve, and the pest burden things traditional as backward and substandard mental management of pests will give farmreduced. By 2004, the environmental and eco- the collective wisdom of generations of farmers ers more control over their crops than the nomic impact was such that the entire village has been largely lost; and at the same time use of patented seed derived from manipuwas using NPM that had restored natural pest agricultural scientists are still promoting uselating genes control systems, and they therefore had no rea- less and harmful technologies like genetic · Pest resistance management is about son to adopt GM cotton when it became avail- modification. using newer and newer generation pestiable. But while ordinary farmers are getting wise cides; whereas NPM systems cut costs to In the early 1960s, only six or seven major to GM propaganda and hard sell around the farmers and the environpests worried the cotton world, an Indian government study has found ment leading to greater farmer, but costly inputs serious faults with its GM Bt cotton under comBy 2004, the environmental independence of farmers prescribed by agribusiness mercial production. The government has been and economic impact was and a healthier, more bioand agricultural research sitting on this study for two years. It describes such that the entire village diverse environment has created a spiral of pol- a multitude of problems already expressed by was using NPM that had · Prevention of pest/dislution, debt and death that farmers but previously denied by its own scienrestored natural pest control ease means spraying has also resulted in the tists and politicians. Meanwhile organic farming systems, and they therefore even when the pest is farmer fighting 70 major successes are being more widely reported, for had no reason to adopt GM absent; whereas pest pests on cotton today. example, Paul Desmarais, Director of the management is not about cotton when it became availAlthough average yields for Kasisi Agricultural Training Centre in Zambia able. schedules or routine but farmers in Punukula are writes "We have successfully grown organic the needs of the actual sitgreater than for Bt cotton cotton for two years now at Kasisi. We have uation farmers, most mainstream agricultural scien- good control of insects and there is not resist· Benefits of synthetic pesticides outweigh tists, and politicians prefer to support GM tech- ance built in the system as there is even with Bt the risks; whereas suicides in the Indian cotnology and agribusiness. cotton. Our yields are double the national ton belts show that the economics of pestiIf Punukula had adopted GM Bt cotton, the yields. Farmers using the conventional route cide use do not add up, even before other village would have paid Rs 600 000 in addition- are barely eking out an existence with the price adverse effects are taken into account, such al seed price for the 500 acres under cultivation of cotton dropping and the price of inputs climbas increased crop water consumption (Rs1 200/acre technology fee), before address- ing up. We have just had the seed cotton testing the extra cost of pesticide application. The ed for fibre length, micronair, etc. and our cotThe story of Punukula: it's not rocket farmers would have remained caught in the spi- ton did very well on all the scores. Let us purscience ral of debt as victims of the 'cutting edge tech- sue the growing of organic cotton. It is possible Punukula, a small village in Andhra Pradesh, nology' that draws millions of rupees from the and it is sustainable". SiS with a population of about 860, has rediscovSCIENCE IN SOCIETY 27, AUTUMN 2005 Peter Bunyard Ingrid Hartman Joe Cummins Alan Simpson MP Peter Ainsworth MP Lilian Joensen Jakob von Uexkull Hannu Hyvonen D.Hywel Davies Pietro Perrino e full read th n story o page 36 First International Conference Julia Wright Caroline Lucas MEP David Woodward Dr. Mae Wan Ho Lim Li Ching Erkki Lahde Michael Meacher MP and Sue Edwards
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